The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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  The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 179363 times)
Mr. Morden
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« Reply #150 on: January 04, 2017, 01:57:58 PM »


http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/x4pjrm6s7x/econTabReport.pdf

fav/unfav %:
Biden 49/34% for +15%
Obama 54/40% for +14%
Pence 39/38% for +1%
The Democratic Party 42/45% for -3%
Trump 41/51% for -10%
The Republican Party 36/51% for -15%
Clinton 39/55% for -16%

Trump fav/unfav by gender:
men: 47/45% for +2%
women: 37/56% for -19%

Trump fav/unfav by household income:
under $50k: 39/52% for -13%
$50-100k: 49/48% for +1%
over $100k: 35/60% for -25%

7% of Clinton voters have a favorable opinion of Trump.  9% of Trump voters have an unfavorable opinion of Trump.

Meanwhile, 6% of Trump voters have a favorable opinion of Clinton.  21% of Clinton voters have an unfavorable opinion of Clinton.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #151 on: January 04, 2017, 08:17:09 PM »

It looks as if the President born in Kenya (according to many on the Right) is far better than the one made in Russia (according to the Left).
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #152 on: January 05, 2017, 10:35:02 AM »

It looks as if the President born in Kenya (according to many on the Right) is far better than the one made in Russia (according to the Left).
Somewhere in Texas, Kenya, Russia, a village is missing its idiot.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #153 on: January 05, 2017, 01:28:46 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #154 on: January 05, 2017, 02:26:08 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #155 on: January 06, 2017, 07:23:32 AM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha

Why not?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #156 on: January 06, 2017, 01:06:07 PM »
« Edited: January 07, 2017, 06:12:53 AM by pbrower2a »

I didn't expect a poll of Maryland, not that it contradicts anything that polls of New York, New Jersey, and Virginia already say.

First, the incumbent Republican Governor is doing very well in a deep-blue (Atlas Red) state: 74% approval! Fiscal conservative, but basically non-ideological... we could use much of that anywhere.

Second -- Donald Trump is deep underwater in approval -- 30% favorable (combined "somewhat" and "strongly" favorable) and 56% unfavorable -- with 48% seeing him as "strongly unfavorable".

http://2qtvrz46wjcg34jx1h1blgd2.wpengine.netdna-cdn.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/Gonzales-Maryland-Media-Poll-January-2017.pdf

To be sure, New York, New Jersey, Virginia, and Maryland do not constitute or even contain a state easily described as a microcosm of America. I am more interested in Obama-Trump states for now. I'm guessing that if states from Virginia to Maine were to have their say on Donald Trump, then he'd be vulnerable to a military coup.  

Red is for a Democratic advantage, and blue is for a Republican advantage.


Favorability:



Probably our best approximation until about March.


Approval:



Not likely useful until March.


Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%  
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

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KingSweden
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« Reply #157 on: January 06, 2017, 01:30:45 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha

Why not?

Neither of us have ever lived in Sweden. I speak the language, she does not. Would be hard for her to get work, etc
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #158 on: January 06, 2017, 06:07:54 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha

Why not?

Neither of us have ever lived in Sweden. I speak the language, she does not. Would be hard for her to get work, etc

Seems still like something to do if you do have to become a refugee...but maybe only then?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #159 on: January 06, 2017, 06:33:38 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha

Why not?

Neither of us have ever lived in Sweden. I speak the language, she does not. Would be hard for her to get work, etc

Seems still like something to do if you do have to become a refugee...but maybe only then?

Sure in a worst case scenario. I have hope for America yet
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #160 on: January 06, 2017, 08:59:02 PM »


I doubt that there was a honeymoon.

I think that Donald Trump is as close to the bottom as he can go, as America is divided into two nearly-equal political universes that believe in diametric opposites. Republicans are going to be proved wrong or Democrats will be made permanently irrelevant.

This would be a great four years to work abroad.

I have dual citizenship, but I've lived in America my whole life (was born here) and I'm not giving up on her. I wince at the "I'll just leave!" Thinking.

Though I don't think my wife would want to live in Europe either, so there's that haha

Why not?

Neither of us have ever lived in Sweden. I speak the language, she does not. Would be hard for her to get work, etc

Seems still like something to do if you do have to become a refugee...but maybe only then?

Uhm....

Trump is president, not King. There's only so much damage he can actually do in 4 years.

Still, it is nice to have the ability to "return to Israel" if I ever so desired.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #161 on: January 07, 2017, 06:04:50 PM »

But if he backtracks on those incendiary statements, will those to whom he apologizes accept it?

I won't accept it. He's a predator.

I wouldn't either. It would show him as a callow opportunist.

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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #162 on: January 07, 2017, 07:58:13 PM »

But if he backtracks on those incendiary statements, will those to whom he apologizes accept it?

I won't accept it. He's a predator.

I wouldn't either. It would show him as a callow opportunist.



Or the people do and he becomes the greatest Sophist in a century if not more.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #163 on: January 10, 2017, 12:44:14 PM »

Morning Consult national poll, conducted Jan. 5-7:
http://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000159-8543-d978-af79-e57b62f70000
http://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000159-853b-d15a-afdf-dfbb19780001

Trump 48% favorable 46% unfavorable

Trump favorability margin by region:
Midwest: -3
Northeast: -4
South: +9
West: 0

Trump favorability margin by race:
whites: +13
blacks: -55
Hispanics: -11

Trump favorability margin by income:
under $50k: -4
$50-100k: +13
over $100k: +11
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KingSweden
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« Reply #164 on: January 10, 2017, 12:57:41 PM »

Interesting his numbers are weak in Midwest. I've always seen that as his best region

Numbers down South shouldn't be surprising
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #165 on: January 10, 2017, 12:58:24 PM »

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415
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KingSweden
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« Reply #166 on: January 10, 2017, 12:59:29 PM »

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415

Ouch!!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #167 on: January 10, 2017, 01:02:03 PM »

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415

Ouch!!

This poll is awful for Trump, every number is worse than it was at the end of November.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #168 on: January 10, 2017, 01:06:28 PM »

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415

He ran as a Man of the People and then showed himself as the Man of Wealth and privilege. He's the classic fraud -- Bait-and-Switch. 

We have been had as a nation and people. It will be ugly.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #169 on: January 10, 2017, 01:29:10 PM »

Trump is already more unpopular than Obama ever was in a Quinnipiac poll, lol



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KingSweden
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« Reply #170 on: January 10, 2017, 01:42:34 PM »

These are Bush '06 level numbers
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #171 on: January 10, 2017, 01:55:09 PM »

Gonna. Get. Ugly.
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Mike88
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« Reply #172 on: January 10, 2017, 01:56:02 PM »

Either the polls are wrong, again, or people have lost their minds. Angry So, based on this numbers, 20% of Trump voters disapprove him... OK.
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Dereich
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« Reply #173 on: January 10, 2017, 02:36:01 PM »

Either the polls are wrong, again, or people have lost their minds. Angry So, based on this numbers, 20% of Trump voters disapprove him... OK.

That's the joy of a two party system. Voting for the "least bad" option in no way binds you to approving of your candidate. Plus, this would include people who disapprove of Trump but for whatever reason chose not to vote. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #174 on: January 10, 2017, 02:50:33 PM »

So are we already trusting the polls 100% again?

That being said, even if those numbers are accurate, it's not surprising at all. Neither Trump nor Clinton were very popular candidates.

National polls sure, they weren't wrong last year.
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