RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread
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  RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread
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Author Topic: RI's 2016 Precinct Map Thread  (Read 60832 times)
NOVA Green
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« Reply #75 on: January 10, 2017, 02:21:34 AM »

The swing map of Cali is particularly interesting....

Looking at the Bay Area, you see some of the largest swings towards the Democrats in relatively wealthy areas in the East Bay, like Walnut Creek/Concord rolling all the way down to parts of South Bay especially the NW parts of Santa Clara County, and then all the way up the Peninsula.

Meanwhile you have a trend towards the Republicans in some of the most working-class parts of the region, including some heavier African-American communities in places like East Oakland and Hunters Point are of SF....

Even looking at LA County, there is that major light blue gap in the Middle running through historic Watts/ "South Central" all the way into Northern Long Beach that jumps out as well.

Shift over to the wealthy Coastal communities all the way from halfway through Orange County to Malibu, there are huge swings towards Clinton, not even going into some of the wealthier communities in the Canyons of OC and LA counties....

What is going on with that sea of dark blue in the Middle of Orange County???

Hurts my eyes just looking at it, and don't quite understand the context in that part of the County...
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #76 on: January 10, 2017, 10:25:48 AM »
« Edited: January 10, 2017, 11:08:20 AM by realisticidealist »

What is going on with that sea of dark blue in the Middle of Orange County???

Hurts my eyes just looking at it, and don't quite understand the context in that part of the County...

Crap, I think I missed some precincts in OC. That would affect the swing map too...

EDIT: The maps have been fixed for OC.
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Hydera
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« Reply #77 on: January 11, 2017, 11:48:47 AM »

The swing map of Cali is particularly interesting....

Looking at the Bay Area, you see some of the largest swings towards the Democrats in relatively wealthy areas in the East Bay, like Walnut Creek/Concord rolling all the way down to parts of South Bay especially the NW parts of Santa Clara County, and then all the way up the Peninsula.

Meanwhile you have a trend towards the Republicans in some of the most working-class parts of the region, including some heavier African-American communities in places like East Oakland and Hunters Point are of SF....

Even looking at LA County, there is that major light blue gap in the Middle running through historic Watts/ "South Central" all the way into Northern Long Beach that jumps out as well.

Shift over to the wealthy Coastal communities all the way from halfway through Orange County to Malibu, there are huge swings towards Clinton, not even going into some of the wealthier communities in the Canyons of OC and LA counties....

What is going on with that sea of dark blue in the Middle of Orange County???

Hurts my eyes just looking at it, and don't quite understand the context in that part of the County...

The swing in the african american areas is mostly because of the dropoff in turnout compared to when Obama was on the ballot.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #78 on: January 15, 2017, 11:35:51 PM »

Did Johnson win a precinct in Lake and San Bernardino Counties?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #79 on: January 16, 2017, 02:00:44 AM »

Did Johnson win a precinct in Lake and San Bernardino Counties?

Stein won the precinct in Lake, and Johnson won a couple precincts including the San Bernardino one.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #80 on: January 16, 2017, 02:41:49 AM »

Have you been able to obtain an Indiana map yet?
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #81 on: January 16, 2017, 12:27:30 PM »

Have you been able to obtain an Indiana map yet?

Miles and myself are both working on Indiana. We're about 60% through the state, but it's a real pain.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #82 on: January 16, 2017, 01:12:23 PM »
« Edited: January 16, 2017, 01:14:28 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

The swing map of Cali is particularly interesting....

Looking at the Bay Area, you see some of the largest swings towards the Democrats in relatively wealthy areas in the East Bay, like Walnut Creek/Concord rolling all the way down to parts of South Bay especially the NW parts of Santa Clara County, and then all the way up the Peninsula.

Meanwhile you have a trend towards the Republicans in some of the most working-class parts of the region, including some heavier African-American communities in places like East Oakland and Hunters Point are of SF....

Even looking at LA County, there is that major light blue gap in the Middle running through historic Watts/ "South Central" all the way into Northern Long Beach that jumps out as well.

Shift over to the wealthy Coastal communities all the way from halfway through Orange County to Malibu, there are huge swings towards Clinton, not even going into some of the wealthier communities in the Canyons of OC and LA counties....

What is going on with that sea of dark blue in the Middle of Orange County???

Hurts my eyes just looking at it, and don't quite understand the context in that part of the County...

Most of the "swing" in East Oakland stems from the fact that Stein received 5-8% of the vote in those precincts.

I suspect that this is true in most of southern SF as well, though not to the same degree. What's interesting about Stein's support in California is that the usual Green pattern ceased to exist this year, with Stein doing rather well in barrios.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #83 on: January 17, 2017, 02:29:23 PM »

Florida:
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Skye
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« Reply #84 on: January 18, 2017, 05:46:11 PM »

So Celebration voted for Trump? That comes as a bit of a surprise.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #85 on: January 18, 2017, 05:47:16 PM »

So Celebration voted for Trump? That comes as a bit of a surprise.

Why wouldn't it? Isn't the whole town just one huge corporation?
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #86 on: January 18, 2017, 05:54:49 PM »

So Celebration voted for Trump? That comes as a bit of a surprise.

Yeah, from limited research, it seems like a small community of rich White people in Central Florida ... seems like a Trump county to me.  Exit polls show that Trump's percentage correlated directly with a higher income, with being White and being a White Southerner, specifically.  It seems like that place would be rock-ribbed Republican.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #87 on: January 18, 2017, 05:57:28 PM »

I'm reading about it on Wikipedia. According to Wikipedia, Celebration is a "community development district." Only property owners are allowed to vote, and each of them gets one vote per acre that they own.

That has got to be unconstitutional.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #88 on: January 18, 2017, 05:58:06 PM »

So Celebration voted for Trump? That comes as a bit of a surprise.

Yeah, from limited research, it seems like a small community of rich White people in Central Florida ... seems like a Trump county to me.  Exit polls show that Trump's percentage correlated directly with a higher income, with being White and being a White Southerner, specifically.  It seems like that place would be rock-ribbed Republican.

I wonder if there's data of how the suburbs around Disneyworld voted compared to the suburbs around Disneyland. Orange County, FL vs. Orange County, CA.
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JustinTimeCuber
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« Reply #89 on: January 18, 2017, 11:17:15 PM »

How tf do you make these
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RI
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« Reply #90 on: January 19, 2017, 10:35:37 AM »

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RINO Tom
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« Reply #91 on: January 19, 2017, 10:53:34 AM »

LOL, I love how MS is pretty much navy blue vs. dark red.

Also, I just kind of realized this morning that if you knew where someone lived - and that area was in a really small (likely forested?) precinct - you could theoretically prove how they voted, even if they preferred to keep it secret, haha.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #92 on: January 19, 2017, 08:10:25 PM »


RI has been doing this since at least 2012, and Alcon was involved in a similar project back in '08....

I think it's a mix of being able to pull Shapefiles/GiS data combined with county level precinct data available....

My question is a bit less on the tech side of how to create these awesome maps, but rather where the heck some of these county level precinct results are pulled from, since in many cases, it requires a significant amount of expenditure to obtain raw precinct level data, and quite possibly expenditures to obtain county precinct maps where the database info can be tied into the mapping format....

I would love to be able to generate these types of maps, but I suspect that this data is not cheap to procure, even if one had the skills/training/experience to convert....

Maybe I'm totally off-base here, but I definitely appreciate the awesome goodness that comes from the labor, time, and expense to generate these!!!!
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DPKdebator
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« Reply #93 on: January 19, 2017, 09:06:47 PM »

Mississippi's precinct results are even messier than the state's borders.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #94 on: January 31, 2017, 11:10:08 AM »

New York:
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #95 on: January 31, 2017, 11:12:19 AM »

So what's with those Trump precincts in Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx?
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cinyc
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« Reply #96 on: January 31, 2017, 01:39:52 PM »

So what's with those Trump precincts in Brooklyn, Queens, and the Bronx?

Most Trump precincts in those boroughs are full of white ethnics, largely Italian and Irish-Americans, and/or Orthodox Jews.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #97 on: January 31, 2017, 07:29:04 PM »

Do you have the 2012 data to build swing and trend maps for New York?

No, and I'm not sure how easy it would be to get either.
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RI
realisticidealist
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« Reply #98 on: February 08, 2017, 11:06:29 AM »

Texas:
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Strudelcutie4427
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« Reply #99 on: February 08, 2017, 11:49:20 AM »

Anybody have New Hampshire or Maine?
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