The Official Trump 1.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[Gass3268]

It's surprising how Clinton's favorables seem to have gotten worse after the election. Probably many democrats no longer feel the need to defend her

Or they are pissed at her that she lost.

[Gass3268]

I'm sure the polling companies, which did so well this period, will find their prefered D+15 sample to have Trumps Favs underwater over the full 4 years.

The national polling average was actually better this year than in 2012.

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac poll from 1/5-1/9:

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Trump is handling his responsibilities as president-elect?

Approve - 37%
Disapprove - 51%

Is your opinion of Donald Trump favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about him?

Favorable - 37%
Unfavorable - 51%

https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2415

Ouch!!

This poll is awful for Trump, every number is worse than it was at the end of November.

[Gass3268]

Trump is already more unpopular than Obama ever was in a Quinnipiac poll, lol

[Gass3268]

So are we already trusting the polls 100% again?

That being said, even if those numbers are accurate, it's not surprising at all. Neither Trump nor Clinton were very popular candidates.

National polls sure, they weren't wrong last year.

[Gass3268]

North Carolina (PPP): -5 (44/49)

[Gass3268]

Aren't these the same polls that showed Trump losing?  As far as how people think he'll do it's 48/48.  Democrats can spin it however they want.  Remember polls are fake news.  Nice little work though!

National polling was better in 2016 than 2012.

[Gass3268]

Fox came out with their poll today, can't find a link yet, but Trump'a approval is only at 37%z

[Gass3268]

[Gass3268]

PPP:

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President Donald Trump’s job performance?
44% Approve ..........................................................
44% Disapprove ......................................................
12% Not sure ..........................................................

Q2 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump? 
44% Favorable ........................................................
50% Unfavorable .................................................... 
7% ....................................................

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac

Approve 36%   
Disapprove 44%

Sad!

[Gass3268]

What sample does Gallup use? I guess it's the standard media D+10-15 sample that worked so well for Hillary :-D

Of course because America is D+ 10-15 and the national polls were correct.

[Gass3268]

New Jersey (Quinnipiac):

Approve 36%
Disapprove 55%

Also lol Chris Christie:

Approve 17%
Disapprove 78%

[Gass3268]

Gallup same as yesterday 43/50

Disapproval went up point to 51%

[Gass3268]

Gallup at 43-52 with Strong Disapproval > Strong Approve by a quite a bit. I think it'd be best to wait until mid-March for approval to be actually meaningful, though

Dayum

[Gass3268]

CBS News Poll:

Approve 40%
Disapprove 48%

Travel Ban:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Temporary Ban on Refugees:

Approve 45%
Disapprove 51%

Source

[Gass3268]

Clear mode effect. Trump does much worse with live interview polls.

Rassy is also doing likely voters, which is absurd this far out from anything

[Gass3268]

The -8% in the Midwest is probably the worst number for Trump and Republicans.

[Gass3268]

The -8% in the Midwest is probably the worst number for Trump and Republicans.

Subsample error and all, but yeah. If he's bleeding support in the Midwest, he's putting a fair number of GOP house members in danger. The midwest is gerrymandered pretty effectively to help the GOP. But, and this is a big but, that also gives the Dems a major opening in a wave. Lots of seats in play, even with a slight GOP lean.

It also would protects the danger seats in MN, PA, OH, and WI.

[Gass3268]

Damn, Trump looking like crap in the Atlantic South.

[Gass3268]

Gallup

Approval: 42% (+/-0)
Disapproval: 54% (+2)

[Gass3268]

Quinnipiac:

Approve 42%
Disapprove 51%

Source

[Gass3268]

Morning Consult national poll on Trump job approval, conducted Feb. 2-4:

http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-1b58-d712-adda-bf78cc9d0001
http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015a-1b5a-d7b6-a15e-5b5fe03e0001

approve 47%
disapprove 46%

Trump job approval margin by region:
Midwest: +7
Northeast: -8
South: +6
West: -2

Trump job approval margin by race:
whites: +12
blacks: -53
Hispanics: -13

Trump job approval margin by income:
under $50k: 0
$50-100k: +5
over $100k: -1

This is a 7% net decrease from their last poll (Jan 26 – Jan 28).

[Gass3268]

Lol if Emerson only shows him up 1

[Gass3268]

they are oversampling democrats. Like they did the polls.

Fake News!