2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 23825 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #75 on: November 08, 2016, 05:30:30 PM »


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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #76 on: November 08, 2016, 05:31:19 PM »

For comparison 2012 exits  (when decided to vote)
When Decide
Last few days/last week:9%
In october:11%
In september:9%
Before that:69%

So this year more people decided later
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #77 on: November 08, 2016, 05:31:30 PM »


And in 2012?
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #78 on: November 08, 2016, 05:31:43 PM »

https://twitter.com/ajjaffe/status/796116691793100800

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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #79 on: November 08, 2016, 05:32:22 PM »

For comparison 2012 exits  (when decided to vote)
When Decide
Last few days/last week:9%
In october:11%
In september:9%
Before that:69%

So this year more people decided later


Yep. Why did they say "just" 7% + 5% ...
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #80 on: November 08, 2016, 05:32:36 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3
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cp
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« Reply #81 on: November 08, 2016, 05:32:41 PM »


D+6 I believe
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Mike88
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« Reply #82 on: November 08, 2016, 05:33:26 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3


Whites down 2%, right?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #83 on: November 08, 2016, 05:33:42 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3

Will likely end up being more diverse. Game over Trump.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #84 on: November 08, 2016, 05:34:23 PM »

More from CNN:

Are you voting for your candidate or against other candidates?:

strongly favor their candidate 42%
have reservations 31%
dislike opponents 25%
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john cage bubblegum
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« Reply #85 on: November 08, 2016, 05:34:40 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3


Hey look, the share of the white vote went down 2 points like it always does!  RIP Trump.
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cinyc
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« Reply #86 on: November 08, 2016, 05:34:40 PM »

I've fixed the minor issues with my CartoDB PVI maps.  They new links are here:

Nationwide PVI by County
State PVI by County
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cp
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« Reply #87 on: November 08, 2016, 05:34:53 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3



Whites down 2%, right?

Yes. 2012 was:

white 72
black 13
latino 10
asian 3
other race 2
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #88 on: November 08, 2016, 05:35:00 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3


Whites down 2%, right?

Correct, and Hispanics up 1%.
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Sbane
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« Reply #89 on: November 08, 2016, 05:35:30 PM »

When are the full exit polls released?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #90 on: November 08, 2016, 05:35:44 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3



Whites down 2%, right?

Yes. 2012 was:

white 72
black 13
latino 10
asian 3
other race 2

Excellent.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #91 on: November 08, 2016, 05:35:57 PM »

Whites down, Dems up, Obama at +9 approval, Trump doing much worse in favorability and honest/trustworthy...

Seems like a fairly solid win for Hillary if these are accurate. Not gonna get my hopes up too high though.
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LimoLiberal
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« Reply #92 on: November 08, 2016, 05:36:01 PM »

Black Voters:

87-8 Clinton


Latino Voters:

65-27 Clinton


Uh-Oh. I'm bedwetting.
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Angrie
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« Reply #93 on: November 08, 2016, 05:36:13 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3


About as one would expect. Comparison to 2012 exits:

white: -2%
black -1%
latino +1%
asian +1%
other +1%
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #94 on: November 08, 2016, 05:36:20 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3


Hey look, the share of the white vote went down 2 points like it always does!  RIP Trump.

Blacks are down by 1%. And Hispanics in TX anc CA are up Tongue
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Classic Conservative
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #95 on: November 08, 2016, 05:36:42 PM »

Non-College Educated Whites:

Trump: 65%
Clinton: 29%
https://mobile.twitter.com/VaughnHillyard/status/796118651405565957
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #96 on: November 08, 2016, 05:37:05 PM »

https://twitter.com/KendallBreitman/status/796116169912709122

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SunSt0rm
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« Reply #97 on: November 08, 2016, 05:38:46 PM »

HARRY ENTEN 5:34 PM
There has been talk that black turnout may be down in North Carolina. The preliminary exit polls suggest that may be the case. Only 21 percent of voters in North Carolina identified as black. That’s down slightly from 23 percent in 2012.
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #98 on: November 08, 2016, 05:39:54 PM »

Racial makeup, per CNN TV:

white 70
black 12
latino 11
asian 4
other race 3



hmmm...
I would guess

White 70 (-2)
Black 12 (-1)
Hispanic 12 (+2)
Asian 4 (+1)
Other 2 (-)
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #99 on: November 08, 2016, 05:40:27 PM »

So... 20 minutes until the real results start coming in? Cool.
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