The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Matty]

So Rasmussen has Trump up 11 and Gallup has him down 10?

gallup has him even. there is a liar in this thread.

[Matty]

Why is there so much more variance in trump's approval polls than Obama's? Rasmussen, politico, and CBS all find him around -4 on average, while gallup has been -11-12 for a while.

[Matty]

What is the borderline between noise and significant movement?

A 4 point swing?

[Matty]

Does anyone find it odd that quinnipiac tends to have the most unfavorable approval polls for trump, yet they had the most favorable polls for him in the election?

[Matty]

Trump seems to have SLIGHTLY (maybe noise) to around 41-43% approval. Still piss poor, but not apocalyptic.

Some sort of victory could maybe short term push him to 45%, but Calfiornia alone will keep him below 50% ever in ratings.

In fact, harry enten estimates that if a republican doesn't do better than 35% in california and still wins the WH, he/she will never be above water in approval rating.

[Matty]

ARG, April 17-20 vs March 17-20
http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/

All Adults:
39 (-2)
56 (+2)

arg is still around? Didn't they come out after the wisconsin primary and admit their people forgot to poll waukesha county?

[Matty]

Honest question: how does rasmussen get funding? Who would willingly choose to fund it?

[Matty]

Gallup 4/25-4/27

Disapprove 52 (-3)
Approve 43 (+3)

[Matty]

Here's a question: what if the economy continues to grow and unemployment remains low throughout his term? Would he be one of the few presidents who lost reelection with a stable economy?

[Matty]

Here's a question: what if the economy continues to grow and unemployment remains low throughout his term? Would he be one of the few presidents who lost reelection with a stable economy?

The economy is the only reason he's sitting at 42% and not 30-35%. People are happy, so they tolerate his stupidity and bovine flatulence.

Anyhow -- how, pray tell, does the economy keep going and defy the laws of a business cycle? I'm just curious, what do I know about the laws of economics.

There is no "law" that says cycles have to end after x amount of years. We really didn't have a real recession between 1993 and 2007.

[Matty]

There is no "law" that says cycles have to end after x amount of years. We really didn't have a real recession between 1993 and 2007.

Pretty much that whole time frame was a big recession.

lol