turnout reports, voting problems, and last minute dirty tricks

[Erich Maria Remarque]

CNN just showed about a half mile long line in front of a VA precinct at 6am.

(And the people in line were about 98% white ...)

And some, I assume, are good people

[Erich Maria Remarque]

My dad was number #24 at our precinct. A lot of white guys with beard and big trucks at our precinct.

Calling it now! Massachusetts to be taken by Trump on the back of huge turn-out in the bearded men with trucks demographic.

 

Missing Trump's voters? Make America Bearded Again?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Roughly the same like here and in Sweden.

Austria for example has 11.000 precincts for 6.4 million voters. That's 580 voters per precinct, but 15% vote with postal ballots, so it's closer to 500 per precinct.

In the US, it seems there are about 5.000 voters per precinct ...

We have 6000 precincts for 7 million voters, but only 60% vote on ED.  We don't have postal voting, but in-person early voting only. And when voting early, you may vote where you want. In fact, I have always voted early.

And we have 80-90% turnout

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Not sure if this was posted or where it should go but a couple of FL counties are apparently live-updating turnout: http://www.livevoterturnout.com/Hills/ElectionDayPartyTurnout.html

Intresting. In 2012 it was:

Romney 46.0% 250,186   
Obama 52.7% 286,467

So Obama won by 30k or 6.7%. In 2012 he won by 36k or 7.2%

[Erich Maria Remarque]

A Chinese monkey-oracle picked Trump:

China is killing us, folks! @Trump

[Erich Maria Remarque]

In fact, I have always voted early.

How could you?! Voting on ED is a tradition!

Next you'll be telling us you're one of those people who have a plastic Christmas tree or have a BBQ on Midsummer instead of eating herring.

No respect for Swedish values at all. Make Sweden great again!

I've always got too excited to wait until ED

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Frank Luntz ‏@FrankLuntz  5 min.

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The question is: is he forgetting or intentionally omitting that a very large portion of Michigan's working class are minorities?

How large?

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Here in Rhode Island, turnout is unusually high, and we have new voting machines and they only placed 1 in my polling place! Usually under 15 minutes, today almost 2 hours, and the line is still growing!

Wow. It explains why you in USA have so low turnout

[Erich Maria Remarque]

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[Erich Maria Remarque]

Counties Tom Bonier was referring to:

So turnout will essentially be up everywhere by about the same %.

What is D vs R split?

But "Republican areas" tend to have lower populations. 10,000 votes up 40% gets you 4,000 votes. 100,000 votes up 40% gets you 40,000 votes, etc.

If all areas have the same % increase, it doesn't matter. I am not saying though, that all will have same % increase.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Just got off the phone with my cousin in Forest Hills, Queens. He says it doesn't look good for Clinton there. The Giuliani voters of 1993 and 1997 are coming OUT in full force for Trump. They didn't trust Romney, liked Obama, but they're leaning Trump.

lmao

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Are there any preliminary estimations of turnout? Gallup told us it would be lower than 12' ...

[Erich Maria Remarque]

Is there any estimation of turnout? Gallup told us it would be lower than 12' ...

Michael McDonald from ElectProject predicted 135,000,000.

So just 56% of eligible voters? Wow, it is sooo low.

[Erich Maria Remarque]

In all counties I saw Reps are doing relatively better than Dems relatively to EV. It was as expected though. But there were no really big R counties though.