The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[The Other Castro]

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415

[The Other Castro]

Pretty sure that "pollster" had Trump winning the popular vote, which did not happen.

[The Other Castro]

Pretty sure that "pollster" had Trump winning the popular vote, which did not happen.

By at least as much as he lost!

What means he's not worse than Quinnipiac e.g. Not even speaking of Dem hecks like Target Smart, PPP and Nate Cohns Siena scum. But I guess, that's "different" for you ;-)

Btw, typical left-wing reaction: Don't like the message? Attack the messanger. Disgusting.

Person A: This accurate pollster shows Trump with a higher approval rating than normal.

Person B: Actually that pollster didn't meet the credibility of even 538's loose requirements, and was too favorable to Trump in the end as public data shows.

Person A: Wow you liberal hack.

[The Other Castro]

New Monmouth Poll (1/12-1/15)

Trump favorability rating: 34% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable

Ouch

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_US_011717/

[The Other Castro]

Past openings for Presidents:

Obama - 67%
Bush - 57%
Clinton - 58%
Bush - 51%
Reagan - 51%

[The Other Castro]

RCP now has a Trump Job Approval page.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_trump_job_approval-6179.html

[The Other Castro]

Obama didn't get to this point in his Gallup approval ratings until around August of 2010.

[The Other Castro]

This chart though.

[The Other Castro]

Lol at the 3% of Trump voters that also say they favor impeachment.

[The Other Castro]

I find it doubtful that the Dems win back the house in 2018 short of truly terrible approval for Trump/Reps.  My logic is simplistic but I think sound:  married white home-owners are the core midterm voting population (and best distributed geographically) and this group has trended heavily away from the Dems in the past 8 years.  I think its a trend that wont be easily reversed in the short term.

Some groups don't need to trend towards Dems, they just need to not vote. Trump's failure to live up to  some of the wilder expectations he has set could turn many people off from showing up.

[The Other Castro]

Iowa Selzer Poll:



http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2017/02/11/iowa-poll-majority-iowans-disagree-trumps-immigration-order/97764116/

[The Other Castro]

According to Gallup, Obama didn't hit 40% until mid August, 2011, and didn't hit 55% disapproval until late June, 2014. I was looking over the numbers, and I don't think Obama EVER had a net -15% approval rating from Gallup.

[The Other Castro]

Ah I found the problem, I was looking at this historical ratings page:
http://www.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx

[The Other Castro]

RAS has Trump at (55-45).

One of these is not like the other...

[The Other Castro]

Pew Research Center: 39% approve, 56% disapprove (!). That's a -17 rating. Wow.







http://www.people-press.org/2017/02/16/in-first-month-views-of-trump-are-already-strongly-felt-deeply-polarized/?utm_source=adaptivemailer&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=17-02-15%20feb%20political&org=982&lvl=100&ite=819&lea=173153&ctr=0&par=1&trk=

[The Other Castro]

Gallup: 40/55

[The Other Castro]

Rasmussen approval now down to 50-50. They are still using likely voters for some reason.

Gallup ticks down to 41-53 (was 42-53).

[The Other Castro]

Under budget and ahead of schedule!

[The Other Castro]

Bill Clinton's record low was 37% and he was literally impeached.

[The Other Castro]

[The Other Castro]

What's interesting, as shown by that Pew poll, is that Trump's numbers among his own party are similar to those of past Presidents at this time, but it is his numbers among the opposition party and Independents that are bringing him way down.