The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Beet]

ABC / WaPo also conducted a poll on the Syrian bombing:

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http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1187a1StrikeonSyria.pdf

That's interesting to me. It probably doesn't hurt Trump much (but neither does it help him).

Seems about right.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

America is turning into the villian like in a movie but this time it's reality.

[Fusionmunster]

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

It doesnt say support actually invading Syria though.

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

America is turning into the villian like in a movie but this time it's reality.

Spare us the dramatics.

[Beet]

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

America is turning into the villian like in a movie but this time it's reality.

And I suppose Assad is the hero, right?

[Person Man]

ABC / WaPo also conducted a poll on the Syrian bombing:

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http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-content/uploads/1187a1StrikeonSyria.pdf

That's interesting to me. It probably doesn't hurt Trump much (but neither does it help him).

Seems about right.

We are definitely better off without Assad. Of course he could be replaced by someone worse.

[ProgressiveCanadian]

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

America is turning into the villian like in a movie but this time it's reality.

And I suppose Assad is the hero, right?

Villians after each other. Bombing innocent civilians no matter in what context is terrible. You need to take lessions from Iraq since you seem to support the bombings.

[JA]

Wow, an outright majority support regime change in Syria? I guess the Iraq War really is history.

America is turning into the villian like in a movie but this time it's reality.

"Turning into"?

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Rasmussen (4/11/17) -

Approve: 47% (+3)
Dissaprove: 53% (-3)

Trump's actions in Syria are benefiting him.

[Ronnie]

Gallup

Approve: 40% (nc)
Disapprove: 54% (+1)

[pbrower2a]

Rasmussen (4/11/17) -

Approve: 47% (+3)
Dissaprove: 53% (-3)

Trump's actions in Syria are benefiting him.

That's very slight.

Gallup

Approve: 40% (nc)
Disapprove: 54% (+1)

The point. President Trump's support seems to be stabilizing at a low level.

[heatcharger]

VA - Quinnipiac:

Approve 36% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

VA - Quinnipiac:

Approve 36% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

Clearly benefiting from that Syria strike

[pbrower2a]

Arkansas - Talk Business & Politics and Hendrix College (Previous Poll was in February):

53% Approve (-7)
39% Disapprove (+9)

Source

Down from 60% in February. Probably the Obamacare fiasco... Republicans are ineffective in repealing it, but have nothing to replace it with except run-out-of-money-and-die.

It's not all bad news for Republicans; the Governor has gained some support.  President Trump would still win Arkansas decisively if he were up for re-election, but not as decisively as in November. Of course the map shows where his loss of support would destroy him politically. The loss of support is as severe as in any other part of the country. 

Virginia:

VA - Quinnipiac:

Approve 36% (-2)
Disapprove 57% (+1)

Even if Virginia is drifting rapidly D without Donald Trump, this polling of him is a dismal result for him. Add six to the approval rating and you get a fair estimate of how much an incumbent would get running for re-election in a state.

President Trump stands to lose Virginia by a bigger margin than did Goldwater in 1964.  

I hope to see more states -- Ohio, especially.




Favorability:

*approval poll from mid-March supplanted by a poll the next week by the same pollster. Shown as a data point that I wish I had gotten at an opportune time.  


Still useful for some states.


Approval:

Even -- white



Blue, positive and 40-43%  20% saturation
............................ 44-47%  40%  
............................ 48-50%  50%
............................ 51-55%  70%
............................ 56%+     90%

Red, negative and  48-50%  20% (raw approval or favorability)
..........................  44-47%  30%
..........................  40-43%  50%
..........................  35-39%  70%
.......................under  35%  90%

White - tie.
 
Colors chosen for partisan affiliation  

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted April 6-9:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015b-5fbb-da80-afdf-dfff4d650002

Trump job approval/disapproval:
48/47% for +1%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +/-0
Northeast: -7
South: +7
West: -1

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +11
blacks: -60
Hispanics: -9

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -7
$50-100k: +9
over $100k: +23

12% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  14% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

[Gass3268]

Arkansas - Talk Business & Politics and Hendrix College (Previous Poll was in February):

53% Approve (-7)
39% Disapprove (+9)

Source

[JA]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted April 6-9:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015b-5fbb-da80-afdf-dfff4d650002

Trump job approval/disapproval:
48/47% for +1%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +/-0
Northeast: -7
South: +7
West: -1

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +11
blacks: -60
Hispanics: -9

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -7
$50-100k: +9
over $100k: +23

12% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  14% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

Nothing unifies Americans behind their dear leader quite like dropping bombs on other countries.

[Gass3268]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted April 6-9:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015b-5fbb-da80-afdf-dfff4d650002

Trump job approval/disapproval:
48/47% for +1%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +/-0
Northeast: -7
South: +7
West: -1

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +11
blacks: -60
Hispanics: -9

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -7
$50-100k: +9
over $100k: +23

12% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  14% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

Nothing unifies Americans behind their dear leader quite like dropping bombs on other countries.

Politico/Morning Consult has always been his best performing poll.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -7
$50-100k: +9
over $100k: +23

"Butbutbut Trump is working-class buhhh."

[JA]

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -7
$50-100k: +9
over $100k: +23

"Butbutbut Trump is working-class buhhh."

Minorities are disproportionately represented among the under $50k category, which would heavily drag down Trump's approval numbers under that category. I'd like to see these income results for Whites alone. But clearly, as anyone who actually looked at the numbers the whole time would've known, Trump was anything but unpopular among the middle and upper middle classes.

[heatcharger]

Nothing unifies Americans behind their dear leader quite like dropping bombs on other countries.

48/47 hardly counts as unified.

Meanwhile, in The Economist/YouGov poll (previous poll was last week):

All Adults:

Approve 40%
Disapprove 50% (+2)

Registered Voters:

Approve 43%
Disapprove 52% (+2)

[JA]

Nothing unifies Americans behind their dear leader quite like dropping bombs on other countries.

48/47 hardly counts as unified.

Meanwhile, in The Economist/YouGov poll (previous poll was last week):

All Adults:

Approve 40%
Disapprove 50% (+2)

Registered Voters:

Approve 43%
Disapprove 52% (+2)

Point taken. His approval numbers do appear to have improved some since their low point just prior to the bombing, however. Whether that was caused by the bombing or not is hard to tell. But I do believe if he dramatically increased American invervention in Syria then his approval ratings would increase substantially.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Minorities are disproportionately represented among the under $50k category

But they are still working-class.

[heatcharger]

Point taken. His approval numbers do appear to have improved some since their low point just prior to the bombing, however. Whether that was caused by the bombing or not is hard to tell. But I do believe if he dramatically increased American invervention in Syria then his approval ratings would increase substantially.

I'm not so sure. War is somewhat popular -- in the abstract. People like the idea of showing that America is "tough", but they start getting weary once they hear about it on the news every day for months and months. It's what happened with Iraq.

[JA]

Minorities are disproportionately represented among the under $50k category

But they are still working-class.

Well, of course. But I don't think it has ever been a question whether they dislike Trump or not. His supposed base among the working class is really meant as a base among the White working class. Although it's curious how some people now define said class.

[JA]

Point taken. His approval numbers do appear to have improved some since their low point just prior to the bombing, however. Whether that was caused by the bombing or not is hard to tell. But I do believe if he dramatically increased American invervention in Syria then his approval ratings would increase substantially.

I'm not so sure. War is somewhat popular -- in the abstract. People like the idea of showing that America is "tough", but they start getting weary once they hear about it on the news every day for months and months. It's what happened with Iraq.

A war only seems to be unpopular when America isn't winning it. Among those of us who're anti-war it'll always be unpopular, but history has shown countless times that we're the minority. The majority of Americans will rally behind a war until they start seeing all the caskets coming home and endless news reports for months of a lack of success in the mission. It's that alone, not even the potentially countless civilian deaths or total destruction of another country, that discourages Americans' support for war.