Arkansas and Oklahoma now trended GOP (NOW: FL and LA also)

[Sprouts Farmers Market ✘]

... That map shows Arkansas trending Democratic.

no, it doesn't...

I guess I don't know how read trend maps, then. Forgive my ignorance: why is AR shaded 20% D if it trended Republican?

Blue is Republican, Red is Democrat.

Unless you mixed up Arkansas with Alaska, which frankly is kinda silly.

Come on, he knows that; it's not like he has an Arkansas avvie.

[BaldEagle1991]

Arkansas is slowly becoming a satellite state of Texas.

[vileplume]

Oklahoma has now changed to trended Republican too. Atlas data tables have Oklahoma having a Republican swing of 2.85% compared to a nationwide swing of 2.84%. It doesn't appear to have been updated on the map yet though.

[Figueira]

The trend is relatively small; I think the massive R trend from 1992 to 2012 is starting to level off. I don't see it actually voting Democratic any time soon, though.

[Dr. Arch]

This is the dress thing all over again.

[vileplume]

Louisiana has now flipped to trended Republican too. If Clinton's popular vote margin keeps growing watch Florida as the next one to flip to trended GOP its current Democratic trend is 0.30%.

The vote distribution across the country is extraordinarily unkind to Hillary Clinton though I suppose that's what you get when your vote is almost wiped out in rural/small town America.

[/]

I'd like to see the trend without California

[nclib]

Though both Okla. and La. are shown on the map as trending Dem. And Minnesota is very close to voting right of center (MN is Clinton +1.52, U.S. is now Clinton +1.5).

[vileplume]

Florida has now flipped to trended GOP too (though it's not showing on the map yet) after Clinton's national vote share lead has grown to 1.85%. The next state to watch for flipping it's trend is New Mexico where the Democratic trend stands at only 0.07%. After that it's North Carolina where the Democratic trend currently stands at 0.40% though I doubt California has enough votes left to flip it's trend but I'm not sure what the expected outstanding vote in CA is.

Assuming New Mexico flips to trended GOP as California's vote continue to trickle in at a snail's pace only 15 states (+DC) in the whole nation will have trended Democratic while a whopping 35 states will have trended Republican! This must be a candidate for all the all time record for imbalance in the number of states trending one way compared to the number trending the other way.

[RINO Tom]

Arkansas finally rejecting the Clintons makes it even more of a Freedom state.

Yeah, but them not rejecting the Clintons in the first place makes them a Horrible State.  Net zero?

LA should be next. GA and VA are the only Southern states with a clear Democratic trend (though VA hardly qualifies as Southern these days).

I really don't understand why we only change the definition of "Southern" with the times.  It really is ridiculous when you think about it.  Illinois was Midwestern when Chicago could be outvoted by the suburbs and Downstate, and it is Midwestern now.  Minnesota was Midwestern when it was the only state to vote for Mondale, and it is Midwestern now that it has trended somewhat Republican.  New Hampshire was a New England state when it was Bush's best state in the nation, and it is a New England state now that it hasn't voted for the GOP nominee in at least 20 years.

Virginia is Southern, and it always will be in my mind.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Florida has now trended Republican as well.  New Mexico could also switch.  Meanwhile, Trump's margin in Texas is now under 9 points!

[Young Conservative]

Florida has now trended Republican as well.  New Mexico could also switch.  Meanwhile, Trump's margin in Texas is now under 9 points!

Cannot find the information from Texas; I knew Florida would trend R if Clinton's PV kept increasing.

[Figueira]

If the direction of a trend can be swung by the voter turnout in California, it's probably not meaningful.

The 2012 data includes California, so comparing that to 2016 data that doesn't include all of California would be misleading.