The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup, 20 April

43% (+1)
50% (-2)

I wonder if it is enough for getting 45% in Gallup if Trump just shuts the f%%k up (=no scandals of Obama-tapped-my-phones level).

Trump is truly king of the the low expectations

P.S. It just might be a noise; I know that.

When he's quiet, he's around 43-45... when he's loud, he's at or below 40.

But if (a big if) he keeps quiet in more than 2-3 weeks we are entering uncharted territory.

[Middle-aged Europe]

When he's quiet, he's around 43-45... when he's loud, he's at or below 40.

I suspect that Ivanka started to check daddy's tweets, before he sends them away. That's probably one of her main tasks as "Assistant to the President".

[Mr. Morden]

Morning Consult national poll, conducted April 13-15:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015b-8833-da28-af5b-b93bd7840001

Trump job approval/disapproval:
48/45% for +3%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +12
Northeast: -11
South: +9
West: -9

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +12
blacks: -59
Hispanics: -5

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: -4
$50-100k: +7
over $100k: +18

8% of Trump voters disapprove of Trump’s job performance.  12% of Clinton voters approve of Trump’s job performance.

[pbrower2a]

At a 6% advantage, Democrats win back the House only if they can win back districts that swung heavily against them in states like Arkansas and Georgia that used to lean Democratic, generally where gerrymandering is irrelevant. 

[JA]

The man really just builds his support around stupid white guys

He represents everything alot of men wish we were.

Famous, on TV shows, in films, cameo appearances from Wrestlemania to The Jeffersons. More gorgeous women then most men will ever make love to in our lives. Money beyond belief. A gorgeous wife, beautiful successful surprisingly down to Earth children. Wonderful grandchildren. Mansions and casinos and private jets. Now he's topped it off by being the President of the United States.

Who WOULDN'T want to be Donald Trump? I sure as hell would love to be in his shoes.

Your support for Trump is a consequence of your own insecurities? What a surprise.

Sure? Why not? If African Americans can have "emotional investment" in Barack Obama, why can't I have it in Donald Trump?

When he had a Christmas time victory tour rally, after he defeated Hillary Clinton in December, he went on a mini-rant about how Time's "PERSON OF THE YEAR" used to be called "MAN OF THE YEAR". I stared at the CNN screen and thought, "Oh my God, it's me." LOL

This is the most pathetic thing I've ever read in my life. I sh**t you not.

[pbrower2a]

The man really just builds his support around stupid white guys

He represents everything alot of men wish we were.

Famous, on TV shows, in films, cameo appearances from Wrestlemania to The Jeffersons. More gorgeous women then most men will ever make love to in our lives. Money beyond belief. A gorgeous wife, beautiful successful surprisingly down to Earth children. Wonderful grandchildren. Mansions and casinos and private jets. Now he's topped it off by being the President of the United States.

Who WOULDN'T want to be Donald Trump? I sure as hell would love to be in his shoes.

Your support for Trump is a consequence of your own insecurities? What a surprise.

Sure? Why not? If African Americans can have "emotional investment" in Barack Obama, why can't I have it in Donald Trump?

Barack Obama got overwhelming percentages of the Jewish, Latino, and Asian votes. He is neither Jewish, Latino, nor Asian. In fact he won unambiguous majorities in the 2008 and 2012 elections. It is safe to say that millions of people voted for him for reasons other than his ethnicity.

Donald Trump is a thoroughly-awful person. The crotch-grabbing is enough of a reason for me to reject him for President. But go ahead and have an emotional stake in him. Many people have questionable heroes like tyrants, mobsters, swindlers, and terrorists.

If you are a conservative you have plenty of alternatives to Donald Trump as a hero. It troubles me that he mentioned tyrants as people that he admired. He could have offered Margaret Thatcher or Ronald Reagan.   

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A 'victory tour' -- he could have been consulting experts on how to staff the White House, how to deal with Congress, etc. ...

[I Won - Get Over It]

^^^^^^^^

Morning Consult national poll, conducted April 13-15 vs April 6-9:

RV
48% (-/-)
45% (-2)

[I Won - Get Over It]

ARG, April 17-20 vs March 17-20
http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/

All Adults:
39 (-2)
56 (+2)

[Matty]

ARG, April 17-20 vs March 17-20
http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/

All Adults:
39 (-2)
56 (+2)

arg is still around? Didn't they come out after the wisconsin primary and admit their people forgot to poll waukesha county?

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup

43% (-/-)
51% (+1)

[I Won - Get Over It]

SurveyMonkey, April 14-20 vs April 7-13
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxxpEMTW3kArRWdXM01kaUpFYzg/view

All Adults:
45% (-/-)
54% (-1)

RV:
46% (-/-)
53% (-/-)

[Virginiá]

Gallup (April 21st)

42% (-1)
52% (+1)

[hopper]

The man really just builds his support around stupid white guys

No non-college white women voted for him too not just stupid white guys.

[hopper]

So despite bombing several nations, he's gone from -13 to -10 in the approval ratings sweepstakes. Good job, Donnie. Looks like his presidency will be an unmitigated popularity disaster. He's running far behind Obama's ratings in general. Cannot wait for the recession that will cause Trumpy's ratings to crash through the (already low) basement.

Obama was very likeable where as Trump is not so that's the difference. Obama was personally popular but his policies weren't popular.

Obama was elected with 53% of the vote and was fairly popular until 1 year into his White House. I think for most of his tenure he was at around tied, or up or down by 3-4%. Trump is substantially much more politically unpopular. I think Republicans ignore the enduring unpopularity of Trump at their own political peril; you won't see his supporters engaging that he's unpopular and will remain controversial and unpopular.

I'll add here that Reagan's and Clinton's popularity helped buoy them through difficult times; ditto George W. Bush. In fact, a lot of Clinton and Reagan's legacy remains today because of how popular they were as Presidents and ditto Obama today.

The base should bear that unpopular presidents are usually unable to see their legacies remain enshrined in national law and see their goals quickly undone. Again, I have alluded to the Trump recession coming our way, and if Trump is at 41% and moves to 31% by the time of the recession, Trump could be in true political peril with the myriad of scandals around him.

True if a recession comes he will take the hit like Carter did in '80 and Bush HW did in '92 and be a one-termer. We don't know about the ending result of the scandals(.i.e. Russia) but it doesn't look good.

There is no if. There will be a recession. As far as Russia, he either quits, impeachment, or is quietly forced to abandon a run for President for a second term. The last option could honestly realistically happen so the GOP can try to find someone else but I'm not sure really how that would work out for them ...

Why are you so sure there is going to be a recession?

[Shadows]

Yea there's nothing to suggest right now that there will be a recession unless Trump screws up North Korea & they damage South Korea & Japan, which will almost guarantee a global recession! But other that, it's wishful thinking !

[Gass3268]

ABC:

42% Approve
53% Disapprove

Obama Comparison:

[Virginiá]

Why are you so sure there is going to be a recession?

Clearly he has sinister plans for world domination, and a recession is how they begin.

But seriously, going without a recession until late 2020 would be a historical record. Even considering that expansions have gotten longer over the past few decades, it just doesn't seem likely that one won't happen prior to the next presidential election. I know these don't happen because of "old age" or something silly like that, but one still should respect the trends we have up to this point.

[Shadows]

There is nothing in the trends which shows that there WOULD be an incoming recession, at best it is 50-50. There was no recession during the end of Reagan's term. No recession, at the end of Clinton's term. None at the end of Obama's term.

H.W. had a recession for a small period & ofcourse the whole economy collapsed in 2007. There are no massive structural fault lines, the economy has kind of recovered for 7-8 years slowly.

Ofcourse Trump's de-regulation & stupid foreign policies "COULD" do it though !

[Ronnie]

It's hard to see that deficit among millennials as anything but lethal for Republican presidential candidates, if not in the next presidential election, then in the ones after that.  They better do something to bring more young people on their side, and fast, or else they're in deep trouble.  Something tells me they've already read the tea leaves, and are just hoping to stack the Supreme Court with as many conservatives as possible in the meantime to make the impending left-wing rule less painful.

[The_Doctor]

It's hard to see that deficit among millennials as anything but lethal for Republican presidential candidates, if not in the next presidential election, then in the ones after that.  They better do something to bring more young people on their side, and fast, or else they're in deep trouble.  Something tells me they've already read the tea leaves, and are just hoping to stack the Supreme Court with as many conservatives as possible in the meantime to make the impending left-wing rule less painful.

Something tells me they aren't thinking that Democratic rule will be a thing for a certain period of time because "MUH people become Republican with age"

No. Occam's razor. They simply haven't thought that far ahead and taking it day by day. There is no strategic long term thinking in the Republican Party right now. There's doing things now and hoping that the future works out somehow.

[pbrower2a]

So despite bombing several nations, he's gone from -13 to -10 in the approval ratings sweepstakes. Good job, Donnie. Looks like his presidency will be an unmitigated popularity disaster. He's running far behind Obama's ratings in general. Cannot wait for the recession that will cause Trumpy's ratings to crash through the (already low) basement.

Obama was very likeable where as Trump is not so that's the difference. Obama was personally popular but his policies weren't popular.

Obama was elected with 53% of the vote and was fairly popular until 1 year into his White House. I think for most of his tenure he was at around tied, or up or down by 3-4%. Trump is substantially much more politically unpopular. I think Republicans ignore the enduring unpopularity of Trump at their own political peril; you won't see his supporters engaging that he's unpopular and will remain controversial and unpopular.

I'll add here that Reagan's and Clinton's popularity helped buoy them through difficult times; ditto George W. Bush. In fact, a lot of Clinton and Reagan's legacy remains today because of how popular they were as Presidents and ditto Obama today.

The base should bear that unpopular presidents are usually unable to see their legacies remain enshrined in national law and see their goals quickly undone. Again, I have alluded to the Trump recession coming our way, and if Trump is at 41% and moves to 31% by the time of the recession, Trump could be in true political peril with the myriad of scandals around him.

True if a recession comes he will take the hit like Carter did in '80 and Bush HW did in '92 and be a one-termer. We don't know about the ending result of the scandals(.i.e. Russia) but it doesn't look good.

There is no if. There will be a recession. As far as Russia, he either quits, impeachment, or is quietly forced to abandon a run for President for a second term. The last option could honestly realistically happen so the GOP can try to find someone else but I'm not sure really how that would work out for them ...

Why are you so sure there is going to be a recession?

All bull markets come to an end. Count on Republican efforts to cut wages to stimulate profits; by doing so they cut the consumer economy.

[I Won - Get Over It]

ABC:

42% Approve
53% Disapprove

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Why? Because Dems are out of touch.

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Of course it is just one poll, but...

[The_Doctor]

So despite bombing several nations, he's gone from -13 to -10 in the approval ratings sweepstakes. Good job, Donnie. Looks like his presidency will be an unmitigated popularity disaster. He's running far behind Obama's ratings in general. Cannot wait for the recession that will cause Trumpy's ratings to crash through the (already low) basement.

Obama was very likeable where as Trump is not so that's the difference. Obama was personally popular but his policies weren't popular.

Obama was elected with 53% of the vote and was fairly popular until 1 year into his White House. I think for most of his tenure he was at around tied, or up or down by 3-4%. Trump is substantially much more politically unpopular. I think Republicans ignore the enduring unpopularity of Trump at their own political peril; you won't see his supporters engaging that he's unpopular and will remain controversial and unpopular.

I'll add here that Reagan's and Clinton's popularity helped buoy them through difficult times; ditto George W. Bush. In fact, a lot of Clinton and Reagan's legacy remains today because of how popular they were as Presidents and ditto Obama today.

The base should bear that unpopular presidents are usually unable to see their legacies remain enshrined in national law and see their goals quickly undone. Again, I have alluded to the Trump recession coming our way, and if Trump is at 41% and moves to 31% by the time of the recession, Trump could be in true political peril with the myriad of scandals around him.

True if a recession comes he will take the hit like Carter did in '80 and Bush HW did in '92 and be a one-termer. We don't know about the ending result of the scandals(.i.e. Russia) but it doesn't look good.

There is no if. There will be a recession. As far as Russia, he either quits, impeachment, or is quietly forced to abandon a run for President for a second term. The last option could honestly realistically happen so the GOP can try to find someone else but I'm not sure really how that would work out for them ...

Why are you so sure there is going to be a recession?

The business cycle very rarely goes more than a decade without a recession. I say rarely because I haven't looked at recessions prior to 1920. But here; 1920, 1929, 1937, 1945, 1948, 1958, 1960, 1969, 1973, 1979, 1982, 1990, 2000, 2008, (?).

You'll notice that our last recession ended in 2010. It's highly unlikely that President Trump will not weather a recession by that period. Possible, but very unlikely.

[Mr. Morden]

NBC/WSJ national poll, conducted April 17-20:

http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/public-gives-trump-low-marks-first-100-days-nbc-news-n749756

[Ronnie]

ABC:

42% Approve
53% Disapprove

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Why? Because Dems are out of touch.

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Of course it is just one poll, but...

I think that's the danger of reading too much into these approval rating polls.  A sizable number of Americans may not like Trump, or even think he's doing a bad job as president, and still vote for him in 2020 if they think they have no alternative in the opposition.  That's why it is critical the Dems run on something other than opposing Trump.

That said, I think one of the reasons for the lack of buyer's remorse is the prospect of President Clinton for Trump voters.  If Dems had put up someone people actually like, then those numbers might be a bigger cause for worry.

It might also be that people just don't like to admit they were wrong.