The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[pbrower2a]

Quinnipiac Poll:

36% Approve (-4)
58% Disapprove (+2)

Source

Q is below Gallup... and this is before the Comey firing. If one accepts that Wisconsin is typically about D+3, the St. Norbert's poll is in line with this result.

Next week's polls should say how Americans think of the Comey firing. Note that I avoid commenting on how events will effect change in polling data. I let the polls speak for themselves.

...PPP, Marist, and Siena have been rather quiet recently.

[Sorenroy]

Quinnipiac Poll:

36% Approve (-4)
58% Disapprove (+2)

Source

[The_Doctor]

Too early to say if this is permanent or will reset to the 40s.

[Holmes]

A 2:1 ratio between strongly disapprove and strongly approve, and a D+16 in the generic congressional ballot, all before the Comey firing. Hmm.

[The_Doctor]

A 2:1 ratio between strongly disapprove and strongly approve, and a D+16 in the generic congressional ballot, all before the Comey firing. Hmm.

I'd average the polling and watch the trend before making a judgment.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

The Comey firing probably lowered both his ceiling and floor.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup

Approve: 42% (+2)
Disapprove: 53% (-1)

Unexpected. We'll need though to see more data-points before drawing any conclusions.

Hasn't he been stable around that level, given the economy? Remember, Trump hasn't made any major policies and nothing has been signed. This is basically Trump alienating everyone but his core people and some Republicans who haven't the full force of the Trump incompetence.

First time AHCA came out, Trump lost 2-4%.

But probably we see the power of power of the 'clickbait' media.
First time it was about Trump being a looser and awful CBO score.
Now their narrative is about 'How Donald Trump won another unlikely victory' http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/05/politics/trump-unlikely-victory-health-care/

Even so in fact the AHCA probably got worse after the amendments...

So I still expect Trump to fall a bit. Probably, after new CBO score.

Here we go!

[Mr. Morden]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

[GeorgiaModerate]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

I believe most of these polls ask which party the respondent would vote for, but the Q poll asks which party they would prefer to see in control.  This may account for some of the difference.

[I Won - Get Over It]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

I believe most of these polls ask which party the respondent would vote for, but the Q poll asks which party they would prefer to see in control.  This may account for some of the difference.

Hm.. Is it not a little bit strange question to ask?

[Mr. Morden]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

That's very different from the numbers in every other poll:

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2018-national-house-race

I believe most of these polls ask which party the respondent would vote for, but the Q poll asks which party they would prefer to see in control.  This may account for some of the difference.

Ah, good point.  So there are more than a few people who intend to vote Republican in their own district, but are hoping that the Dems win the majority nationwide.  Sounds like an "I like my own Representative, but the rest of his/her party stinks" type of thing.

[pbrower2a]

Too early to say if this is permanent or will reset to the 40s.

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.   

[OkThen]

Initially the Q poll had me thinking that the numbers keep fluctuating and he'll likely bounce back to low-forties. I think the most troubling part for Trump however is that a majority are strongly disapproving.

[The_Doctor]

he won't breach 35% consistently until the good times stop. Then crap will hit the fan.

[pbrower2a]

White people with college degrees:

approve 36% -- disapprove 59%

If you are to ask what demographic is most likely to make a difference -- then here it is. This is a sophisticated group of voters, and one unlikely to be moved quickly once it gets a negative opinion on anything. Such people hold their own in impromptu political debates against an unsophisticated argument by an ignoramus. (Ask me how I do that). It's usually someone with less than a college degree who offers a shabby defense of a politician or a political cause. Poorly-educated white people might not recognize the validity of a well-crafted counter-argument by any person of color.

In the old days, Democrats could lose Presidential elections against this demographic (it is telling that white college grads voted -- barely -- for Goldwater in 1964) because there weren't so many college graduates of any ethnicity as a share of the population.

Well-educated people usually make their minds up and keep their minds  made up on personalities and policies. That may have saved Barack Obama in 2012 -- but it can wreck Trump in 2020.

Republicans need to at least break even with this group now.  

This polling was taken before the firing of Director Comey.

The glaciers are gaining ground in this Winter of Discontent.

[Inmate Trump]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

[Wiz in Wis]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

Two words... Piss tape.

[Inmate Trump]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

Two words... Piss tape.

I still don't think they'd care, honestly.

[Wiz in Wis]

It is too early. 36% is as low as I can imagine for a president who does not have an economy in free-fall, an international calamity, a sex scandal, or bungling of a national disaster -- none of which apply to the President.

This said, the firing of Director Comey does not look good.  

A sex scandal won't do anything to how his voters see him.

Sure, it was awful when it was Bill Clinton.  Now that it's their Führer, it's not a big deal.

Two words... Piss tape.

I still don't think they'd care, honestly.

I mean, sure, EnglishPete would be A-Ok with it, but he would at least drop to Dubya 08 levels.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Beautiful Flawless Rasmussen, May 8-10

LV
48% (+1)
52% (-1)

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Beautiful Flawless Rasmussen, May 8-10

LV
48% (+1)
52% (-1)

It's frustrating how out-of-sync Rasmussen is.

[Sir Mohamed]

Quinnipiac Poll:

36% Approve (-4)
58% Disapprove (+2)

Source

These numbers look realistic. But LOL at Drumpf for 58% disapproval after 100 days. I guess that's big league.

[I Won - Get Over It]

Gallup, May 8-10

All Adults
38% (-2)
55% (+2)

[Dr. Arch]

Crashing has begun. He might need to go to war with another country to recover now.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/12285424-74/trumps-approval-rating-soars-among-voters-polled-in-western-pennsylvania