The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[heatcharger]

New poll from Monmouth U, whose reputation probably took the largest hit among pollsters, conducted from 1/12 - 1/15:

34% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable, 20% No opinion (who are these people?!?)

[heatcharger]

Fox came out with their poll today, can't find a link yet, but Trump'a approval is only at 37%z

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2017/01/19/fox-news-poll-divided-yet-optimistic-country-awaits-trump.html

His approval of transition rating is lower than his favorability.

Hillary's also back ahead of Trump in net favorability.

[heatcharger]

I fail to see how he goes below ~35%. There's a certain sect of people in this country who will allow Trump to say or do literally anything, and that's a mandate Bush didn't even have.

I do care more about his state-by-state approval because it's true that a majority of his dissenters live in deep blue states.

[heatcharger]

Isn't the fact that he's only -18 in California bad news for him? It's the same argument made when Hillary was holding massive leads in California but was narrowly leading nationally.

[heatcharger]

Today:

Gallup (2/3-2/5): 42/52

IBD/TIPP (1/27-2/2): 42/48

Rassmussen (2/1-2/5): 53/47

[heatcharger]

Wonder why Rasmussen is so different from the others. Do we know the methodologies of these pollsters? Worst case, Ras is deliberately inflating Trump's numbers to appease him and his base and get a higher profile. (actually, WORST worst case is Ras is right)

They're using a LV screen, which is pretty ridiculous considering it's February 2017 with no election in sight. Meanwhile, Gallup and IBD are sampling adults. I think his true approval is somewhere in the middle -- slightly underwater, but not a majority disapprove. The "good" news is he still has a lot of room to fall.

[heatcharger]

True approval is not a thing. His approval being lower with all adults makes sense. Non-voters tend to me more liberal than voters, and presumably, this would affect any GOPer.

I get your point, but typically pre-election polls are of RV, then switch to LV a few months before. PPP did an RV poll and got 47/49.

[heatcharger]

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44/49 with RV. That's 7 point fall in net approval from their poll a week ago. Also weird that his disapproval number is higher with them than among all adults.

[heatcharger]

PPP (2/7-2/8): 43/53

This is among RVs, I believe.

[heatcharger]

Gallup (2/8-2/10):

Approve 41% (-1)
Disapprove 53% (+1)

[heatcharger]

Gallup (2/9-2/11):

Approve 40% (-1)
Disapprove 55% (+2)

Bad!

[heatcharger]

Fox Poll: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2017/02/14/fox-news-poll-february-14-2017/

Trump Approval Rating:

Approve: 49 48%
Disapprove: 48 47%

[heatcharger]

Iowa - DMR/Selzer (2/6-2/9):

Approve 42%
Disapprove 49%

Not too good... I'm wondering what his ratings are in Wisconsin.

[heatcharger]

Pew Research Center: 39% approve, 56% disapprove (!). That's a -17 rating. Wow.

Jesus. Meanwhile Rasmussen has him at 55-45 lol.

[heatcharger]

It's just one poll, but if it's true that college whites are tacking to the left of the nation, I'm not sure how he recovers the support he lost from traditionally Republican strongholds like suburban Milwaukee, metro ATL, and Phoenix to name a few. I'd like to hear an argument as to how he brings these numbers back to something more manageable for him, because he certainly hasn't done anything so far to prove he can.

[heatcharger]

Lol Republican Clear Politics changed the Pew numbers from A to RV because they wanted better numbers for Trump. Sad.

[heatcharger]

I'd be inclined to include Rasmussen in any average.  There were some instances during the campaign where outlier polls had at least a grain of truth to them.

The problem is their methodology is skewed on purpose to give Trump a higher rating than the other pollsters. If they just released their RV numbers, I wouldn't object to including them in an aggregate either.

[heatcharger]

The opposite happened in today's Gallup poll:

Approve: 43 42% (+1)
Disapprove: 52 53% (-2)

I think it's just noise really. I'm having a lot of trouble imagining a large enough group of people who would go from disapproving to approving of him based on merit.

[heatcharger]

Gallup:
40 (-1)
54 (+1)

Where'd you see that?

[heatcharger]

Trump crashes back down to 42/51 in Gallup.

[heatcharger]

New PPP poll of WI-01 (Paul Ryan's district):

Trump:

50% Favorable
47% Unfavorable

Ryan:

49% Favorable
44% Unfavorable

This is a district Trump won by 10%.

[heatcharger]

Trump continues to crash big league in Gallup. Down to 39/55 today. I suppose you could conclude that health care is taking a toll on his numbers.

[heatcharger]

A legit PPP national poll of registered voters: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2017/PPP_Release_National_31517.pdf

Approve 43% (-2)
Disapprove 50% (+2)

The AHCA is anything but popular as well, polling at 24/49.

[heatcharger]

Fox News poll of registered voters from 3/12 to 3/14:

Approve 43% (-5)
Disapprove 51% (+4)

[heatcharger]

Some other favorables from the Fox News poll:

Bernie Sanders: 61/32
Planned Parenthood: 57/32
Obamacare: 50/47
Mike Pence: 47/43
Donald Trump: 44/53
Elizabeth Warren: 39/31
Paul Ryan: 37/47
Nancy Pelosi: 33/50
Sanctuary cities: 33/37
WikiLeaks: 31/46
Chuck Schumer: 26/30
Mitch McConnell: 20/44
The Freedom Caucus: 19/18