The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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  The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 179377 times)
Tender Branson
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« Reply #750 on: February 20, 2017, 09:26:40 AM »

Arkansas (Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College)Sad

60% Approve
35% Disapprove

Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R):

53% Approve
30% Disapprove

Do you support or oppose President Trump’s travel ban?

61% Support the Trump travel ban
34% Oppose the Trump travel ban

http://talkbusiness.net/2017/02/trump-popularity-unchanged-with-arkansas-voters-hutchinson-job-approval-solid
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #751 on: February 20, 2017, 09:35:18 AM »

Arkansas (Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College)Sad

60% Approve
35% Disapprove

Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R):

53% Approve
30% Disapprove

Do you support or oppose President Trump’s travel ban?

61% Support the Trump travel ban
34% Oppose the Trump travel ban

http://talkbusiness.net/2017/02/trump-popularity-unchanged-with-arkansas-voters-hutchinson-job-approval-solid
Because Arkansas is so high up on ISIS target list
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #752 on: February 20, 2017, 09:40:22 AM »

SurveyMonkey national poll, conducted Feb. 13-17:

https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B83Vpfes67zfUGtRQ1pxWTdKS0E/view

Trump job approval (adults):
approve 45%
disapprove 53%

Trump job approval (RVs):
approve 47%
disapprove 53%

approval margin among…
men: +6
women: -20
white: +7
black: -53
Hispanic: -28
white / no college: +18
white / college degree: -16
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #753 on: February 20, 2017, 09:47:13 AM »

Arkansas (Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College)Sad

60% Approve
35% Disapprove

Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R):

53% Approve
30% Disapprove

Do you support or oppose President Trump’s travel ban?

61% Support the Trump travel ban
34% Oppose the Trump travel ban

http://talkbusiness.net/2017/02/trump-popularity-unchanged-with-arkansas-voters-hutchinson-job-approval-solid
Because Arkansas is so high up on ISIS target list

Have you already forgotten the Little Rock massacre???
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #754 on: February 20, 2017, 09:51:57 AM »

TEXAS



President Trump won Texas by about 9% in November, which was the weakest win by any Republican nominee for President in Texas  in twenty years.

It's positive approval, and if this is where Donald Trump (no poll of Texas is precise) is three years from now, then he wins Texas -- barely. But 'barely winning Texas' indicates that he would be losing states that Republican nominees for president just don't lose anymore. 

We need remember that Texas creates huge problems for pollsters because of its size, diversity, and regional difference. Texas straddles regions and is not a region in itself; it does not have a good analogue elsewhere in the United States. 

ARKANSAS (Talk Business & Politics-Hendrix College):

60% Approve
35% Disapprove

Gov. Asa Hutchinson (R):

53% Approve
30% Disapprove

Do you support or oppose President Trump’s travel ban?

61% Support the Trump travel ban
34% Oppose the Trump travel ban

http://talkbusiness.net/2017/02/trump-popularity-unchanged-with-arkansas-voters-hutchinson-job-approval-solid

Favorability:



...If this sort of polling holds up into 2020, then people watching the Presidential election will have a 38-point mystery lasting long into the evening. But Texas would be the difference between about 400 electoral votes for the Democratic nominee and about 440.

Trump should do extremely well in the Mountain South -- that's certain at this point.

Probably our best approximation until about March.


Approval:



Not likely useful until March.


Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%  
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  

*National poll, and not a state poll -- the national poll is much more flattering to the President, who is shown in deep trouble in that state, and is likely closer to reality.


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Ronnie
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« Reply #755 on: February 20, 2017, 12:53:34 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2017, 01:01:31 PM by Ronnie »

Trump crashed bigly in today's Rasmussen poll:

Approve: 51% (-4)
Disapprove: 49% (+4)

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_feb20
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #756 on: February 20, 2017, 01:00:54 PM »


Must be the credibility gap.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #757 on: February 20, 2017, 01:01:38 PM »
« Edited: February 20, 2017, 01:28:12 PM by Ronnie »

The opposite happened in today's Gallup poll:

Approve: 42% (+1)
Disapprove: 53% (-2)
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #758 on: February 20, 2017, 01:02:20 PM »

Rasmussen and the Pew poll are big outliers anyway.

If we use the RCP and Pollster averages, Trump is down about 6-7% nationally.

That's also what the state polls show (they are a bit worse for Trump than his election day results).
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #759 on: February 20, 2017, 01:10:36 PM »

Trump has a shot at net positive approval assuming he does nothing stupid for like, a solid week. If he can pull that off.

Given all the crap in the air over Russia, not sure he can make a solid week of non-news.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #760 on: February 20, 2017, 01:24:37 PM »

The opposite happened in today's Gallup poll:

Approve: 43 42% (+1)
Disapprove: 52 53% (-2)

I think it's just noise really. I'm having a lot of trouble imagining a large enough group of people who would go from disapproving to approving of him based on merit.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #761 on: February 20, 2017, 01:32:42 PM »

The University of Texas poll is god awful. Doesn't mean the numbers are wrong necessarily, but still.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #762 on: February 20, 2017, 02:05:55 PM »

The University of Texas poll is god awful. Doesn't mean the numbers are wrong necessarily, but still.

Texas is simply a tough state to poll.

The state straddles regions, it is ethnically diverse, it has economics from cotton to semiconductors, and it contains areas with of obvious analogues outside of Texas.
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JA
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« Reply #763 on: February 21, 2017, 02:12:41 AM »

http://www.yourerie.com/news/local-news/mercyhurst-poll-trumps-approval-rating-in-erie-county-at-41-percent/660441453

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Trump won Erie County, PA 48%-46%. Obama won the County in 2012 by 57%-41%.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #764 on: February 21, 2017, 02:33:11 AM »
« Edited: February 21, 2017, 10:44:46 AM by pbrower2a »


In view of recent polls of Iowa and Michigan, I would expect President Trump to be underwater statewide in Pennsylvania.  Iowa was about R+2 against the Gallup poll. Erie County reflects that Donald Trump was able to address the economic misery of the Rust Belt without offering a tangible solution.  Now he needs solutions, and his purported solutions are all religious bigotry and special-interest favors that will do more harm than good.

I expect to see approval polls of Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin fairly soon because those states were polled frequently in 2009 and 2013, often by Quinnipiac.

Show me polling for those three states and I will give you the earliest projection of the 2020 Presidential election.

...Handling the economy? It's still the Obama economy.
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henster
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« Reply #765 on: February 21, 2017, 09:39:40 AM »

Somehow signing a few EO means he's done more than Obama did in 8 years according to some of his supporters. And repealing the coal stream rule will save 70,000 coal jobs that don't exist but whatever.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #766 on: February 21, 2017, 10:55:51 AM »

HuffPo/YouGov national poll, conducted Feb. 17-18:

http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/tabsHPPresidentTrump20170218.pdf

approve 41%
disapprove 47%

men: +4
women: -16
income under $50k: -10
income between $50k and $100k: +/-0
income over $100k: -1
Midwest: -5
Northeast: -21
South: +7
West: -13
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #767 on: February 21, 2017, 12:39:28 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2017, 01:00:44 PM by Castro »

Rasmussen approval now down to 50-50. They are still using likely voters for some reason.

Gallup ticks down to 41-53 (was 42-53).
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Gass3268
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« Reply #768 on: February 21, 2017, 01:00:20 PM »
« Edited: February 21, 2017, 01:31:19 PM by Gass3268 »

ARG

Approve 43%
Disapprove 51%

Source
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Gass3268
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« Reply #769 on: February 21, 2017, 01:31:39 PM »

Gallup

41% Approve (-1)
53% Disapprove ( )
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #770 on: February 21, 2017, 01:37:54 PM »

ARGH!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #771 on: February 21, 2017, 02:41:14 PM »

Virginia: Roanoke Poll 

Approve 32%
Disapprove 50%
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #772 on: February 21, 2017, 04:31:49 PM »


Methinks the GOP will probably lose the Governor's race again...
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #773 on: February 21, 2017, 08:30:02 PM »


Methinks the GOP will probably lose the Governor's race again...

...and a handful of House seats. That is the most effective way to stop the Trump agenda should voters get sick of the President. 
....................

I hope to see some polls of states that have yet to be polled since the election. Virginia seems to be careening away from the GOP much as West Virginia careened away from the Democrats around 2000.



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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #774 on: February 21, 2017, 09:18:30 PM »

Gallup:
40 (-1)
54 (+1)
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