2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**

[Tintrlvr]

Again... remembering that early exits are garbage.

K?

Nope, prepare to panic.

Grab your adult diapers, everyone. The pants-wetting will start any minute now.

[Tintrlvr]

Most important candidate quality (per CNN):

can bring change 38
right experience 22
good judgment 22
cares about me 15

This looks vaguely like good news for Clinton. A lot of these have tended to be strongly predictive based of votes on previous polling. Totally throwing random numbers out there, I'd guess:

Change: 90-5 Trump
Experience: 85-10 Clinton
Judgment: 90-5 Clinton
Cares: 60-35 Clinton

Which is overall a pretty solid Clinton lead.

[Tintrlvr]

So... 20 minutes until the real results start coming in? Cool.

Yup. Too bad Indiana and Kentucky are so unrepresentative this year.

Trying to find what the exit poll said for non-college whites in 2012, but there doesn't appear to be a source that breaks it down by both race and education combined that I can tell.

[Tintrlvr]

I forget- do we see some IN/KY stuff at 5 CT, even if they can't call them for an hour?

They'll start reporting results then, yes, though there won't be much in the way of results for a while. No exits until 6 CT, though.

[Tintrlvr]

Latino Voters (GOP margin)
1980: -26
1988: -38
1992: -46
1996: -52
2000: -27
2004: -9
2008: -36
2012: -44
2016: -38

(exit polls)

Wait until the final exits. Early exits get adjusted heavily.

[Tintrlvr]

Overall surprised by the early results from rural Kentucky. Trump up in a couple of counties (notably Bath, where he's way up) but actually down from Romney in all the others. Of course, too early to say much.

[Tintrlvr]

Early numbers have Elliott County at 66% Trump. Safe to say the streak is likely broken.

[Tintrlvr]

Trump winning Eliott County by a lot.

What it that saying us?

Nothing, really. It's just an interesting tidbit. Elliott County has the longest Democratic-voting streak (since 1872) of any county in the country, but it isn't representative of anywhere outside of coal country, where everyone knew Trump would demolish Clinton.