2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread** (user search)
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  2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread** (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**  (Read 24534 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: November 08, 2016, 06:20:32 PM »
Good night !

Yeah, Trump slaughtering Hillary in KY - not really a surprise.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: November 08, 2016, 06:30:37 PM »
Trump wins Miami County, IN with 75% so far (60% in).

Romney got only 64% there ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: November 08, 2016, 06:39:18 PM »
This is shaping up a lot like the Austrian Presidential election ...

Trump dominating in the rural areas and Hillary driving up the turnout in the urban areas and getting solid results there.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: November 08, 2016, 06:43:23 PM »
IN looks like it might finish close to 60% statewide after all is counted. I only had it at 50%+ in my prediction. Obviously a Pence home state bounce.

KY will definitely finish above 60% though.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: November 08, 2016, 06:48:33 PM »
Quote from: Ebsy on November 08, 2016, 06:45:54 PM
Quote from: Mallow on November 08, 2016, 06:44:56 PM
Quote from: Fargobison on November 08, 2016, 06:34:18 PM
Ryan StruykVerified account
‏@ryanstruyk
Nonwhite voters in Michigan:

2008: 18%
2012: 23%
2016 prelim exits: 23%

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/796132165750816768

But I was told AA turnout in Michigan would be WAY down this year.
Probably due to increased Asian turnout (arabs).

I'd be very cautious about "preliminary early exit polls". They also had John Kerry ahead ...

Let's wait for the real votes ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: November 08, 2016, 06:55:11 PM »
This is pretty much going as I expected it ...

Trump holding his own, thanks to strong results in rural areas.

Hillary will win the urban and suburban, educated parts of the country like CO and VA and thus the election.

Not bad results for both of them really.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: November 08, 2016, 07:03:08 PM »

Frankly, not a surprise really.

They simply are cautious and don't have enough data yet.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: November 08, 2016, 07:08:47 PM »
Vigo County looks like Trump+14 and it votes always like IN as a whole.

Thank goodness, IN now looks like it will end up below 60%. Good for my predictions score.
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