Louisiana Senate runoff
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Author Topic: Louisiana Senate runoff  (Read 1312 times)
Nym90
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« on: November 17, 2016, 05:22:32 PM »
Any chance this is worth keeping an eye on? Conventional wisdom is that Kennedy will win easily, but Campbell does seem like the type of Democrat who could win here in theory (moderate profile).

What would constitute a good result for Democrats? Keeping it within single digits?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #1 on: November 17, 2016, 05:26:10 PM »
Is Campbell pro-life?  That seems to be the entrance ramp to Democrats being competitive in LA.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: November 17, 2016, 05:31:58 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 17, 2016, 05:26:10 PM
Is Campbell pro-life?  That seems to be the entrance ramp to Democrats being competitive in LA.

He might be. Pro gun at least
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: November 17, 2016, 05:44:37 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 17, 2016, 05:26:10 PM
Is Campbell pro-life?  That seems to be the entrance ramp to Democrats being competitive in LA.

Yes: http://www.democratsforlife.org/index.php/component/tags/tag/23-lousiana

However, he is not a friend to the oil industry, to the point where he was Endorsed by the Sierra Club. That's a YUGE liability in LA: http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_bb64c986-8676-11e6-b870-e384c2682c79.html
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #4 on: November 17, 2016, 11:49:02 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 17, 2016, 05:26:10 PM
Is Campbell pro-life?  That seems to be the entrance ramp to Democrats being competitive in LA.

Southern populist. Relatively liberal on economy and substantially more conservative on social issues.
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NeverAgain
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« Reply #5 on: November 18, 2016, 12:00:55 AM »
Campbell is working closely with the team the put Governor JBE in the Governor's mansion. His team is also mending fences with Fayard and the main Democratic National Establishment. I think this will be a race to watch, and I say this as someone who is donating numerous hours to Campbell.
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Xing
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« Reply #6 on: November 18, 2016, 01:58:38 AM »
Unless Republicans completely ignore this race, I don't see any real drama here. Kennedy should win rather easily.
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #7 on: November 30, 2016, 06:15:07 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 17, 2016, 05:44:37 PM
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on November 17, 2016, 05:26:10 PM
Is Campbell pro-life?  That seems to be the entrance ramp to Democrats being competitive in LA.

Yes: http://www.democratsforlife.org/index.php/component/tags/tag/23-lousiana

However, he is not a friend to the oil industry, to the point where he was Endorsed by the Sierra Club. That's a YUGE liability in LA: http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_bb64c986-8676-11e6-b870-e384c2682c79.html

He fought the oil companies when they ed up Deepwater Horizon and endangered the livelihoods of Louisianans living on the Gulf. Seems like the sort of thing that should go over well.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #8 on: November 30, 2016, 07:58:15 PM »
Democrats decided to waste $5 Million on a recount while Republicans actually shored up Kennedy here. Just god damn idiocy.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #9 on: November 30, 2016, 08:02:39 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 30, 2016, 07:58:15 PM
Democrats decided to waste $5 Million on a recount while Republicans actually shored up Kennedy here. Just god damn idiocy.

Maness or Duke would lose this runoff, and I could see Fleming going down, but no one was ever going to defeat Kennedy (or Boustany).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: November 30, 2016, 08:23:17 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 30, 2016, 08:02:39 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on November 30, 2016, 07:58:15 PM
Democrats decided to waste $5 Million on a recount while Republicans actually shored up Kennedy here. Just god damn idiocy.

Maness or Duke would lose this runoff, and I could see Fleming going down, but no one was ever going to defeat Kennedy (or Boustany).

That's fine - but what's wrong with even trying?
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #11 on: November 30, 2016, 08:28:22 PM »
60-40 Kennedy.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #12 on: November 30, 2016, 08:30:38 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on November 30, 2016, 08:23:17 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on November 30, 2016, 08:02:39 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on November 30, 2016, 07:58:15 PM
Democrats decided to waste $5 Million on a recount while Republicans actually shored up Kennedy here. Just god damn idiocy.

Maness or Duke would lose this runoff, and I could see Fleming going down, but no one was ever going to defeat Kennedy (or Boustany).

That's fine - but what's wrong with even trying?

Nothing, except for the fact that dems seem to almost enjoy losing nowadays. But there's no reason to despair over the almost certain result of this race - it was inevitable from the day after the jungle.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #13 on: November 30, 2016, 09:27:05 PM »
When it comes down to it the biggest problem for the dems is they write off too many state level races in deep red areas while the reps don't. If NY or Cali can have R governor or Senator then Georgia or Texas can have a D one. This one is a great example the left has given more money and resources to Jill's recount than this race 
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #14 on: November 30, 2016, 09:53:11 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 30, 2016, 09:27:05 PM
When it comes down to it the biggest problem for the dems is they write off too many state level races in deep red areas while the reps don't. If NY or Cali can have R governor or Senator then Georgia or Texas can have a D one. This one is a great example the left has given more money and resources to Jill's recount than this race 

I'm not even sure about this anymore. It's just a sad state of affairs.
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #15 on: November 30, 2016, 10:52:45 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 30, 2016, 10:42:16 PM
Uh, since when are NY or CA willing to vote for a Republican governor or Senator?
George Pataki and Arnold Schwarzenegger
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« Reply #16 on: November 30, 2016, 10:56:39 PM »
Quote from: Hindsight is 2020 on November 30, 2016, 10:52:45 PM
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 30, 2016, 10:42:16 PM
Uh, since when are NY or CA willing to vote for a Republican governor or Senator?
George Pataki and Arnold Schwarzenegger

George Pataki's last election win was in 2002, Schwarznegger in 2006. Not all that recent.
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #17 on: November 30, 2016, 10:59:05 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 30, 2016, 10:42:16 PM
Uh, since when are NY or CA willing to vote for a Republican governor or Senator?

California's 2010 Senate race was pretty competitive based on the polls, and they had a Republican governor as recently as then.

(It's basically gone the direction of Arkansas now - in the opposite direction.)
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windjammer
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« Reply #18 on: December 01, 2016, 01:42:55 PM »
58-42 for Kennedy
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #19 on: December 01, 2016, 05:45:42 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 30, 2016, 06:18:56 PM
This race isn't looking good for Democrats... still predicting a 56/44 Kennedy victory.

Trump won 58%-38%.  White Southern Democrats are alive!!
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