turnout reports, voting problems, and last minute dirty tricks

[DavidB.]

Why is it so hard for America to run efficient and secure elections? Every country in Europe can do it!

Except for Austria, apparently.

[KingSweden]

Any word out of Missouri in terms of turnout? More interested in Kander obvi.

Big turnout in St. Louis City and some of the diverse parts of St. Louis County, low turnout in St. Charles, high turnout in Jefferson County (pro Trump area but lots of them are Dems that will vote Koster/Kander). Long lines in Kansas City as well.

The Ameristar Casino in St. Charles is nice. Just wanted to contribute that

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

lmao

[Xing]

So it seems turnout is generally high... everywhere? Are there any specific counties/places where turnout seems to be down?

[Gass3268]

Almost 2/3rds of registered voters have voted in Fairfax County, VA by 2:00pm.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Suburbia]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

Supposing that's true, they are in New York, so nobody cares about their votes anyway. Tell them not to bother.

It could give Trump two boroughs+ SI and Queens. Remember, Giuliani won SI and Queens in 1993 and 1997. He won't win Brooklyn.

[Devout Centrist]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

Supposing that's true, they are in New York, so nobody cares about their votes anyway. Tell them not to bother.

It could give Trump two boroughs+ SI and Queens. Remember, Giuliani won SI and Queens in 1993 and 1997. He won't win Brooklyn.

Lol on Queens

[The Other Castro]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

Supposing that's true, they are in New York, so nobody cares about their votes anyway. Tell them not to bother.

It could give Trump two boroughs+ SI and Queens. Remember, Giuliani won SI and Queens in 1993 and 1997. He won't win Brooklyn.

Damn, how many electoral votes does Staten Island have again?

[heatcharger]

Almost 2/3rds of registered voters have voted in Fairfax County, VA by 2:00pm.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Awesome! I also saw that they are counting absentee ballots first, so perhaps the ridiculous Republican counting bias won't be as apparent this time around.

[IceSpear]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

You're really dedicated to this, LOL.

[Gass3268]

So it seems turnout is generally high... everywhere? Are there any specific counties/places where turnout seems to be down?

Cuyahoga County was at 50% at 3:00pm, it was 70% in 2012. They would have 5.5 hours to get that last 20% and its raining.

Word is there is going to be record turnout in Franklin and Hamilton however.

[Holmes]

So it seems turnout is generally high... everywhere? Are there any specific counties/places where turnout seems to be down?

Cuyahoga County was at 50% at 3:00pm, it was 70% in 2012. They would have 5.5 hours to get that last 20% and its raining.

Word is there is going to be record turnout in Franklin and Hamilton however.

Hopefully that lull in turnout in Cuyahoga is from depressed Republicans.

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

Why is it so hard for America to run efficient and secure elections? Every country in Europe can do it!

Except for Austria, apparently.

Fair enough!

Back in 2014 in the Swedish election thread Tender would go on and on how, although Swedish voting and vote counting was efficient, we were clearly not as good as awesome as his wünderbar Austria.

Wrong! Liar! Crooked! That came back to bite him in the ass BIGLY!

[Angrie]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

Supposing that's true, they are in New York, so nobody cares about their votes anyway. Tell them not to bother.

It could give Trump two boroughs+ SI and Queens. Remember, Giuliani won SI and Queens in 1993 and 1997. He won't win Brooklyn.

Lol on Queens

Yeah, that is a great joke

[Mike88]

Big turnout in Philly and suburbs.

http://www.phillyvoice.com/strong-turnout-seen-at-polls-in-city-and-suburbs-for-2016-general-election/

[Gass3268]

So it seems turnout is generally high... everywhere? Are there any specific counties/places where turnout seems to be down?

Cuyahoga County was at 50% at 3:00pm, it was 70% in 2012. They would have 5.5 hours to get that last 20% and its raining.

Word is there is going to be record turnout in Franklin and Hamilton however.

Hopefully that lull in turnout in Cuyahoga is from depressed Republicans.

Also 5.5 hours is still enough time to get close to 2012

[Gass3268]

Warren Buffett driving voters to the polls in Omaha

[The Other Castro]

Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier  1m1 minute ago
Uh, wow. Obama won Orange County, FL by 18%. They are reporting 45k MORE ballots cast than all of '12, with over 3 hours of voting left.

[Yank2133]

Big turnout in Philly and suburbs.

http://www.phillyvoice.com/strong-turnout-seen-at-polls-in-city-and-suburbs-for-2016-general-election/

Excellent.

[Angrie]

Cuyahoga County was at 50% at 3:00pm, it was 70% in 2012. They would have 5.5 hours to get that last 20% and its raining.

Word is there is going to be record turnout in Franklin and Hamilton however.

Hopefully that lull in turnout in Cuyahoga is from depressed Republicans.

Doubtful. The anecdotes I have seen are of low AfAm turnout there. That seems to be biggest disappointment from the Dem perspective so far from the early vote and what we know of the E Day vote.

[Gass3268]

Tom Bonier ‏@tbonier  1m1 minute ago
Uh, wow. Obama won Orange County, FL by 18%. They are reporting 45k MORE ballots cast than all of '12, with over 3 hours of voting left.

Some of the reports out of Florida have been pretty amazing!

[Tintrlvr]

Would be pretty surprising if there weren't a lot more votes cast in Orange County than in 2012 considering its rapid population growth, but the growth in votes does seem to be considerably outpacing population growth there (and considerably more so in SE Florida, where growth is relatively slow in places like Broward that are mostly built out but where turnout is also above 2012 levels already).

I believe only Broward County and Hillsborough County are updating vote totals live. So far Broward running somewhat further ahead of 2012 than Hillsborough, though both have already broken the 2012 total.

Broward current total votes: 786,297
Broward 2012 total votes: 757,354
+28,943, or +3.82% over 2012

Hillsborough current total votes: 558,185
Hillsborough 2012 total votes: 543,429
+14,756, or +2.72% over 2012

FWIW, Broward's population is estimated to have grown 8.5% between 2010 and 2015 (obviously not a perfect comparison for 2012-2016 changes but some guidance), while Hillsborough's population is estimated to have grown 9.7% over the same period. So Broward, a strong Democratic county, is well outperforming Hillsborough, a swing county that is slightly more Democratic than Florida as a whole. That seems like very good news for Clinton, though it would obviously be most helpful if we also had a strong Republican county to compare.

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

tl;dr turnout is extremely high basically everywhere except for AA areas where it's lower (I would have thought it was obvious that the AA vote would decline without Obama but apparently some people are surprised by this)

Calling it now, this election is going to come down to the educated white vote. If Trump wins, it's because the educated white vote swung back to him and gave him the edge in NC, NH and the Midwest. If he loses, it'll be because they voted Clinton instead.

I'd give Clinton an 85% chance at winning, but I'm almost certain that the crosstab story of the cycle will be how whoever won was pushed over the edge by a proportionate advantage with educated white voters.

[afleitch]

tl;dr turnout is extremely high basically everywhere except for AA areas where it's lower (I would have thought it was obvious that the AA vote would decline without Obama but apparently some people are surprised by this)

Calling it now, this election is going to come down to the educated white vote. If Trump wins, it's because the educated white vote swung back to him and gave him the edge in NC, NH and the Midwest. If he loses, it'll be because they voted Clinton instead.

I'd give Clinton an 85% chance at winning, but I'm almost certain that the crosstab story of the cycle will be how whoever won was pushed over the edge by a proportionate advantage with educated white voters.

And Hispanics?...

[PresidentTRUMP]

Looks like Clinton has it in the bag, congrats to the left and Hillary.