Kanye West 2020 (user search)
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Author Topic: Kanye West 2020  (Read 7973 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: November 21, 2016, 11:11:55 PM »

That's why Kanye would lose in a landslide - Trump at least had a simple narrative he stuck to over the course of a campaign. Kanye can barely keep a narrative through a concert. Trump isn't the Republican equivalent of Kanye. Kanye is probably closer to the Republicans nominating Clint Eastwood in full-on chair-on-the-stage mode.

But that also begs the question how could he even win the primary in the first place then with such a sloppy campaign? (and just repeating "muh black vote" over and over doesn't answer it, elderly blacks, the type most likely to vote don't give a f[inks] about him, and the black vote is nowhere near enough on its own enough to win a Democratic primary especially with lily-white states opening the season, [how the f[inks] is New Hampshire "tailor made" for him?], Millennials almost certainly would back Sanders or a Sanders-like candidate speaking to the issues they care about over him [can you imagine Kanye West introducing a coherent student loan debt plan?] and the type of liberal activists who go to caucuses won't back him. He has virtually no appeal to the non-black parts of Hillary and Obama's coalitions, and it's a stretch to assume he'd even get the black vote in those numbers.])
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: November 21, 2016, 11:14:41 PM »

Also the Democratic primary rules are much different from the Republican ones. Which is why Trump isn't really a fitting precedent.

Trump won 100% of the delegates in South Carolina with less than 33% of the vote. He won a majority of the delegates in most Super Tuesday states despite not winning a majority in any.

That can't happen under the Democratic rules, and then throw in superdelegates.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2016, 01:20:29 AM »

Also the Democratic primary rules are much different from the Republican ones. Which is why Trump isn't really a fitting precedent.

Trump won 100% of the delegates in South Carolina with less than 33% of the vote. He won a majority of the delegates in most Super Tuesday states despite not winning a majority in any.

That can't happen under the Democratic rules, and then throw in superdelegates.

It's possible that he'll win the pledged delegates by such a wide margin (say, West 35% Gillibrand 16% Klobuchar 14% Booker 13% S. Brown 12% K. Brown 5%) that superdelegates will hand the nomination to him out of fear of alienating his supporters. It's worth noting that the superdelegates haven't actually gone against the pledged delegate winner yet in their history.

And where's he going to get 35% of the vote from?

Actually in that scenario he'd still lose since trailing candidates would drop out and the anti-West vote would consolidate.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,031
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2018, 07:43:04 AM »

This sure aged well!
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