The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Person Man]

Nov 29th YouGov favorablity rating:

Unfavorable - 54%
Favorable - 40%
DK - 6%

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/9ufc2hsirx/tabs_OP_Recount_20161130.pdf

They have….

Trump 40/54% for -14%
Clinton 39/55% for -16%
Jill Stein 19/43% for -24%

Compared to their last poll (taken right after the election), Clinton’s popularity is down.  Trump is down too, albeit just slightly (-14, as compared to the previous -12).

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: -14
Northeast: -10
South: -8
West: -25

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +8
blacks: -75
Hispanics: -33

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -16
$50-100k: -6
over $100k: -14

26% of Americans are out of their minds. Sad to see that Hillary number so high on the belief it was rigged. But lol at the 12% of Trump people thinking it was rigged. Must have been those 3 million illegals that voted .

He is still pretty far underwater...

[Phony Moderate]

Nov 29th YouGov favorablity rating:

Unfavorable - 54%
Favorable - 40%
DK - 6%

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/9ufc2hsirx/tabs_OP_Recount_20161130.pdf

They have….

Trump 40/54% for -14%
Clinton 39/55% for -16%
Jill Stein 19/43% for -24%

Compared to their last poll (taken right after the election), Clinton’s popularity is down.  Trump is down too, albeit just slightly (-14, as compared to the previous -12).

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: -14
Northeast: -10
South: -8
West: -25

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +8
blacks: -75
Hispanics: -33

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -16
$50-100k: -6
over $100k: -14

26% of Americans are out of their minds. Sad to see that Hillary number so high on the belief it was rigged. But lol at the 12% of Trump people thinking it was rigged. Must have been those 3 million illegals that voted .

He is still pretty far underwater...

But we know from the election results that many of those who dislike him are willing to vote for him.

[Mr. Morden]

Sienna College poll of New York, conducted Nov. 27-Dec. 1:

https://www.siena.edu/assets/files/news/SNY1216_Crosstabs.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Schumer 67/23% for +44%
Obama 63/33% for +30%
Gillibrand 51/22% for +29%
Cuomo 56/36% for +20%
Pence 41/40% for +1%
de Blasio 35/45% for -10%
Trump 41/53% for -12%

[Person Man]

Nov 29th YouGov favorablity rating:

Unfavorable - 54%
Favorable - 40%
DK - 6%

https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/9ufc2hsirx/tabs_OP_Recount_20161130.pdf

They have….

Trump 40/54% for -14%
Clinton 39/55% for -16%
Jill Stein 19/43% for -24%

Compared to their last poll (taken right after the election), Clinton’s popularity is down.  Trump is down too, albeit just slightly (-14, as compared to the previous -12).

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: -14
Northeast: -10
South: -8
West: -25

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +8
blacks: -75
Hispanics: -33

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -16
$50-100k: -6
over $100k: -14

26% of Americans are out of their minds. Sad to see that Hillary number so high on the belief it was rigged. But lol at the 12% of Trump people thinking it was rigged. Must have been those 3 million illegals that voted .

He is still pretty far underwater...

But we know from the election results that many of those who dislike him are willing to vote for him.

The election was about Hillary and Change. Can he win as the status quo candidate?

[pbrower2a]

Blank map. Favorability:

Probably useful until March.

Approval:

Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%  
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%  

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of New Jersey, conducted Nov. 28-Dec. 4:

Trump fav/unfav %:
38/51% for -13%

Huge gender gap…
among men: 49/39% for +10%
among women: 29/61% for -32%

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Dec. 1-2:

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/161201_topline_Politico_v3_AP-2.pdf
https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/12/161201_crosstabs_Politico_v3_AP-1-4.pdf

Trump 48% favorable 48% unfavorable

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: 0
Northeast: -4
South: +10
West: -8

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +9
blacks: -49
Hispanics: -16

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -4
$50-100k: +11
over $100k: +1

9% of Clinton voters and 29% of Johnson/Stein/McMullin voters have a favorable opinion of Trump.  5% of Trump voters have an unfavorable opinion of him.

[pbrower2a]

First one: New Jersey. Quinnipiac.

President-elect Donald Trump remains unpopular in New Jersey, with a negative 38 - 51 percent favorability rating. (Obama up 56-35 in approval... guess what sort of Presidential nominee the Democrats will be able to win with in 2020?)

https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2408

Blank map. Favorability:

Probably useful until March.

Approval:

Even -- white



Red, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40% 
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%
Blue, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

[Mr. Morden]

First one: New Jersey. Quinnipiac.

President-elect Donald Trump remains unpopular in New Jersey, with a negative 38 - 51 percent favorability rating. (Obama up 56-35 in approval... guess what sort of Presidential nominee the Democrats will be able to win with in 2020?)

https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2408

Blank map. Favorability:

Probably useful until March.

Approval:

Even -- white



Red, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40% 
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%
Blue, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

You forgot the Sienna College poll of New York:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=252808.msg5421867#msg5421867

And you also colored in the wrong map.  This is favorability, not job approval rating.

[jaichind]

Majority of Americans Say Trump Can Keep Businesses, Poll Shows

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-12-07/majority-of-americans-say-trump-can-keep-businesses-poll-shows

Trump fav  50/43

If election held again Trump 40 Clinton 36 Other 17

37% say U.S. headed in right direction, while 49% say it’s wrong; August survey showed 25%-68%

51% say they’re mostly or very confident Trump will put U.S. interests ahead of his company, family interests when dealing with foreign leaders while 47% say mostly or very skeptical

26% say Trump should sell all businesses so neither he nor family could profit from actions while in office; 69% say that would go too far

48%, say Obamacare should be repealed only with replacement; 27% say leave law alone; 19% say repeal first

[LLR]

Majority of Americans Say Trump Can Keep Businesses, Poll Shows

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-12-07/majority-of-americans-say-trump-can-keep-businesses-poll-shows

Trump fav  50/43

If election held again Trump 40 Clinton 36 Other 17

37% say U.S. headed in right direction, while 49% say it’s wrong; August survey showed 25%-68%

51% say they’re mostly or very confident Trump will put U.S. interests ahead of his company, family interests when dealing with foreign leaders while 47% say mostly or very skeptical

26% say Trump should sell all businesses so neither he nor family could profit from actions while in office; 69% say that would go too far

48%, say Obamacare should be repealed only with replacement; 27% say leave law alone; 19% say repeal first

No, a majority of Americans say that his family should not sell all their businesses. Big difference, in that one is legal and one isn't.

[Mr. Morden]

GWU/Battleground national poll, conducted Nov. 28 - Dec. 1:

https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-questionnaire.pdf
https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-crosstabs.pdf

Pence 44/37% for +7%
Trump 45/49% for -4%
Hillary Clinton 42/55% for -13%

They also have tiny subsamples on the largest states (fewer than 100 people, except for CA, so the MoE is huge):

Trump fav/unfav% in…
FL: 59/33% for +26%
TX: 52/44% for +8%
NY: 42/56% for -14%
CA: 34/58% for -24%

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Pence 44/37% for +7%

This, my friends, is why we need to restore the Fairness Doctrine.

[GlobeSoc]

GWU/Battleground national poll, conducted Nov. 28 - Dec. 1:

https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-questionnaire.pdf
https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-crosstabs.pdf

Pence 44/37% for +7%
Trump 45/49% for -4%
Hillary Clinton 42/55% for -13%

They also have tiny subsamples on the largest states (fewer than 100 people, except for CA, so the MoE is huge):

Trump fav/unfav% in…
FL: 59/33% for +26%
TX: 52/44% for +8%
NY: 42/56% for -14%
CA: 34/58% for -24%

Trump higher in FL than TX lol

[President Johnson]

GWU/Battleground national poll, conducted Nov. 28 - Dec. 1:

https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-questionnaire.pdf
https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/sites/mediarelations.gwu.edu/files/GWBattlegroundPoll61-crosstabs.pdf

Pence 44/37% for +7%
Trump 45/49% for -4%
Hillary Clinton 42/55% for -13%

They also have tiny subsamples on the largest states (fewer than 100 people, except for CA, so the MoE is huge):

Trump fav/unfav% in…
FL: 59/33% for +26%
TX: 52/44% for +8%
NY: 42/56% for -14%
CA: 34/58% for -24%

Trump higher in FL than TX lol

His second home. The people who know you best...

[Pandaguineapig]

It's surprising how Clinton's favorables seem to have gotten worse after the election. Probably many democrats no longer feel the need to defend her

[pbrower2a]

First one: New Jersey. Quinnipiac.

Whoops! I missed the Siena poll for New York State.




President-elect Donald Trump remains unpopular in New Jersey, with a negative 38 - 51 percent favorability rating. (Obama up 56-35 in approval... guess what sort of Presidential nominee the Democrats will be able to win with in 2020?)

https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2408

Blank map. Approval:

Not likely useful until March.

Favorability:

Probably our best approximation until about March.

Even -- white



Red, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40% 
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%
Blue, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

[pbrower2a]

First one: New Jersey. Quinnipiac.

President-elect Donald Trump remains unpopular in New Jersey, with a negative 38 - 51 percent favorability rating. (Obama up 56-35 in approval... guess what sort of Presidential nominee the Democrats will be able to win with in 2020?)

https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2408

Blank map. Favorability:

Probably useful until March.

Approval:

Even -- white



Red, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40% 
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%
Blue, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

[Gass3268]

It's surprising how Clinton's favorables seem to have gotten worse after the election. Probably many democrats no longer feel the need to defend her

Or they are pissed at her that she lost.

[Tirnam]

Pew Research: Low approval of Trump’s transition

[Mr. Morden]

Pew Research: Low approval of Trump’s transition

Here’s the full poll:

http://www.people-press.org/2016/12/08/low-approval-of-trumps-transition-but-outlook-for-his-presidency-improves/

They have Trump’s favorability margin at -21:









Pence also (narrowly) underwater:



Also interesting to me in this poll….the gap between Democrats and Republicans on whether there’s a relationship between Islam and violence is wider than it’s ever been:

[pbrower2a]

As a perspective on how optimistic people could be about an incoming President:



Such an image of Herbert Hoover was well justified in 1928.

[KingSweden]

As a perspective on how optimistic people could be about an incoming President:



Such an image of Herbert Hoover was well justified in 1928.

I mean on paper Hoover was a pretty impressive future President, based on his previous career

[Mr. Morden]

PPP national poll, conducted Dec. 6-7:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_120916.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Trump 43/51% for -8%

[Wiz in Wis]

It really has to be said that there is no precedent for an incoming president to improve all that much after their "honeymoon" period. Trump is getting good press and benefit of the doubt right now, there are no major crises and the GOP is united.

In other words... he's got everything going for him I can think of and he's still underwater.