Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)

[jaichind]

States that in theory still have sizable ballots are

WA  154K
AZ     93K
CO     79K
NY     57K

IL and MD might still have a bunch.

[RI]

Pretty sure WA counties all had their certification deadline this past Tuesday.

[jaichind]

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.26 million     48.19%
Trump         62.69 million     46.30%

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.46 million     48.24%
Trump         62.86 million     46.32%

For a Clinton lead of 1.92%.

[Tender Branson]

There's not a lot left to count at this point, I guess.

CA is mostly finished and maybe NY and IL have something left.

Probably not more than 500K votes altogether in the US ...

[jaichind]

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.32 million     48.21%
Trump         62.72 million     46.29%

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.45 million     48.20%
Trump         62.86 million     46.29%

For a Clinton lead of 1.91%.

[jaichind]

The following states have certified (or all but in name) their result along with turnout 2012 and 2016

          2012 turnout        2016 turnout      Diff
AL           58.6%                    58.9%          0.3%
AK          58.7%                    61.4%          2.7%
AR          50.7%                    52.6%          1.9%
CA          55.1%                    54.9%         -0.2%
CT          61.3%                    64.0%          2.7%
DE          62.3%                    63.7%          1.4%
DC          61.5%                    60.2%         -1.3%
FL           62.8%                    64.5%          1.7%
GA          59.0%                    58.8%         -0.2%
HI           44.2%                    41.7%         -2.5%
ID           59.8%                    59.4%         -0.4%
KS           56.9%                    57.3%         0.4%
KY           55.7%                    58.7%         3.0%
LA           60.2%                    59.8%        -0.4%
MA          65.9%                    66.8%          0.9%
MI           64.7%                    64.7%        -0.1%
MN          76.0%                    74.1%        -1.9%
MT          62.5%                    61.5%        -1.0%
NV          56.4%                    57.1%          0.7%
NH          70.2%                    71.5%          1.3%
NM          54.6%                    54.7%         0.1%
ND          59.3%                    59.1%        -0.2%
OH          64.5%                    62.8%        -1.7%
OK          49.2%                    52.0%          2.8%
RI           58.0%                    59.0%          1.0%
SC          56.3%                    56.8%          0.5%
TX          49.6%                     51.2%         1.6%
UT          55.5%                    56.8%          1.3%
VT          60.7%                    63.5%          2.8%
VA          66.1%                    65.7%         -0.4%
WA         64.8%                    65.7%          0.9%
WI          72.9%                    69.3%        -3.6%
WY         58.6%                    59.4%          0.8%

A lot of Midwest states had significant falls in turnout (OH, MN, WI and most like IA once they certify).  Not clear what took place as all of them were competitive and also experienced a Trump rural surge.    

[zorkpolitics]

Popular vote sets a record with 136,050,722 votes counted so far.

Nearly 7 million more than the previous record in 2008 (2012 had only 129 million votes cast).

Although not a majority, Clinton leads by over 2.6 million votes and 1.9%, the biggest lead in popular votes of a Presidential loser. 

So I guess she did make history after all....

[jaichind]

Popular vote sets a record with 136,050,722 votes counted so far.

Nearly 7 million more than the previous record in 2008 (2012 had only 129 million votes cast).

Although not a majority, Clinton leads by over 2.6 million votes and 1.9%, the biggest lead in popular votes of a Presidential loser. 

So I guess she did make history after all....

Did not Tilden 1876 win the PV by 3%?

[/]

New Mexico's trend is now exactly 0.00%, so it will probably end up going Republican once we're done.

The next state to trend to Trump (unlikely) would be NC, which currently has a trend of D+0.32%.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The following states have certified (or all but in name) their result along with turnout 2012 and 2016

          2012 turnout        2016 turnout      Diff
AL           58.6%                    58.9%          0.3%
AK          58.7%                    61.4%          2.7%
AR          50.7%                    52.6%          1.9%
CA          55.1%                    54.9%         -0.2%
CT          61.3%                    64.0%          2.7%
DE          62.3%                    63.7%          1.4%
DC          61.5%                    60.2%         -1.3%
FL           62.8%                    64.5%          1.7%
GA          59.0%                    58.8%         -0.2%
HI           44.2%                    41.7%         -2.5%
ID           59.8%                    59.4%         -0.4%
KS           56.9%                    57.3%         0.4%
KY           55.7%                    58.7%         3.0%
LA           60.2%                    59.8%        -0.4%
MA          65.9%                    66.8%          0.9%
MI           64.7%                    64.7%        -0.1%
MN          76.0%                    74.1%        -1.9%
MT          62.5%                    61.5%        -1.0%
NV          56.4%                    57.1%          0.7%
NH          70.2%                    71.5%          1.3%
NM          54.6%                    54.7%         0.1%
ND          59.3%                    59.1%        -0.2%
OH          64.5%                    62.8%        -1.7%
OK          49.2%                    52.0%          2.8%
RI           58.0%                    59.0%          1.0%
SC          56.3%                    56.8%          0.5%
TX          49.6%                     51.2%         1.6%
UT          55.5%                    56.8%          1.3%
VT          60.7%                    63.5%          2.8%
VA          66.1%                    65.7%         -0.4%
WA         64.8%                    65.7%          0.9%
WI          72.9%                    69.3%        -3.6%
WY         58.6%                    59.4%          0.8%

A lot of Midwest states had significant falls in turnout (OH, MN, WI and most like IA once they certify).  Not clear what took place as all of them were competitive and also experienced a Trump rural surge.    

The urban vote didn't turn out for Hillary.

[/]

If NM ends up trending Republican and NC stays Democratic, then only sixteen states will have trended Democratic this year, which is the lowest number ever since Alaska and Hawaii became states.

That essentially means that the trend this year is historically urban (which is true).

[Devout Centrist]

Popular vote sets a record with 136,050,722 votes counted so far.

Nearly 7 million more than the previous record in 2008 (2012 had only 129 million votes cast).

Although not a majority, Clinton leads by over 2.6 million votes and 1.9%, the biggest lead in popular votes of a Presidential loser. 

So I guess she did make history after all....

Did not Tilden 1876 win the PV by 3%?

Well, it's the biggest raw vote lead.

Plus, the South rigged the 1876 election and suppressed turnout so bigly it would make your head spin.

[jaichind]

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.44 million     48.22%
Trump         62.79 million     46.27%

As mentioned NM now trend GOP.

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.49 million     48.22%
Trump         62.85 million     46.27%

For a Clinton lead of 1.95%.

It seems CA is not really done and more votes are coming in.

[ApatheticAustrian]

according to dave wassermann clinton leads by 2% now but i don't know how exact those numbers are.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/805973874932326400

[2016]

Wasserman also says that Clinton could come really close to Obamas 65.9 M Total when the Absentees & Provisionals from NYC will be added. Upstate they have apparently finished counting.

[vtred]

Wasserman also says that Clinton could come really close to Obamas 65.9 M Total when the Absentees & Provisionals from NYC will be added. Upstate they have apparently finished counting.

Highly doubtful that there are 4 million votes left out there for Clinton...

[Slander and/or Libel]

Wasserman also says that Clinton could come really close to Obamas 65.9 M Total when the Absentees & Provisionals from NYC will be added. Upstate they have apparently finished counting.

Highly doubtful that there are 4 million votes left out there for Clinton...

It wouldn't take 4 million for her to get to 65.9M. It would take ~400K.

[vtred]

Wasserman also says that Clinton could come really close to Obamas 65.9 M Total when the Absentees & Provisionals from NYC will be added. Upstate they have apparently finished counting.

Highly doubtful that there are 4 million votes left out there for Clinton...

It wouldn't take 4 million for her to get to 65.9M. It would take ~400K.

Geez talk about screwing up 1st ever forum post lol...i was looking at 2008.  Nothing to see here...

[Torie]

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.44 million     48.22%
Trump         62.79 million     46.27%

As mentioned NM now trend GOP.

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.49 million     48.22%
Trump         62.85 million     46.27%

For a Clinton lead of 1.95%.

It seems CA is not really done and more votes are coming in.

And with that, it looks like NV replaces MN as the state that voted closest to the national vote.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Today is the last day for CA counties to submit results to the SOS for the presidential race (they have until Friday for all other races)

[jaichind]

Based on the current data coming in we have
 
Clinton        65.48 million     48.22%
Trump         62.82 million     46.27%

and then extrapolating based on current vote shares in each state and estimated votes outstanding we currently have

Clinton        65.54 million     48.22%
Trump         62.89 million     46.27%

For a Clinton lead of 1.95%.

Trump might cross 63 million after all.
 

[Fusionmunster]

Hillary already hit 2% according to Dave Wasserman.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final California Numbers:

Hillary Clinton - 8,745,766 - 62.1%
Donald Trump - 4,481,185 - 31.8%
Gary Johnson - 478,080 - 3.4%
Jill Stein - 278,334 - 2.0%
Gloria La Riva (Peace and Freedom) - 66,047 - 0.5%

[bandg]

Final California Numbers:

Hillary Clinton - 8,745,766 - 62.1%
Donald Trump - 4,481,185 - 31.8%
Gary Johnson - 478,080 - 3.4%
Jill Stein - 278,334 - 2.0%
Gloria La Riva (Peace and Freedom) - 66,047 - 0.5%

Not quite final, they haven't updated the numbers yet from Santa Barbara County.

[Dr. Arch]

Clinton +31. Freedom State.