The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 179402 times)
pbrower2a
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« Reply #1000 on: March 16, 2017, 11:45:33 AM »


They also poll the generic House ballot here:

Dems 46%
GOP 41%

It's really early, of course, but a 5 point popular vote win wouldn't be enough for the Dems to take back the House, given the GOP's structural advantage in how the district lines are drawn.


Obviously, sustained or intensifying unpopularity of President Trump can grow that gap.   
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1001 on: March 16, 2017, 12:07:52 PM »

Gallup: 42/53
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1002 on: March 16, 2017, 12:51:33 PM »

They also poll the generic House ballot here:

Dems 46%
GOP 41%

It's really early, of course, but a 5 point popular vote win wouldn't be enough for the Dems to take back the House, given the GOP's structural advantage in how the district lines are drawn.

5% is roughly where it was at for much of 2016. Just like with Hillary, it imploded as Trump surged in the end. Five points is simply not enough, and doesn't indicate people are turning on Republicans - yet. Once we start seeing double digit numbers - even low, like 10, 11 points, or consistently high-single digits (8-9) on a regular basis, I think that is when the GOP should worry.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1003 on: March 16, 2017, 03:02:05 PM »

They also poll the generic House ballot here:

Dems 46%
GOP 41%

It's really early, of course, but a 5 point popular vote win wouldn't be enough for the Dems to take back the House, given the GOP's structural advantage in how the district lines are drawn.

5% is roughly where it was at for much of 2016. Just like with Hillary, it imploded as Trump surged in the end. Five points is simply not enough, and doesn't indicate people are turning on Republicans - yet. Once we start seeing double digit numbers - even low, like 10, 11 points, or consistently high-single digits (8-9) on a regular basis, I think that is when the GOP should worry.

Double-digit numbers as a difference indicate that the GOP has big problems to solve, probably best while figuring things out as the minority party. 
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1004 on: March 16, 2017, 05:27:03 PM »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #1005 on: March 16, 2017, 05:56:47 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2017, 05:58:29 PM by TheDeadFlagBlues »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).

Your candidate lost to a gibbering clown who is mentally unstable. Many people pointed out that this was liable to occur seeing as she was, rightly or wrong, being investigated by the FBI but Clinton supporters tried to talk down this threat, ignoring polling data and public sentiment to support Our Beautiful Nominee. Who are the spoiled children here?

I tend to believe that it's the fault of candidates for not being able to appeal to base voters but, hey, you can call Sanders supporters "spoiled children" if you want (jfern certainly is a spoiled child but he's not really representative). That doesn't change the fact that Clinton lost and that the people you held up as idols are responsible for this. It also doesn't change the fact that you ironically supported Trump for almost a year. This cannot be said about Sanders supporters on the forum.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1006 on: March 16, 2017, 06:38:25 PM »
« Edited: March 16, 2017, 06:40:02 PM by Lief 🐋 »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).

Your candidate lost to a gibbering clown who is mentally unstable. Many people pointed out that this was liable to occur seeing as she was, rightly or wrong, being investigated by the FBI but Clinton supporters tried to talk down this threat, ignoring polling data and public sentiment to support Our Beautiful Nominee. Who are the spoiled children here?

I tend to believe that it's the fault of candidates for not being able to appeal to base voters but, hey, you can call Sanders supporters "spoiled children" if you want (jfern certainly is a spoiled child but he's not really representative). That doesn't change the fact that Clinton lost and that the people you held up as idols are responsible for this. It also doesn't change the fact that you ironically supported Trump for almost a year. This cannot be said about Sanders supporters on the forum.

Plenty of Sanders supporters are spoiled children. Most are not, but Trump-supporters like Jfern are. The Democrats bent over backwards to reach out to people like him, and they chose to live in their absurd fantasy world where DWS's nefarious schemes were the only reason that Saint Bernie lost and rallied behind a right-wing fascist instead.
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Intell
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« Reply #1007 on: March 16, 2017, 06:41:07 PM »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).

Your candidate lost to a gibbering clown who is mentally unstable. Many people pointed out that this was liable to occur seeing as she was, rightly or wrong, being investigated by the FBI but Clinton supporters tried to talk down this threat, ignoring polling data and public sentiment to support Our Beautiful Nominee. Who are the spoiled children here?

I tend to believe that it's the fault of candidates for not being able to appeal to base voters but, hey, you can call Sanders supporters "spoiled children" if you want (jfern certainly is a spoiled child but he's not really representative). That doesn't change the fact that Clinton lost and that the people you held up as idols are responsible for this. It also doesn't change the fact that you ironically supported Trump for almost a year. This cannot be said about Sanders supporters on the forum.

Plenty of Sanders supporters are spoiled children. Most are not, but Trump-supporters like Jfern are. The Democrats bent over backwards to reach out to people like him, and they chose to live in their absurd fantasy world where DWS's nefarious schemes were the only reason that Saint Bernie lost and rallied behind a right-wing fascist instead.

I mean Jfren didn't vote for trump, to my knowledge but ok.
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #1008 on: March 16, 2017, 07:42:17 PM »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).

Your candidate lost to a gibbering clown who is mentally unstable. Many people pointed out that this was liable to occur seeing as she was, rightly or wrong, being investigated by the FBI but Clinton supporters tried to talk down this threat, ignoring polling data and public sentiment to support Our Beautiful Nominee. Who are the spoiled children here?

I tend to believe that it's the fault of candidates for not being able to appeal to base voters but, hey, you can call Sanders supporters "spoiled children" if you want (jfern certainly is a spoiled child but he's not really representative). That doesn't change the fact that Clinton lost and that the people you held up as idols are responsible for this. It also doesn't change the fact that you ironically supported Trump for almost a year. This cannot be said about Sanders supporters on the forum.

Plenty of Sanders supporters are spoiled children. Most are not, but Trump-supporters like Jfern are. The Democrats bent over backwards to reach out to people like him, and they chose to live in their absurd fantasy world where DWS's nefarious schemes were the only reason that Saint Bernie lost and rallied behind a right-wing fascist instead.

The ramblings of a deluded man. If you want to stand by your word that NO ONE attacked Bernie in 2016 be my guest. Just goes to show what a troll you are, a useless one at best.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #1009 on: March 16, 2017, 07:43:19 PM »

Bernie has a closet full of potential scandals, there's just been no incentive for anyone to un-earth them yet. If he runs in 2020, there will be.

TROLOLOL running for president usually uncovers any scandals...Which he just did.

No one attacked Bernie in 2016, and no one had any reason to. For the Republicans, he served as a helpful diversion for Clinton, and for Clinton, he was never a serious threat to the nomination and she did not want to alienate his supporters (this was probably a mistake, as so many of them, like jfern, idiotically ended up supporting Trump anyway because they are spoiled children, but I digress).

Your candidate lost to a gibbering clown who is mentally unstable. Many people pointed out that this was liable to occur seeing as she was, rightly or wrong, being investigated by the FBI but Clinton supporters tried to talk down this threat, ignoring polling data and public sentiment to support Our Beautiful Nominee. Who are the spoiled children here?

I tend to believe that it's the fault of candidates for not being able to appeal to base voters but, hey, you can call Sanders supporters "spoiled children" if you want (jfern certainly is a spoiled child but he's not really representative). That doesn't change the fact that Clinton lost and that the people you held up as idols are responsible for this. It also doesn't change the fact that you ironically supported Trump for almost a year. This cannot be said about Sanders supporters on the forum.

Plenty of Sanders supporters are spoiled children. Most are not, but Trump-supporters like Jfern are. The Democrats bent over backwards to reach out to people like him, and they chose to live in their absurd fantasy world where DWS's nefarious schemes were the only reason that Saint Bernie lost and rallied behind a right-wing fascist instead.

Again, I seem to recall you sharing Trump memes, ironically supporting his candidacy etc. "People who live in glass houses shouldn't throw stones." Do you feel guilty about this?
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1010 on: March 16, 2017, 11:20:59 PM »

Kaiser Health Tracking Poll has Trump's approval at 36/58.

iCitizen has it at 42/58.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1011 on: March 17, 2017, 01:40:37 AM »


Holy moly
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1012 on: March 17, 2017, 02:27:18 AM »


Quote
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Wat.
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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #1013 on: March 17, 2017, 04:12:07 AM »


According to their crosstabs, they broke the poll results down to the four Census Bureau regions: Northeast, South, Midwest, and West.

https://icitizen.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/03/TrumpApproval_031617_Crosstabs_Final.pdf

So, maybe "West Coast" is a bit misleading as a description since it probably included Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, and Arizona as well.
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jdk
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« Reply #1014 on: March 17, 2017, 09:28:37 AM »


According to their crosstabs, they broke the poll results down to the four Census Bureau regions: Northeast, South, Midwest, and West.


So, maybe "West Coast" is a bit misleading as a description since it probably included Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, and Arizona as well.
Even with those included it seems high.  The only way it could be the west could be that high was that if you went as far east to include Texas, Oklahoma, Nebraska, Kansas, and the Dakotas
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I Won - Get Over It
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« Reply #1015 on: March 17, 2017, 10:39:20 AM »

Rasmussen

Approve      48% (+1)
Disapprove  52% (-1)

Strongly:
Approve      34% (+3)
Disapprove  43% (-1 )
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1016 on: March 17, 2017, 12:06:36 PM »

Gallup:

Approve: 41% (-1)
Disapprove: 54% (+1)
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1017 on: March 17, 2017, 12:26:45 PM »

Gallup:

Approve: 41% (-1)
Disapprove: 54% (+1)
XD
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I Won - Get Over It
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« Reply #1018 on: March 17, 2017, 03:15:17 PM »

Ipsos MARCH 12-16

All Adults http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/
Approve      44% ( -4)
Disapprove  49% (+2)

LV  http://polling.reuters.com/#poll/CP3_2/filters/LIKELY:1
Approve      45% ( -4)
Disapprove  51% (+3)
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Virginiá
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« Reply #1019 on: March 17, 2017, 03:23:44 PM »

Looks like Trump's negatives are just about synchronized across polling outfits now. What a mandate he has!
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OneJ
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« Reply #1020 on: March 17, 2017, 04:06:19 PM »

They're going down again! Cool
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henster
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« Reply #1021 on: March 17, 2017, 05:32:08 PM »

Morning Consult seems to have oversampled rural areas. The breakdown is 43/31/23 suburban/rural/urban. Rural areas are only 17% of the electorate according to exit polls.

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-cf3b-db68-a97b-dffbdcb40000
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1022 on: March 17, 2017, 05:38:18 PM »

Morning Consult seems to have oversampled rural areas. The breakdown is 43/31/23 suburban/rural/urban. Rural areas are only 17% of the electorate according to exit polls.

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-cf3b-db68-a97b-dffbdcb40000

But do all pollsters define urban/suburban/rural the same way?
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1023 on: March 18, 2017, 12:12:55 PM »

Gallup: 40 (-1)
            55 (+1)
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1024 on: March 18, 2017, 01:25:32 PM »



Just a quarter of young Americans have a favorable view of the Republican Party, and 6 in 10 have an unfavorable view.
Majorities of young people across racial and ethnic lines hold negative views of the GOP.

The Democratic Party performs better, but views aren't overwhelmingly positive. Young people are more likely to have a favorable than an unfavorable view of the Democratic Party by a 47 percent to 36 percent margin. But just 14 percent say they have a strongly favorable view of the Democrats.

Views of the Democratic Party are most favorable among young people of color. Roughly 6 in 10 blacks, Asians and Latinos hold positive views of the party. Young whites are somewhat more likely to have unfavorable than favorable views, 47 percent to 39 percent.

As for Trump, 8 in 10 young people think he is doing poorly in terms of the policies he's put forward and 7 in 10 have negative views of his presidential demeanor.


Results of the 2020 election will not be pretty for Donald Trump, at least among the youngest voters. 
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