2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 24557 times)
100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #175 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:00 PM »

NY Times has added the midnight towns
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Gass3268
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« Reply #176 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:08 PM »

Latino Decisions Exit Poll:

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SirMuxALot
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« Reply #177 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:14 PM »

Does anyone know if these national exit poll aggregates are somehow time zone embargoed?  I would assume those national exits include all the morning votes in the western time zone, as opposed to just eastern states exits with zeroes for the west states.

Anyone know for sure?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #178 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:31 PM »

WOO HERE WE GO!
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #179 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:39 PM »

Sorry if somebody posted this already but NBC's exit poll shows Trump getting 8% of the black vote and 27% Hispanic. I don't remember Hillary's numbers but both were lower than Obama's in 2012.

I'd make a bet that by the end of the night, here Hispanic number will not be lower than Obamas when the exit polls get adjusted.
Probably, but he seems at least not doing much worse that Romney.
And relatively good with Black??

Your going to be disappointed.

Are early exit-polls that bad?

Yes.

Do you know how early vs late exit polls looked in 2012?
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EliteLX
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« Reply #180 on: November 08, 2016, 06:04:45 PM »

I have waited far too long for this night.
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RI
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« Reply #181 on: November 08, 2016, 06:05:12 PM »

First votes in from Kentucky!
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #182 on: November 08, 2016, 06:05:25 PM »

Trump at 78% of the PV!!
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #183 on: November 08, 2016, 06:06:06 PM »

Remember the exit had Romney getting 6% of the Black vote.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #184 on: November 08, 2016, 06:06:26 PM »

From MSNBC:

blacks:
Clinton 87%
Trump 8%
other 5%

latinos:
Clinton 65%
Trump 27%
other 8%


I'm gonna go ahead and bet that Latino number is off by 5 points at least.

Agreed on the topline Latino numbers....  primary language responsiveness gap....

But it was about the same problem in 2012 ?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #185 on: November 08, 2016, 06:06:32 PM »


lol, really?
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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #186 on: November 08, 2016, 06:07:05 PM »

First results in Kentucky

Donald J. Trump
Republican
1,920   80.7%   
Hillary Clinton
Democrat
395   16.6   
Gary Johnson
Libertarian
39   1.6   
Evan McMullin
Independent
14   0.6   
Jill Stein
Green
11   0.5
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Chunk Yogurt for President!
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« Reply #187 on: November 08, 2016, 06:07:25 PM »

Kentucky will not go 80% for Trump.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #188 on: November 08, 2016, 06:07:47 PM »

Change: 82-13 Trump
Hate Both: 45-27 Trump
Late Deciders: 42-42 Tie
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #189 on: November 08, 2016, 06:07:55 PM »


Almost all from Kentucky. lol
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Fargobison
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« Reply #190 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:12 PM »

Frank LuntzVerified account
‏@FrankLuntz
The numbers I'm getting now suggest a nationwide turnout that strongly favors Hillary.

And if Hillary does well, so will down-ballot Dems.

https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/796124381890179073
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Cali123
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« Reply #191 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:22 PM »

Come on Hillary, make yourself famous!!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #192 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:27 PM »

white college grads:
Trump 47
Clinton 46
other 7

white non-college grads:
Trump 65
Clinton 29
other 6
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EliteLX
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« Reply #193 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:31 PM »

Oh my good Lord..

CNN's online map is absolutely disgusting.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #194 on: November 08, 2016, 06:08:44 PM »

Probably some random mining county.
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The Free North
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« Reply #195 on: November 08, 2016, 06:09:05 PM »

So will Trump win that county in KY that never votes Republican....
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #196 on: November 08, 2016, 06:09:12 PM »

Practically nothing is reporting, and yea, the CNN map is ugly. I'm thinking about ignoring it entirely.
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #197 on: November 08, 2016, 06:09:29 PM »

Frank LuntzVerified account
‏@FrankLuntz
The numbers I'm getting now suggest a nationwide turnout that strongly favors Hillary.

And if Hillary does well, so will down-ballot Dems.

https://twitter.com/FrankLuntz/status/796124381890179073
NO NOT HIM! He's the Dick Morris of pollsters.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #198 on: November 08, 2016, 06:09:36 PM »


well yes, coal country is certainly making its voice loud early on.

Trump is out-performing Paul BIG LEAGUE in Bath County (with Trump winning 66-34 and *gasp* Gray winning 52-47)
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RI
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« Reply #199 on: November 08, 2016, 06:09:50 PM »

Trump running well ahead of Paul in KY
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