2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 03:06:22 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 6 7 8 9 10 [11] 12 13 14 15 16 17
Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 23826 times)
amdcpus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 307
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #250 on: November 08, 2016, 06:32:29 PM »

Strong third party vote so far. About 4% in both Kentucky and Indiana.
Logged
indysaff
reapersaff
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 342
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.03, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #251 on: November 08, 2016, 06:32:33 PM »

College graduates are 50 percent of the electorate in 2016 versus 47 percent in 2012.

Beautiful
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #252 on: November 08, 2016, 06:33:13 PM »


2012? Isn't that near where it was then?
Logged
Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,581
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.06, S: -6.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #253 on: November 08, 2016, 06:33:57 PM »

71.9% for Trump in Indiana currently. Any reason? Republican counties?

Pretty much. Nothing in from Indianapolis or Gary.
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #254 on: November 08, 2016, 06:34:18 PM »

Ryan StruykVerified account
‏@ryanstruyk
Nonwhite voters in Michigan:

2008: 18%
2012: 23%
2016 prelim exits: 23%

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/796132165750816768
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #255 on: November 08, 2016, 06:34:34 PM »

Party ID comparison (vs 2012)
Dem 37 (-1)
Independent 31 (+2)
Republican 32 (-)


So far the electorate looks
More Liberal (+2)
More Independent (+2)
More non-white (+2)
Logged
SirMuxALot
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 368


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #256 on: November 08, 2016, 06:35:30 PM »

For reference, 2012 Party ID

D 38
R 32
I 29

Per: http://winstongroup.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/state-party-id-ideology-2012.pdf
Logged
Mike88
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,220
Portugal


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #257 on: November 08, 2016, 06:36:03 PM »

Wky isn't Fayette county updated on the NYT map?
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #258 on: November 08, 2016, 06:36:08 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Take it with a grain of salt.....but hot damn!

= ~30 has positive. And some has negative, but vote anyway. I mean, even I has negative view on him (personally) Smiley


I was told it was D+6
Logged
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,681
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #259 on: November 08, 2016, 06:37:13 PM »

Party ID comparison (vs 2012)
Dem 37 (-1)
Independent 31 (+2)
Republican 32 (-)


So far the electorate looks
More Liberal (+2)
More Independent (+2)
More non-white (+2)

So, it is probably a wash, which puts us at a 3-4 point race. 2 if Dumpster overperforms... 5 if Hillary does.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #260 on: November 08, 2016, 06:38:01 PM »

Party ID comparison (vs 2012)
Dem 37 (-1)
Independent 31 (+2)
Republican 32 (-)


So far the electorate looks
More Liberal (+2)
More Independent (+2)
More non-white (+2)
Less Democratic (-1)
Smiley
Logged
Fusionmunster
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,483


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #261 on: November 08, 2016, 06:39:10 PM »

Party ID comparison (vs 2012)
Dem 37 (-1)
Independent 31 (+2)
Republican 32 (-)


So far the electorate looks
More Liberal (+2)
More Independent (+2)
More non-white (+2)

So, it is probably a wash, which puts us at a 3-4 point race. 2 if Dumpster overperforms... 5 if Hillary does.

Maybe not, as we've seen from the early vote a lot of Hispanics are registering as independents and non-affiliated.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #262 on: November 08, 2016, 06:39:18 PM »

This is shaping up a lot like the Austrian Presidential election ...

Trump dominating in the rural areas and Hillary driving up the turnout in the urban areas and getting solid results there.
Logged
rafta_rafta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 926


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #263 on: November 08, 2016, 06:40:13 PM »

Kellyanne Conway looks fatigued as hell....taming Trump must take its toll
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #264 on: November 08, 2016, 06:40:21 PM »

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

Take it with a grain of salt.....but hot damn!

= ~30 has positive. And some has negative, but vote anyway. I mean, even I has negative view on him (personally) Smiley


I was told it was D+6

Whatever you say.
Logged
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #265 on: November 08, 2016, 06:40:27 PM »

This is shaping up a lot like the Austrian Presidential election ...

Trump dominating in the rural areas and Hillary driving up the turnout in the urban areas and getting solid results there.
And Brexit, and Sweden, and France, and England again (UKIP), and [you name it] Tongue
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #266 on: November 08, 2016, 06:41:10 PM »

Wow, Clinton is up big in Fayette County, KY.
Logged
john cage bubblegum
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 361


Political Matrix
E: -6.58, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #267 on: November 08, 2016, 06:41:49 PM »

The composition of the electorate in Presidential cycles has been very consistent lately, with 2% less whites and 2% more POC every four years.  Democrats with a solid, but not giant party ID advantage.
Logged
SunSt0rm
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 624
Netherlands


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #268 on: November 08, 2016, 06:42:34 PM »

I am little suprised by performance of McMullin in Kentucky. He can snatch a few percentage in Colorado if this is the trend
Logged
Fargobison
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,692


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #269 on: November 08, 2016, 06:43:03 PM »

Steven RattnerVerified account
‏@SteveRattner
Exit polls: border wall
54% oppose
40% support
Looks like a losing issue for Trump

https://twitter.com/SteveRattner/status/796135504588763136
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #270 on: November 08, 2016, 06:43:23 PM »

IN looks like it might finish close to 60% statewide after all is counted. I only had it at 50%+ in my prediction. Obviously a Pence home state bounce.

KY will definitely finish above 60% though.
Logged
15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,661


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #271 on: November 08, 2016, 06:43:48 PM »

Wow, Clinton is up big in Fayette County, KY.

What is it?  The NY Times has nothing for it yet.
Logged
heatcharger
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,235
Sweden


Political Matrix
E: -1.04, S: -0.24

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #272 on: November 08, 2016, 06:43:53 PM »

Trump leads Clinton 71-26 in IN, while Young leads 60-35. I can't tell if that'll be enough for Bayh to go over the top or not.
Logged
Cali123
Rookie
**
Posts: 43


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #273 on: November 08, 2016, 06:44:21 PM »


https://electionbettingodds.com/, which combines betfair and predictit odds, is at 84.3% Clinton.  It was 81.9 this morning and 82.3 in mid-afternoon.

How likely will Hillary Clinton win in a landslide tonight?
Logged
JerryArkansas
jerryarkansas
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,536
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #274 on: November 08, 2016, 06:44:51 PM »

IN looks like it might finish close to 60% statewide after all is counted. I only had it at 50%+ in my prediction.

KY will definitely finish above 60% though.
There is literally not a single Democratic stronghold in yet in Indiana.  Wait.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 6 7 8 9 10 [11] 12 13 14 15 16 17  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.056 seconds with 13 queries.