Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)
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  Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)
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Author Topic: Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)  (Read 19204 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 10, 2016, 08:40:29 AM »
« edited: December 04, 2016, 12:34:06 AM by Tender Branson »

In OH, there are still 300.000 absentees and provisional ballots left to count.

Does anyone know the number from other states ?
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jaichind
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« Reply #1 on: November 10, 2016, 09:00:25 AM »

There must be another something like 4 million mail in ballots for CA left to be counted.  Should make it something like Clinton +1.5% nationally when those votes are counted.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: November 10, 2016, 09:18:52 AM »

There must be another something like 4 million mail in ballots for CA left to be counted.  Should make it something like Clinton +1.5% nationally when those votes are counted.

That would be awesome, because I predicted a 134 million turnout. It's at 129 million now.
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Sorenroy
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« Reply #3 on: November 10, 2016, 09:20:09 AM »

I did an analysis to see roughly how many provisional ballots there are to count in NC. I'd put the number at about 23,000-24,000 with third parties and write-ins.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=251836.0
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vileplume
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« Reply #4 on: November 10, 2016, 09:32:48 AM »

If there are huge amounts of uncounted ballots how can close states like Michigan and New Hampshire be called? The uncounted ballots could easily flip the result.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #5 on: November 10, 2016, 09:33:15 AM »

If there are huge amounts of uncounted ballots how can close states like Michigan and New Hampshire be called? The uncounted ballots could easily flip the result.

FACEPALM...LOL
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vileplume
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« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2016, 09:44:36 AM »

If there are huge amounts of uncounted ballots how can close states like Michigan and New Hampshire be called? The uncounted ballots could easily flip the result.

FACEPALM...LOL

Why lol? If you have tons of uncounted votes all over the country it stands to reason they could affect the results in certain places. Or is it only California where there are uncounted votes?
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2016, 11:12:58 AM »

If there are huge amounts of uncounted ballots how can close states like Michigan and New Hampshire be called? The uncounted ballots could easily flip the result.

FACEPALM...LOL

Why lol? If you have tons of uncounted votes all over the country it stands to reason they could affect the results in certain places. Or is it only California where there are uncounted votes?

Most all remaining ballots are in the Western States from mail in voting.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2016, 02:13:01 PM »

100.000s of ballots are left to count in CO:

135.000 alone in Denver and 20.000 in Boulder.

http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/09/denver-counting-ballots-monday-voting-crush/
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2016, 02:15:46 PM »

Apparently, most of what is left to count in CO is election day votes:

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2016, 02:22:25 PM »

Maricopa County (AZ) has about 500.000 ballots left to count as of today:

http://www.tucsonnewsnow.com/story/33673166/nearly-half-a-million-ballots-still-need-to-be-counted-in-maricopa-county
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #11 on: November 10, 2016, 02:25:47 PM »

San Diego County has 620.000 ballots left to count, Orange County 411.000

Which probably means CA as a whole has 4-5 million ballots left to count.
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Dabeav
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« Reply #12 on: November 10, 2016, 02:29:03 PM »


That many? Does that include sheriff votes? Could Arpaio still win?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #13 on: November 10, 2016, 02:37:06 PM »

CA still has 4-5 million ballots left to count, WA has 850K left, AZ probably between 600-800K, CO more than 200K.

If everything is in, Hillary could lead by up to 2% in the national popular vote.
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Mike88
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« Reply #14 on: November 10, 2016, 02:39:58 PM »

And Michigan and Wisconsin? Are there still votes to be counted? Both are extremely close.

This election looks a lot like 1876.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #15 on: November 10, 2016, 02:41:25 PM »

And Michigan and Wisconsin? Are there still votes to be counted? Both are extremely close.

This election looks a lot like 1876.

No, MI is fully counted. Probably some overseas military ballots are left, but they are lean-Trump.
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Axel Foley
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« Reply #16 on: November 10, 2016, 02:57:39 PM »
« Edited: November 10, 2016, 03:07:31 PM by Axel Foley »

With that number of votes to be counted, and given her known advantage in EV, Clinton absolutely could still win Arizona...wonder why CNN called it so early, the only one to do so...

And so, is Wisconsin really closed or am I just delusional?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2016, 03:00:58 PM »

There are actually 672.000 ballots left to be counted in AZ.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #18 on: November 10, 2016, 03:02:05 PM »

not that i think this would change anything but...wth?

since arizona isn't a super populated state, this is a really high number.
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Alcon
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« Reply #19 on: November 10, 2016, 03:02:59 PM »

Washington probably has nearly a million yet to be counted.
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PresidentTRUMP
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« Reply #20 on: November 10, 2016, 03:05:36 PM »

Trump won and he won the electoral college by a BIG number. The faster you come to the realization he will be the next president the better off you will be.

Again, it's over, Trump will be the next president for the next 4 years with most likely control of the senate and House for the full 4 years. Time for Dem's to start focusing on 2020 and repairing the damage that has been done to their brand thanks to Hillary, the DNC and most of all wikileaks.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #21 on: November 10, 2016, 03:07:18 PM »

Washington probably has nearly a million yet to be counted.

844.586 as of today.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/Turnout.html
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #22 on: November 10, 2016, 03:19:05 PM »

Did a quick calculation:

If Hillary wins the remaining 6-7 million ballots by 60-35, she will increase her national popular vote margin from the current 0.2% to around 1.5%

Hillary will then have around 48.2% and Trump 46.7%
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
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« Reply #23 on: November 10, 2016, 03:20:32 PM »

and with that, republicans lose the PV in 6 of 7 elections, historic margins afaik.

that split happening 2 times in 20 years is something very rare too.....
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Seattle
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« Reply #24 on: November 10, 2016, 03:31:32 PM »


That seems to miss around 100k ballots that King has since received. They're up to 1,050,000 or so, but only counted 680k.
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