The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 180889 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: December 28, 2016, 07:01:53 AM »
Rasmussen:

51% favourable
47% unfavourable

The survey of 1,000 Likely Voters was conducted on December 22, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

Link
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: January 18, 2017, 11:48:30 AM »
Rasmussen released their final Obama approval numbers today: 62-38 approve.

They will start polling Trump from today on and release the first Trump approval ratings on Friday, based on a 3-day tracker.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: January 20, 2017, 10:17:57 AM »
At Rasmussen, Trump starts with the following approval rating:

56% approve
44% disapprove

Eighty-five percent (85%) of Republicans and 55% of unaffiliated voters approve of the job Trump is doing. Seventy percent (70%) of Democrats disapprove.

The latest figures include 38% of all likely voters who Strongly Approve of the way Trump is performing and 36% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of +2 (see trends).

Regular updates are posted Monday through Friday at 9:30 a.m. Eastern (sign up for free daily e-mail update).

When Barack Obama was sworn in as president on January 20, 2009, 67% of likely voters approved of his job performance; 31% disapproved.

Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jan20
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: January 22, 2017, 10:55:27 AM »
Rasmussen is not landline-only ...

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: January 22, 2017, 11:02:11 AM »
More:

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http://www.pulseopinionresearch.com/Survey
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: January 23, 2017, 09:43:25 AM »
Rasmussen, first full 3-day sample since Trump was sworn in:

55% approve
44% disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/trump_approval_index_history

Gallup should have their first results today at around 1pm.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: January 23, 2017, 01:49:18 PM »
Rasmussen today is 55-44 approve, while Gallup is tied at 45-45.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2017, 09:34:04 AM »
Rassy today:

57-43 approve
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2017, 10:05:34 AM »
Morning Consult/POLITICO:

46% Approve
37% Disapprove

49% favorable
44% unfavorable

The survey polled 1,992 registered voters from Jan. 20-22 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

https://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/170103_crosstabs_POLITICO_v3_KD-1.pdf

Rasmussen remains at 57-43 approve today.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2017, 10:09:39 AM »

It seems both Rasmussen and Gallup are outliers, but we need more data.

Currently, it looks like Trump starts with a slightly positive approval - but opposition is high (in fact, the highest of any President at the start).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: January 25, 2017, 10:13:48 AM »
Today's average of 3 tracking polls (Rasmussen, Morning Consult and Gallup) is:

49% approve
42% disapprove
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: January 25, 2017, 01:10:21 PM »
Gallup is 46-45 approve today.

So, the average of todays 3 polls (Gallup, Rasmussen and Morning Consult) is 50-42 approve.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: January 26, 2017, 02:22:34 AM »
I agree with Mr. Morden.

pbrower, you should remove that CA poll and only start with polls after his inauguration. This CA poll was clearly done before and shouldn't be included. There are going to be many CA polls anyway (PPIC, Field, SurveyUSA etc.)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: January 27, 2017, 09:41:50 AM »
Total collapse on Rasmussen today:

From 59-41 to 55-45.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: January 30, 2017, 02:12:12 PM »
Both Gallup and Rasmussen seem to converge more and more to show a polarized electorate.

Soon, Trump will be roughly 50-50 ... (or he already is).
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: January 31, 2017, 01:04:23 PM »
Trump's approval is 36-55 in NJ, not 26-55 as someone posted above.

https://poll.qu.edu/new-jersey/release-detail?ReleaseID=2425
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: January 31, 2017, 01:14:33 PM »
The NJ poll seems to be the first state poll showing a Trump approval rating.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: January 31, 2017, 01:39:42 PM »
pbrower, Trump also has negative favorables in AZ.

There was just a new poll yesterday.

39-49

https://gallery.mailchimp.com/5a280d25318f2afe3f311adb6/files/8fe0874f-3ee1-4423-9f10-fe49d8a11495/AZ_Statewide_BorderWall_Toplines_1_29_17.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: February 01, 2017, 10:23:07 AM »
pbrower, the AZ poll is clearly about favorable ratings only.

From the PDF:

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: February 01, 2017, 10:28:21 AM »
Quote from: Mondale_was_an_insidejob on February 01, 2017, 10:22:45 AM
SurveyMonkey
Jan 26 – Jan 30
4,444 Adults

48% Approve   50% Disapprove

Among RV only, it's 49-50 disapprove.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: February 01, 2017, 12:19:38 PM »
CA (SurveyUSA, 800 adults polled yesterday):

34% approve
52% disapprove

Do you support? Or do you oppose? ... a new policy that prevents persons from 7 nations from entering the United States? Or, do you not know enough to say?

36-46 oppose

Should California withdraw from the United States and become an entirely new nation? Or should California remain part of the United States?

18-68 oppose

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=bd38a6c0-bce1-4e2e-b7e7-9f6626d8bc6a
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: February 01, 2017, 12:25:37 PM »
The CA and NJ polls suggest Trump's approval ratings nationally are about split or slightly positive.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: February 01, 2017, 03:04:34 PM »
Quote from: Crumpets on February 01, 2017, 01:33:26 PM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on February 01, 2017, 01:21:03 PM
YouGov/Economist:

https://twitter.com/williamjordann/status/826847086356332545

Approve 43 (+2)
Disapprove 44 (+9!)
Undecided 14 (-10)

Strong Approve 25
Strong Disapprove 33

Trump down in every poll we've gotten this week, compared to last week.

Why does RCP list this as 47-45 approve? I clicked on their link and it shows a PDF with 44-43 disapproval as well, so it's not a different poll.

Because there's a RV breakdown in YouGov's PDF release.

And RCP always uses RV over adults.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: February 01, 2017, 03:33:33 PM »
Interesting ...

All recent polls seem to suggest that Democrats are on the losing side of the issue of Trump's travel ban.

This thing is highly popular with Republicans and Indies actually.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: February 01, 2017, 04:05:57 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on February 01, 2017, 04:02:28 PM
Isn't the fact that he's only -18 in California bad news for him? It's the same argument made when Hillary was holding massive leads in California but was narrowly leading nationally.

Why would this be bad for Trump ?

He's down 18 in CA, when he lost the state by 30.

Which means it's likely that his national approval is even, or slightly positive.
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