Swing(ish) states where one party has little chance of winning the state leg
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  Swing(ish) states where one party has little chance of winning the state leg
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Author Topic: Swing(ish) states where one party has little chance of winning the state leg  (Read 118 times)
Orser67
Junior Chimp
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« on: November 17, 2016, 02:16:50 PM »

I'm curious about which reasonably competitive states are unlikely to change partisan control before 2022 (even in a major wave) based on the current districting plans.

Democrats have a decent-sized majority in the Nevada Assembly, but that flipped this cycle so obviously Republicans can win it in a good year.

Looking at the current composition of the state legislatures, Republicans seem to have huge majorities in these chambers (I used "House" for the lower house):

FL House
GA House and Senate
MI Senate
NC House and Senate
OH House and Senate
PA Senate
VA House
WI House

Do Democrats have any chance of winning back any of these chambers before 2022? And did I miss any?
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2016, 02:23:45 PM »

Nothing is set in stone... every chamber you listed could go Democrat in the right scenario.
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