The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup: 38(nc)/57(+1)

[Devout Centrist]

No change for Gallup: 38/56

Actually his disapproval went up a point.

[Hindsight was 2020]

No change for Gallup: 38/56

Actually his disapproval went up a point.

Oh I misread the graph thanks

[Crumpets]

Trump now at a net -13.2 on the RCP average.

[Ronnie]

IBD/TIPP (3/24 - 3/30)

Approval: 34%
Disapproval: 56%

Yikes?

[Sorenroy]

No change for Gallup: 38/56

Actually his disapproval went up a point.

Oh I misread the graph thanks

Not sure what y'all are talking about. He is at 38/57 no change:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/201617/gallup-daily-trump-job-approval.aspx

[Devout Centrist]

No change for Gallup: 38/56

Actually his disapproval went up a point.

Oh I misread the graph thanks

Not sure what y'all are talking about. He is at 38/57 no change:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/201617/gallup-daily-trump-job-approval.aspx

Oh, I see, his disapproval went up by one on the first.

[Dr. Arch]

IBD/TIPP (3/24 - 3/30)

Approval: 34%
Disapproval: 56%

Yikes?

Wowza. So now at least more than one pollster has already hit the low 30s.

[Gass3268]

Real Clear Politics Average:

40.1 Approval
53.3 Disapproval
-13.2 Net

HuffPost Pollster Average:

39.6 Approval
56.0 Disapproval
-16.4 Net

538 Average:

39.8 Approval
53.6 Disapproval
-13.8 Net

Average of the Averages:

39.8 Approval
54.3 Disapproval
-14.5 Net

[pbrower2a]

IBD/TIPP (3/24 - 3/30)

Approval: 34%
Disapproval: 56%

Yikes?

Wowza. So now at least more than one pollster has already hit the low 30s.

Analogues for an incumbent President with such a low approval rating:



FDR 57.41%, Hoover 41.65% 472-59 in the electoral vote



1980: Reagan 50.75%, Carter 41.01%, Anderson 6.61% 489-49 in the electoral vote.

Add about 6.5% to the approval rating of an incumbent Senator, Governor, or President, and you get a good estimate of how he will do in the upcoming election. It worked well with Reagan,  Dubya, and Obama; it will likely work well (if not for) Trump.

Hoover and Carter had something that Trump lacks -- a moral compass. I'm not going to guess what states would comprise 55 or so electoral votes for a Republican President seeking re-election and failing as badly as Hoover or Carter. Trump would lose

TEXAS

I have been slow to put those results in this thread as portents of what awaits the President in 2020, This is the lowest nationwide approval rating that I have seen for this President, and I am too careful to predict yet that such a low approval rating will stick. I'm suggesting what happens if the President is so unpopular at the start of the 2020 campaign.

So what do the Democrats need to do to win such a blowout against a President with such low approval ratings? The 'new Obama' would do it.

 

[Dr. Arch]

This is a serious crash across the board. That trendline in RCP should be especially alarming for the GOP, not that they're planning on doing anything differently.

[Ronnie]

This is a serious crash across the board. That trendline in RCP should be especially alarming for the GOP, not that they're planning on doing anything differently.

I expect the GOP to rally around the president, at least briefly, once Gorsuch gets confirmed.  That'll probably propel him to ~42-43%.

[heatcharger]

Reuters/Ipsos:

Trump Approval: 44/49
Trump Favorability: 51/49 (lol)
Obama Favorability: 64/36

[Middle-aged Europe]

Obama Favorability: 64/36

[I Won - Get Over It]

Reuters/Ipsos:

Trump Approval: 44/49
Trump Favorability: 51/49 (lol)
Obama Favorability: 64/36

Link? According to http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2
Trump's Approval is  45.5/46.5

[heatcharger]

Reuters/Ipsos:

Trump Approval: 44/49
Trump Favorability: 51/49 (lol)
Obama Favorability: 64/36

Link? According to http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2
Trump's Approval is  45.5/46.5

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=16526

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Ipos/Reuters...the new Rasmussen?

[Beet]

Some people may only disapprove of him because he constantly exposes more than ever how depraved and worthless our society is.

[pbrower2a]

Some people may only disapprove of him because he constantly exposes more than ever how depraved and worthless our society is.

That is a very good reason. He represents much that is wrong in America

[Middle-aged Europe]

Some people may only disapprove of him because he constantly exposes more than ever how depraved and worthless our society is.

That is a very good reason. He represents much that is wrong in America

Most things which are wrong today in America are Donald Trump.

[Gass3268]

Gallup:

Approve 39% (+1)
Disapprove 55% (-2)

Quinnipiac:

Approve 35% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

Source

[Hindsight was 2020]

Gallup:

Approve 39% (-1)
Disapprove 55% (+2)

Quinnipiac:

Approve 35% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

Source

alot of these polls paint a similar picture

[Gass3268]

Some brutal numbers in the Quinnipiac poll:

                                                                                    White College Educated
                          Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              35      79      6       32     39         31         36    51
Disapprove          57     14     91       57     51         63        58     39
DK/NA                 8        7      3        11     11          5         6     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Approve            21      30        41    42        47    41          43    16
Disapprove        70      60        52    51       44     53         48     77
DK/NA                8      10         8      6        10      7           8      7

61 - 34 percent that he is not honest;
55 - 40 percent that he does not have good leadership skills;
57 - 39 percent that he does not care about average Americans;
66 - 29 percent that he is not level-headed;
64 - 33 percent that he is a strong person;
60 - 35 percent that he is intelligent;
61 - 34 percent that he does not share their values.
Disapprove 61 - 29 percent of the way he is handling the environment;
Disapprove 48 - 41 percent of the way he is handling the economy;
Disapprove 58 - 33 percent of the way he is handling foreign policy;
Disapprove 49 - 42 percent of the way he is handling terrorism;
Disapprove 57 - 39 percent of the way he is handling immigration issues.

[pbrower2a]

Gallup:

Approve 39% (-1)
Disapprove 55% (+2)

Quinnipiac:

Approve 35% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

Source

alot of these polls paint a similar picture

And it isn't Monet's water lilies.

[Hindsight was 2020]

Some brutal numbers in the Quinnipiac poll:

                                                                                    White College Educated
                          Tot    Rep    Dem    Ind    Men    Wom    Yes    No
 
Approve              35      79      6       32     39         31         36    51
Disapprove          57     14     91       57     51         63        58     39
DK/NA                 8        7      3        11     11          5         6     10
 
                     AGE IN YRS..............    WHITE.....
                     18-34  35-49  50-64  65+    Men    Wom    Wht    NonWht
 
Approve            21      30        41    42        47    41          43    16
Disapprove        70      60        52    51       44     53         48     77
DK/NA                8      10         8      6        10      7           8      7

61 - 34 percent that he is not honest;
55 - 40 percent that he does not have good leadership skills;
57 - 39 percent that he does not care about average Americans;
66 - 29 percent that he is not level-headed;
64 - 33 percent that he is a strong person;
60 - 35 percent that he is intelligent;
61 - 34 percent that he does not share their values.
Disapprove 61 - 29 percent of the way he is handling the environment;
Disapprove 48 - 41 percent of the way he is handling the economy;
Disapprove 58 - 33 percent of the way he is handling foreign policy;
Disapprove 49 - 42 percent of the way he is handling terrorism;
Disapprove 57 - 39 percent of the way he is handling immigration issues.

That is very similar to Bush's 2006 #'s