Sanders would have won
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 25, 2024, 02:40:01 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Sanders would have won
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: Sanders would have won  (Read 2092 times)
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: November 10, 2016, 05:11:46 AM »

Sanders wouldn't get clobbered in the Rust Belt. In GE, with the race heating up, he would hold onto minority base like any other Democratic nominee. You may say "but Hillary", yet minority base hardly made difference in crucial states such as Florida and North Carolina, as well as in the north it seems, despite all the support she had there.

We are spending a lot of time talking about what the Democrats did wrong and not as much time talking about what Trump did right. He's what the people wanted and knew how to connect in a way that no one else could.

How about minimizing the damage? Democrats could do better with these people, but failed.

Look man, we've had our disagreements, but we were on the same side and I'm hardly happy with what happened. So I'm not here to gloat or anything. I think we should just have enough intellectual integrity to accept Hillary was not the best candidate (and I'm not just talking about Sanders, I'm talking about the party essentially clearing the field of candidates for her). Her mistakes and Trump's success are two sides of the same coin. You can't separate the two.
Logged
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,501
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: November 10, 2016, 10:16:26 AM »

Trump won $100K+ household income which is 31% of the electorate only by 48-47.  If Sander runs I agree the would do better for non-college Whites, especially in the Midwest but I am sure he would get clobbered by Trump in the $100K household income electorate.  Trump can still run the same populist campaign and tied Sanders to BLM etc etc so he will still make progress in non-college Whites even if it is not as much as it would be against Clinton.  I suspect Sanders will overall do worse than Clinton.
Logged
Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,010
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: November 10, 2016, 10:47:46 AM »

Trump won $100K+ household income which is 31% of the electorate only by 48-47.  If Sander runs I agree the would do better for non-college Whites, especially in the Midwest but I am sure he would get clobbered by Trump in the $100K household income electorate.  Trump can still run the same populist campaign and tied Sanders to BLM etc etc so he will still make progress in non-college Whites even if it is not as much as it would be against Clinton.  I suspect Sanders will overall do worse than Clinton.

100k household means 2 people making 50k. Most of the time, those are the people getting hit hardest by insurance premiums. Bernie would have done well with them by not having to pretend Obamacare was great.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: November 10, 2016, 10:56:43 AM »

Russ Douthat makes a good point:

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://mobile.twitter.com/DouthatNYT/status/796728057587503105
Logged
ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,603
Austria


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: November 10, 2016, 11:10:48 AM »

the bloomberg thingie and other strange outcomes (maybe virginia voters would have been shocked?) surely make this more complicated, but....

after digging into the numbers i now think, sanders would have improved the electoral college chances for Dems and MAYBE decreased their popular vote lock.

it's all about a few thousand voters in the right states.
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,736
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: November 10, 2016, 02:14:58 PM »

I just hate savaging a fundamentally good woman when it is not clear at all that she was as horrible as people are now wanting to say. Trump, apparently, was just really good. That wouldn't have changed against Sanders, and we can't know how he would have done. We do know, though, that we lost the primary, so the whole thing is stupid.

Even so... Michigan has a huge black population that might have been even less motivated by Sanders. Hillary reached other voters that he would have alienated. I just think this is so f-cking silly.
Logged
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 57,380


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: November 10, 2016, 02:34:46 PM »

I just hate savaging a fundamentally good woman when it is not clear at all that she was as horrible as people are now wanting to say. Trump, apparently, was just really good. That wouldn't have changed against Sanders, and we can't know how he would have done. We do know, though, that we lost the primary, so the whole thing is stupid.

Even so... Michigan has a huge black population that might have been even less motivated by Sanders. Hillary reached other voters that he would have alienated. I just think this is so f-cking silly.

I do understand, Hagrid. The sheer amount of crap Hillary received this season alone is mindblowing. I still, however, stand by my opinion (which I voiced even when she was appearing to have headed for sure victory) she was not a good candidate. It doesn't make her any worse person.

As of Sanders and Black voters, I'm not sure he'd do "worse". Hillary's connection to this group didn't help much this election. I really think he'd do better among white voters in WI, OH, MI and PA, which decided this damn election. So would Biden.
Logged
RaphaelDLG
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,687
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: November 10, 2016, 02:38:58 PM »

I just hate savaging a fundamentally good woman when it is not clear at all that she was as horrible as people are now wanting to say. Trump, apparently, was just really good. That wouldn't have changed against Sanders, and we can't know how he would have done. We do know, though, that we lost the primary, so the whole thing is stupid.

Even so... Michigan has a huge black population that might have been even less motivated by Sanders. Hillary reached other voters that he would have alienated. I just think this is so f-cking silly.


1) HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA

2) I agree she isn't the antichrist that RWers and the media made her out to be, but also LOLOL at "fundamentally good woman."

3) Those same black voters that helped Sanders win the Michigan primary?!?  That was his best state for black voters.
Logged
Marokai Backbeat
Marokai Blue
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,477
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -7.39

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: November 10, 2016, 03:45:38 PM »

The "but Hillary does so much better with minorities!" argument would've been a good one had she not performed at John Kerry levels with those groups against Trump in the end, anyway.
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,736
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: November 11, 2016, 08:08:39 AM »

The "but Hillary does so much better with minorities!" argument would've been a good one had she not performed at John Kerry levels with those groups against Trump in the end, anyway.

Yes, but we can't know how Bernie would have done. The only measure we have is how he did in the primaries. With Bernie, the bottom really could have fallen out on minority turnout.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 13 queries.