When did you realize that it was almost certain that Trump would win?

[BaldEagle1991]

When he won Florida and he was leading in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

[StateBoiler]

when Michigan was in trouble

[2952-0-0]

I remember in 2012, at 9 PM ET Michigan and Minnesota were immediately called for Obama.

This year, they were deemed too close to call. I then looked at Florida and found there weren't enough votes in the southeast to allow Hillary to win.

[ZuWo]

I thought it might happen at around 9 pm ET when Trump had a sizable lead in Florida and it became clear most of the votes in Dem strongholds had been tallied. For quite some time before CNN kept showing only 19% had been counted in Broward so their pundits claimed Clinton could still win, both of which turned out to be wrong. That was confusing and embarrassing on CNN's part.

[Seriously?]

When the Michigan and Minnesota exit polls dropped at 9 pm. I could tell that Trump had OH and would hold onto NC and FL at that point and that he'd likely steal the last state he needed to secure the Presidency.

[EpicHistory]

When Drudge reported Trump was way ahead of Romney in early voting for OH, NC, and FL, soon followed by Breitbart reporting the Clinton Campaign had cancelled their planned fireworks. I did get kinda of nervous when the results started rolling in until about 8/8:30. At that point, he started pulling ahead clearly there and elsewhere, and I knew then he had it.

[jaichind]

Michigan.

[SunSt0rm]

When the results of the Panhandle came in and at the same time I checked the exit polls of Michigan and Minnesota

[alomas]

When he was leading by a few points in Wisconsin and many sites/networks called it (CNN didn't). I knew for sure he was president of the US. It was about midnight on the east coast.

I thought it might happen at around 9 pm ET when Trump had a sizable lead in Florida and it became clear most of the votes in Dem strongholds had been tallied. For quite some time before CNN kept showing only 19% had been counted in Broward so their pundits claimed Clinton could still win, both of which turned out to be wrong. That was confusing and embarrassing on CNN's part.

Yes, I compared the numbers in Broward from 2012 and it was much more than 19%. At that moment I knew Clinton is no longer the favourite and it got better for Trump.

[Kingpoleon]

At 9:00 I thought it was pure tossup. At ~10:00, I called several states for Trump(FL, AZ, GA, IA, AK, WI) before Fox did and realized he had gotten at least to 269 and thus won.

[Admiral Kizaru]

When Florida looked gone and when Michigan & Wisconsin was too close to call. That was my first inkling that he could do it.

When the margins in Michigan & Wisconsin persisted and if anything grew bigger that was when I knew it was all over.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

I believed it when I saw it. It's appropriate, considering my middle name, to call me Doubting Thomas.

[Jeffster]

I didn't look at the clock, but I was looking at the Wisconsin numbers and comparing them to 2012 to see how many possible votes Hillary could get out of Dane and Milwaukee county, and figured there was no way she was going to get a net 100,000 more votes from those two counties to win.

[Blair]

I was at a bar until 10 EST so I had no access to data/returns other than BBC news- when Virginia was slow to come in (I knew Richmond would swing it) I started getting worried that she was only winning by 4-5 points.

When it came down to MI/WI I sensed that she was going to lose it, and went to bed somehow expecting a miracle 

[Metallifreak10]

When the first results from Indiana and Kentucky were coming in. Out of the first 30 counties in KY, Trump was outperforming Romney in 27 of them, some by 25%+. In Indiana, the first 10 counties came, and all 10 Trump was performing better than Romney. Again, some by huge swings.

[Frozen Sky Ever Why]

When I saw FOX declare Johnson the winner in WI and Trump was 4 points up in the state, I knew she was in deep trouble. Looking at the margins in OH and IA, it was clear that Trump would probably win one of MI or PA.

[rafta_rafta]

I was pessimistic when Trump led quickly to a win in Florida. was totally certain after he won Ohio decisively

[Wisconsin+17]

I called the election at 7:47 PM EST. Virginia with 20 percent in and Trump up by double digits.

[ApatheticAustrian]

i absolutely don't get this fixation on VA, which is strong R every time at the beginning and is more dem than at any other time since the 1960ies. (!)

[Lachi]

When Florida was called.

[pho]

When FOX called WI for Trump before PA & MI

[OSR stands with Israel]

when his vote share suddenly jumped in FL/NC and michigan (!!!) of all places became competetive.

[Hammy]

When Virginia took until almost full count to get Clinton in the lead I knew she was massively under-performing her polls and began already worrying at that point. When Trump's lead started growing in Wisconsin I basically knew it was over.

[reagan84]

When I saw Ohio was a blowout, I expect him to win PA and MI.

[Kalimantan]

Worried when Florida and NC turned against her, but assumed her firewall would hold. At one point she was behind in Michigan but assumed Detroit would come in, she was substantially ahead in PA at this point, but it was when I took a close look at Wisconsin I realised she could be done for. Neck-and-neck in the votes but Milwaukee largely in and I couldn't see how she would stay ahead there