Post your preliminary prediction and see how close it was in 2020.
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Author Topic: Post your preliminary prediction and see how close it was in 2020.  (Read 3559 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #25 on: November 22, 2016, 02:06:23 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 22, 2016, 02:00:26 PM
Quote from: Figueira on November 22, 2016, 01:52:18 PM
Quote from: Ljube on November 22, 2016, 01:49:44 PM
Interesting.

Hardly anyone is predicting Trump winning CT, RI and DE.

I wonder why. Trump is a perfect fit for those three states.


How on Earth is Trump a "perfect fit" for Connecticut?

Anyway, those states are just way too partisan to consider voting for a Republican. I mean, sure, in a 40-state landslide those states might flip, but that isn't happening.


Yeah, way too partisan like PA and MI?


PA and MI had been close in the Bush elections, and Obama won them by single digits in 2012. CT, DE, and RI have all been double-digit blowouts for the Democrats, even in elections that they lost. Not the same at all.
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Ljube
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« Reply #26 on: November 22, 2016, 02:14:13 PM »
We'll see about CT, RI and DE.

But one thing is certain: Dem hacks are true to form - reliance on past events and blind trust that they will happen again no matter what. Dem hacks, that is why you fail.
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #27 on: November 22, 2016, 02:14:27 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 22, 2016, 01:49:44 PM
Interesting.

Hardly anyone is predicting Trump winning CT, RI and DE.

I wonder why. Trump is a perfect fit for those three states.

They're too solid Dem.  Trump would have to do well on a Reagan-esque level to win them.
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Figueira
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« Reply #28 on: November 22, 2016, 02:18:39 PM »
Quote from: Ljube on November 22, 2016, 02:14:13 PM
We'll see about CT, RI and DE.

But one thing is certain: Dem hacks are true to form - reliance on past events and blind trust that they will happen again no matter what. Dem hacks, that is why you fail.


I agree that Democrats made that mistake with Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania this year, but that doesn't mean states that have consistently voted Democratic by massive margins are going to suddenly be competitive.
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Beet
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« Reply #29 on: November 22, 2016, 02:22:12 PM »
Trump could win RI and DE, but I gave CT to Harris on the strength of Hartford and the suburban NYC metro vote.
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AGA
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« Reply #30 on: November 22, 2016, 05:24:24 PM »
Quote from: Spark498 on November 22, 2016, 01:16:53 PM

If not and Trump delivers on his promises:



President Donald J. Trump (R-NY) / Vice-President Michael R. Pence - 315 EVs, (52.2%)
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) / Senator Al Franken (D-MN) - 223 EVs, (45.7%)



I think that he would get Minnesota, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and maybe Colorado and Maine in this scenario.
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Cashew
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« Reply #31 on: November 22, 2016, 07:59:39 PM »
My map.
http://www.270towin.com/maps/GJ0ZY
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AGA
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #32 on: November 22, 2016, 08:42:19 PM »
I do not think that this is most likely to happen, but if the Trump presidency is successful, we could see this map.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #33 on: November 22, 2016, 11:26:55 PM »
I say Dems have a 279-259 electoral college edge and depending on our senate candidates in NC and Iowa, Dems can expand the map beyond. That what Clinton should have won with
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ClimateDem
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« Reply #34 on: November 22, 2016, 11:35:16 PM »
Midwest loses all influence.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #35 on: November 22, 2016, 11:37:58 PM »
FL and AZ are GOP leaning and certainly PA will vote solidly Democratic in 2018
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Ljube
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« Reply #36 on: November 23, 2016, 12:02:45 AM »
Quote from: Da-Jon on November 22, 2016, 11:26:55 PM
I say Dems have a 279-259 electoral college edge and depending on our senate candidates in NC and Iowa, Dems can expand the map beyond. That what Clinton should have won with


OC, so you think it's all Clinton's fault? Another Dem candidate would have won the election?
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Soonerdem
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« Reply #37 on: November 23, 2016, 12:07:26 AM »
Can someone tell me how to post a map?
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #38 on: November 23, 2016, 12:08:59 AM »
Did you guys not learn your lesson a couple of weeks ago? SMH. I won't even "predict" maps for 2020 besides those in the profile under the avatar, and those will be guesses.
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Figueira
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« Reply #39 on: November 23, 2016, 12:43:49 AM »
Quote from: Arch on November 23, 2016, 12:08:59 AM
Did you guys not learn your lesson a couple of weeks ago? SMH. I won't even "predict" maps for 2020 besides those in the profile under the avatar, and those will be guesses.

Eh, it's just a game. Obviously no one really has any idea.
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Confused Democrat
reidmill
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« Reply #40 on: November 23, 2016, 03:23:07 AM »
« Edited: November 23, 2016, 03:25:23 AM by reidmill »



 +/- Florida
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Cynthia
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« Reply #41 on: November 24, 2016, 02:13:02 AM »
« Edited: November 24, 2016, 02:15:35 AM by ueutyi »
http://www.270towin.com/maps/PkXJ9

If Trump ends up failing his mandate
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #42 on: November 24, 2016, 10:39:31 PM »
If Trump does well, he adds NV + CO + MN to his side.

Trump - 331
Generic Democrat - 207
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cwt
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« Reply #43 on: November 25, 2016, 12:13:13 AM »



282 – 256
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AGA
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« Reply #44 on: November 25, 2016, 12:37:19 PM »
Quote from: Soonerdem on November 23, 2016, 12:07:26 AM
Can someone tell me how to post a map?

Click on the "evc" button with the picture of the calculator near the top of the page. Then, select the winner of each state and the percentage of the vote that candidate gets. Choose if you want to include percentages and the CD breakdown at the bottom, and select "Show Map Link" at the bottom to get a link that you can post in a comment here so that it appears as a map.
 
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Gabagool102
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« Reply #45 on: November 25, 2016, 01:52:58 PM »
« Edited: November 25, 2016, 02:03:43 PM by Gabagool102 »


President Donald J. Trump Sr. / Vice President Michael R. Pence   - 328 Electoral votes

Typical Dem / Typical Dem  - 210 Electoral Votes
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