2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 23960 times)
Bobthemack
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« Reply #25 on: November 08, 2016, 04:57:11 PM »
Hi everyone,

I'm a US election obsessive here in the UK, been following this forum for a few weeks. It's hilarious.

We're having an election night party at my house; and lots of coffee!

Good to see turnout may be up. Excitement fever pitch here, but obviously a lot of people are terrified of a Trump win, they think it's akin to a 100% sure nuclear war within months.
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ilikeverin
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« Reply #26 on: November 08, 2016, 04:59:37 PM »
Quote from: Bobthemack on November 08, 2016, 04:57:11 PM
Hi everyone,

I'm a US election obsessive here in the UK, been following this forum for a few weeks. It's hilarious.

We're having an election night party at my house; and lots of coffee!

Good to see turnout may be up. Excitement fever pitch here, but obviously a lot of people are terrified of a Trump win, they think it's akin to a 100% sure nuclear war within months.

Welcome!  We have a great deal of international posters, so you'll be right at home. *hughughug*
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #27 on: November 08, 2016, 05:01:54 PM »
Again... remembering that early exits are garbage.

K?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #28 on: November 08, 2016, 05:03:08 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on November 08, 2016, 05:01:54 PM
Again... remembering that early exits are garbage.

K?

Nope, prepare to panic.
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #29 on: November 08, 2016, 05:05:05 PM »

Grab your adult diapers, everyone. The pants-wetting will start any minute now.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #30 on: November 08, 2016, 05:05:32 PM »
Wow... can't believe this site hasn't crashed yet. Excellent! Smiley
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
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« Reply #31 on: November 08, 2016, 05:06:33 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 08, 2016, 05:05:32 PM
Wow... can't believe this site hasn't crashed yet. Excellent! Smiley
It didn't load for me at all Election Day 2012. Don't jinx it!
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Chief Justice Keef
etr906
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« Reply #32 on: November 08, 2016, 05:08:47 PM »
Crooked media can't even give me my exit polls on time!!!1!
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #33 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:02 PM »
Per FOX, Johnson did 3x as well with late-deciders
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #34 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:13 PM »
CNN exit poll info: Very few late deciders in this election.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #35 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:40 PM »
Also, Trump +2 on the economy and Hillary +3 on commander-in-chief
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #36 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:44 PM »
I probably shouldn't read this thread, it won't be good for me emotionally. I'll probably just keep up with the official results at NYT when they come in.
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Desroko
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« Reply #37 on: November 08, 2016, 05:10:48 PM »
Quote from: Fmr President & Senator Polnut on November 08, 2016, 05:01:54 PM
Again... remembering that early exits are garbage.

K?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #38 on: November 08, 2016, 05:11:37 PM »
Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #39 on: November 08, 2016, 05:12:17 PM »
This exit polls dont help at all.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #40 on: November 08, 2016, 05:13:17 PM »
https://twitter.com/NickBarnets/status/796112758156693504

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Nichlemn
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« Reply #41 on: November 08, 2016, 05:13:27 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:11:37 PM
Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15


Only #1 seems Trump-favoured, although I could imagine a Trump voter thinking the others.
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Bobthemack
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« Reply #42 on: November 08, 2016, 05:13:41 PM »
88% of people decided how they would vote October or before - could this be telling?
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #43 on: November 08, 2016, 05:13:49 PM »
7% late deciders is not that small number. Not at all, actually Tongue
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Ebsy
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« Reply #44 on: November 08, 2016, 05:14:22 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 08, 2016, 05:10:40 PM
Also, Trump +2 on the economy and Hillary +3 on commander-in-chief
A republican performing this poorly on the economy question is brutal.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #45 on: November 08, 2016, 05:14:39 PM »
Quote from: Erich Maria Remarque on November 08, 2016, 05:13:49 PM
7% late deciders is not that small number. Not at all, actually Tongue

And apparently alot of them chose Jonhson so...
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Tintrlvr
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« Reply #46 on: November 08, 2016, 05:14:57 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:11:37 PM
Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15


This looks vaguely like good news for Clinton. A lot of these have tended to be strongly predictive based of votes on previous polling. Totally throwing random numbers out there, I'd guess:

Change: 90-5 Trump
Experience: 85-10 Clinton
Judgment: 90-5 Clinton
Cares: 60-35 Clinton

Which is overall a pretty solid Clinton lead.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #47 on: November 08, 2016, 05:15:02 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:11:37 PM
Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15

Pretty sure 1 would be solid Trump and 2/3 solid Hillary. Dems usually win 4, but it could be closer this year.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #48 on: November 08, 2016, 05:15:09 PM »
I think that "no news" is good news for Clinton, in that if Trump were to pull off an upset we'd be seeing some unusual things in the exit polls.
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #49 on: November 08, 2016, 05:15:16 PM »
Quote from: Nichlemn on November 08, 2016, 05:13:27 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on November 08, 2016, 05:11:37 PM
Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15


Only #1 seems Trump-favoured, although I could imagine a Trump voter thinking the others.
I can see 'Cares About Me' a lot of Trump cultists like the diehards think that
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