The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 180500 times)
Ronnie
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« Reply #1125 on: March 22, 2017, 01:21:19 PM »
Where are the dumpster fire and trainwreck GIFs when I need them?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1126 on: March 22, 2017, 01:33:00 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2017, 01:42:04 PM by pbrower2a »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 22, 2017, 12:52:07 PM
Quinnipiac Poll (national):

37% Approve (-4)
56% Disapprove (+4)

Source

The key is his base is eroding.

Men:

43% Approve (-6)
52% Disapprove (+7)

Whites:

44% Approve (-5)
50% Disapprove (+5)

Republicans:

81% Approve (-10)
14% Disapprove (+9)

Whites With No College Degree:

50% Approve (-10)
43% Disapprove (+9)



Now the poll for which I salivate:

Quote from: Gass3268 on March 22, 2017, 12:34:59 PM
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on March 22, 2017, 12:32:33 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 22, 2017, 12:31:14 PM
Marquette Poll of WI:

41% Approve
47% Disapprove

So the question is was Hillary just a bad fit for the state?

Yes, he went on to say that heavily won late decidedness and folks that hated both candidates.

President Trump would lose Wisconsin if he were running for re-election this year.

It will be interesting to see how Governor Walker and  Senator Baldwin fare.



Favorability:




Still useful for some states.


Approval:






Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%  
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation.  
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1127 on: March 22, 2017, 04:24:25 PM »
« Edited: March 22, 2017, 04:30:25 PM by Ronnie »
Reuters/Ipsos (3/17-3/21):
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 47%

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7607

One thing that seems off to me in that poll is the partisan distribution:

Democrat: 43.7%
Republican: 42.0%
Independent: 14.2%

Aren't independents way too low, and shouldn't the gap between Democrats and Republicans be greater than that?
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1128 on: March 23, 2017, 05:15:06 AM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on March 22, 2017, 12:52:07 PM
Quinnipiac Poll:

37% Approve (-4)
56% Disapprove (+4)

Source

The key is his base is eroding.

Men:

43% Approve (-6)
52% Disapprove (+7)

Whites:

44% Approve (-5)
50% Disapprove (+5)

Republicans:

81% Approve (-10)
14% Disapprove (+9)

Whites With No College Degree:

50% Approve (-10)
43% Disapprove (+9)


And you're telling us Morning Consult numbers were laughable. Calling these numbers a joke would be insulting to any joke.
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Klartext89
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« Reply #1129 on: March 23, 2017, 05:16:46 AM »
Quote from: Ronnie on March 22, 2017, 04:24:25 PM
Reuters/Ipsos (3/17-3/21):
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 47%

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7607

One thing that seems off to me in that poll is the partisan distribution:

Democrat: 43.7%
Republican: 42.0%
Independent: 14.2%

Aren't independents way too low, and shouldn't the gap between Democrats and Republicans be greater than that?

Yeah, should be D+15 like (probably) with Gallup, Qunnipiac or back with the Election polls that were so accurate...
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Dr. Arch
Arch
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« Reply #1130 on: March 23, 2017, 08:26:48 AM »
Quote from: Klartext89 on March 23, 2017, 05:16:46 AM
Quote from: Ronnie on March 22, 2017, 04:24:25 PM
Reuters/Ipsos (3/17-3/21):
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 47%

http://www.ipsos-na.com/news-polls/pressrelease.aspx?id=7607

One thing that seems off to me in that poll is the partisan distribution:

Democrat: 43.7%
Republican: 42.0%
Independent: 14.2%

Aren't independents way too low, and shouldn't the gap between Democrats and Republicans be greater than that?

Yeah, should be D+15 like (probably) with Gallup, Qunnipiac or back with the Election polls that were so accurate...

They were. They nailed down the popular vote almost to a T.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1131 on: March 23, 2017, 09:12:23 AM »
Harvard-Harris national poll, conducted Mar. 14-16 (registered voters):

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/polls/harris-harvard-27335

approve 49%
disapprove 51%

favorable 44%
unfavorable 51%
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1132 on: March 23, 2017, 11:07:59 AM »
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on March 23, 2017, 10:13:02 AM
Political Polls‏
@Politics_Polls

CALIFORNIA
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 31%
Disapprove 61%

http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1230

Doesn't change my map.
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I Won - Get Over It
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« Reply #1133 on: March 23, 2017, 11:28:05 AM »
Quote from: Mondale Won 1 State on March 23, 2017, 10:13:02 AM
Political Polls‏
@Politics_Polls

CALIFORNIA
Trump Job Approval:
Approve 31%
Disapprove 61%

http://www.ppic.org/main/publication.asp?i=1230

35/62 among LV
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1134 on: March 23, 2017, 12:07:58 PM »
Gallup:

Approve: 39% (-1)
Disapprove: 56% (+1)
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #1135 on: March 23, 2017, 12:40:37 PM »
Quote from: Ronnie on March 23, 2017, 12:07:58 PM
Gallup:

Approve: 39% (-1)
Disapprove: 56% (+1)
Hahahaha
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1136 on: March 23, 2017, 01:54:37 PM »

Who knows what a 'likely voter' of 2020 will be?
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Crumpets
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« Reply #1137 on: March 23, 2017, 01:57:35 PM »
Oof. The RCP graph did not look pretty for Trump yesterday:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1138 on: March 23, 2017, 02:27:03 PM »
Monumental collapse way early into the presidency.
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I Won - Get Over It
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« Reply #1139 on: March 23, 2017, 04:30:45 PM »
Quote from: Arch on March 23, 2017, 02:27:03 PM
Monumental collapse way early into the presidency.
He is 1-3% lower than a month ago and still is 5-10% higher than during election. Monumental collapse?

AHCA might though cause collapse in the future though...
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Person Man
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« Reply #1140 on: March 23, 2017, 04:59:35 PM »
When did Bush abandon privatizing Social Security?
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1141 on: March 23, 2017, 05:47:26 PM »
Quote from: I Won - Get Over It on March 23, 2017, 04:30:45 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 23, 2017, 02:27:03 PM
Monumental collapse way early into the presidency.
He is 1-3% lower than a month ago and still is 5-10% higher than during election. Monumental collapse?

AHCA might though cause collapse in the future though...
Favorables aren't approvals
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henster
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« Reply #1142 on: March 23, 2017, 06:10:24 PM »
Do people still think KXL will reduce gas prices?
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I Won - Get Over It
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« Reply #1143 on: March 23, 2017, 06:35:13 PM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on March 23, 2017, 05:47:26 PM
Quote from: I Won - Get Over It on March 23, 2017, 04:30:45 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 23, 2017, 02:27:03 PM
Monumental collapse way early into the presidency.
He is 1-3% lower than a month ago and still is 5-10% higher than during election. Monumental collapse?

AHCA might though cause collapse in the future though...
Favorables aren't approvals
In theory - yes.

If you check the numbers you'll hardly see any difference.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1144 on: March 24, 2017, 04:44:26 AM »
Quote from: Devout Centrist on March 23, 2017, 05:47:26 PM
Quote from: I Won - Get Over It on March 23, 2017, 04:30:45 PM
Quote from: Arch on March 23, 2017, 02:27:03 PM
Monumental collapse way early into the presidency.
He is 1-3% lower than a month ago and still is 5-10% higher than during election. Monumental collapse?

AHCA might though cause collapse in the future though...
Favorables aren't approvals

At this stage they are very close. I saw one in which Michigan had a 39% approval and 40% favorability (or was it the other way around?) That put the two in different categories, but I can hardly see a difference between the two even if the map suggests a difference.

Favorability asks whether people like the fellow. Approval asks whether they like what he has done. As the end of the President's term ends, approval becomes more relevant. 
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1145 on: March 24, 2017, 08:12:34 AM »
SurveyMonkey:

Approve 42%
Disapprove 56%

Strongly disapprove outweighs strongly approve 44%-23%

Source
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1146 on: March 24, 2017, 09:03:55 AM »
« Edited: March 25, 2017, 09:55:33 AM by Wiz in Wis »
According to Gallup, Trump now has three times as many days at or below 40 than he does at or above 45.



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Gass3268
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« Reply #1147 on: March 24, 2017, 09:37:21 AM »
ICITIZEN:

37% Approve
62% Disapprove

Source
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1148 on: March 24, 2017, 09:39:47 AM »

Whoa, that disapproval
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1149 on: March 24, 2017, 10:15:02 AM »
Trump falls to 44/56 in Rasmussen. A new low.
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