turnout reports, voting problems, and last minute dirty tricks

[pbrower2a]

Messed-up voting in Maricopa County, Arizona (Greater Phoenix). Lots of voters rejected irrespective of Party. 

[alomas]

Tom Bonier about to drop some thoughts on the 10 counties giving FL turnout data.

Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier  1m1 minute ago
Broward County. 67% Obama '12. As of 2:30 PM, total turnout exceeds final '12 total vote by over 4,700 votes.

BEAUTIFUL!

He says Broward already exceeded 2012 turnout by 4700 votes.
Now, unless there has been a massive Republican migration into the county I guess that's good news.

But the turnout in the Republican areas is also up by the same amount

[JerryArkansas]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

[JerryArkansas]

Tom Bonier about to drop some thoughts on the 10 counties giving FL turnout data.

Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier  1m1 minute ago
Broward County. 67% Obama '12. As of 2:30 PM, total turnout exceeds final '12 total vote by over 4,700 votes.

BEAUTIFUL!

He says Broward already exceeded 2012 turnout by 4700 votes.
Now, unless there has been a massive Republican migration into the county I guess that's good news.

But the turnout in the Republican areas is also up by the same amount

About 300 hundred thousand less republicans live in Broward.

[Crumpets]

Tom Bonier about to drop some thoughts on the 10 counties giving FL turnout data.

Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier  1m1 minute ago
Broward County. 67% Obama '12. As of 2:30 PM, total turnout exceeds final '12 total vote by over 4,700 votes.

BEAUTIFUL!

He says Broward already exceeded 2012 turnout by 4700 votes.
Now, unless there has been a massive Republican migration into the county I guess that's good news.

But the turnout in the Republican areas is also up by the same amount

But "Republican areas" tend to have lower populations. 10,000 votes up 40% gets you 4,000 votes. 100,000 votes up 40% gets you 40,000 votes, etc.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Counties Tom Bonier was referring to:

So turnout will essentially be up everywhere by about the same %.

What is D vs R split?

But "Republican areas" tend to have lower populations. 10,000 votes up 40% gets you 4,000 votes. 100,000 votes up 40% gets you 40,000 votes, etc.

If all areas have the same % increase, it doesn't matter. I am not saying though, that all will have same % increase.

[Gass3268]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

I still think Trump wins Iowa, but it will be closer than the polling average.

[riceowl]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Anecdotal evidence for what it's worth: my Chatham, IL, polling place seemed to be having strong (but not impressive by any means) turnout when I went to vote this morning. Hard to find a place to park, but no line. Chatham is a wealthy suburb whereby Romney was in the seventies but Trump is expected to fall well short of that.

[Yank2133]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

Is it though?

Selzer poll seemed to suggest that young people have abandoned Democrats.

[AZDem]

Messed-up voting in Maricopa County, Arizona (Greater Phoenix). Lots of voters rejected irrespective of Party. 

That's a shocker. Finally time for Helen Purcell and her old-lady coif to get booted out of office today. Her office has been an absolute disaster this election season and she's paying the price. I voted by mail 2 weeks ago but I don't believe Maricopa county has a way to verify that your ballot was received and counted (this is my first year VBM here). No surprise they can't even get in person voting right.

[Lachi]

Messed-up voting in Maricopa County, Arizona (Greater Phoenix). Lots of voters rejected irrespective of Party.  

What the?

[The Other Castro]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

Friend of mine at WashU says that tons of students are voting, hour long wait for polling place on campus. Some other predominantly black areas around however apparently didn't have big turnout.

[Ebsy]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

Big turnout in St. Louis City and some of the diverse parts of St. Louis County, low turnout in St. Charles, high turnout in Jefferson County (pro Trump area but lots of them are Dems that will vote Koster/Kander). Long lines in Kansas City as well.

[Crumpets]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

Is it though?

Selzer poll seemed to suggest that young people have abandoned Democrats.

Any University is going to be dramatically more liberal that the state as a whole, though, Liberty University likely being the sole exception.

[Ebsy]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

Friend of mine at WashU says that tons of students are voting, hour long wait for polling place on campus. Some other predominantly black areas around however apparently didn't have big turnout.

There are no black areas around WashU that your friend would be seeing.

[The Other Castro]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

Friend of mine at WashU says that tons of students are voting, hour long wait for polling place on campus. Some other predominantly black areas around however apparently didn't have big turnout.

There are no black areas around WashU that your friend would be seeing.

I guess that's why he didn't see any haha. Maybe he was mistaken on that part.

[AZDem]

Major high school walkout in Arizona to protest Joe Arpaio, including a giant blowup figure of him in handcuffs and stripes.

I haven't heard about this. Do you have a link and does it say which high schools? I live in a heavily minority area of Central Phoenix and or local high school is majority Latino but I haven't heard any local news.

Hopefully Joe gets defeated today and perhaps his next press conference will be from behind bars in his tent city eating a rotted bologna sandwich wearing pink underwear.

[Classic Conservative]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

Is it though?

Selzer poll seemed to suggest that young people have abandoned Democrats.

Any University is going to be dramatically more liberal that the state as a whole, though, Liberty University likely being the sole exception.

And Hillsdale

[The Other Castro]

Major high school walkout in Arizona to protest Joe Arpaio, including a giant blowup figure of him in handcuffs and stripes.

I haven't heard about this. Do you have a link and does it say which high schools? I live in a heavily minority area of Central Phoenix and or local high school is majority Latino but I haven't heard any local news.

Hopefully Joe gets defeated today and perhaps his next press conference will be from behind bars in his tent city eating a rotted bologna sandwich wearing pink underwear.

It was covered on MSNBC earlier. http://www.azcentral.com/story/news/local/phoenix/2016/11/04/phoenix-trevor-browne-high-school-students-protest-donald-trump-joe-arpaio/93294492/

[AZDem]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

Is it though?

Selzer poll seemed to suggest that young people have abandoned Democrats.

Any University is going to be dramatically more liberal that the state as a whole, though, Liberty University likely being the sole exception.

And Hillsdale

What about BYU and Regents University?

[Hollywood]

Good news out of Iowa.  Poll workers saying they are seeing high turnout at Drake University.  Much more than 2012.

Is it though?

Selzer poll seemed to suggest that young people have abandoned Democrats.

Eh.  It is my belief that if Obama could run for the rest of his life, he would continue to get those 18-35 voters even after the time those voters were eligible for social security.  

[Suburbia]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

[Classic Conservative]

2 Hour Lines in Washington County, PA

[Angrie]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

Supposing that's true, they are in New York, so nobody cares about their votes anyway. Tell them not to bother.