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Author Topic: Michigan  (Read 2573 times)
Hammy
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« on: April 21, 2017, 12:45:04 AM »
« edited: April 21, 2017, 12:48:26 AM by Hammy »

IF Turnout is high in Michigan = Clinton winning! There isn't enough rural hicks to over take the cities if turnout is high.

Rural isn't the concern. It'd be blue collar Trump supporters. Think usual Dems in Wayne, Macomb, Oakland
Exactly. In winning, Trump did better in Wayne County (Detroit) than in Washtenaw County (Ann Arbor), not to mention 10 points better in Macomb than in Oakland.

There was a big turnout in Michigan which led to Trump winning.

No. There was a slightly bigger turnout (about 80,000 more voters) than 2012, but 130,000 less people voted for the top two parties. Clinton being a terrible candidate that progressives and skeptical moderates didn't want to put their support behind led to Trump winning. This argument could more easily be made in Pennsylvania, where turnout for both parties was higher than 2012, but Clinton lost Michigan (and Wisconsin) due to utter lack of enthusiasm for her candidacy, leading many to either vote third party or not vote at all.
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