Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (user search)
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  Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road?  (Read 2553 times)
The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,272


« on: November 22, 2016, 10:00:17 AM »

Demographics is not destiny. A third of minorities voted Trump. That is enough to get the GOP through 2028.

The Democrats need to be the party of viable economic solutions for the minority bloc to reach 80-90% Democratic and a bloc of white voters to abandon the GOP. I think the Democrats get there of course, but I think that relying on demography and voters to vote based on race and age is a stupid idea.

There is a reason Trump reached enough voters to win and enough abandoned Clinton. Let's not forget voters are malleable human beings who often change their opinion and don't like to be taken for granted. That's the whole point of a democracy.
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The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,272


« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2016, 10:08:14 AM »

The GOP is more at risk of oblivion. The civil war between the white working class and corporate class is in suspension right now, but will explode with neutron bomb force if Trump loses 2020/the next time they're out of power.

Add demography on top of that and a changing economy (the biggest bomb of them all) and here is your new Democratic majority coalition -

1. College educated whites
2. Latinos
3. Blacks
4. Asians

They will probably be in sufficient force in 2024 for the Democrats to rule for quite some time.
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The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,272


« Reply #2 on: November 23, 2016, 06:18:39 PM »
« Edited: November 23, 2016, 06:27:58 PM by Truman Democrat »

The GOP is more at risk of oblivion. The civil war between the white working class and corporate class is in suspension right now, but will explode with neutron bomb force if Trump loses 2020/the next time they're out of power.

Add demography on top of that and a changing economy (the biggest bomb of them all) and here is your new Democratic majority coalition -

1. College educated whites
2. Latinos
3. Blacks
4. Asians

They will probably be in sufficient force in 2024 for the Democrats to rule for quite some time.

LOL, DONALD TRUMP won college educated Whites, and Republican House candidates won them handily.  Good luck with this wet dream.

48-45%. 44% also voted for the House Democrats. I know you want to believe your “white permanent majority“ here but it isn't.

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The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,272


« Reply #3 on: November 23, 2016, 06:19:43 PM »

Keep telling yourselves that if it makes  you feel better after your devastating loss.

But clearly in politics, the tide goes out, the tide comes in.

There will be good times and there will be bad times for both major parties.

It runs in cycles.

So devastating that the popular vote is 2.5 million votes for Hillary Clinton. Really a sporting mandate you have there.
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The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,272


« Reply #4 on: November 25, 2016, 12:48:32 PM »

Demographics is not destiny. A third of minorities voted Trump. That is enough to get the GOP through 2028.

The Democrats need to be the party of viable economic solutions for the minority bloc to reach 80-90% Democratic and a bloc of white voters to abandon the GOP. I think the Democrats get there of course, but I think that relying on demography and voters to vote based on race and age is a stupid idea.

There is a reason Trump reached enough voters to win and enough abandoned Clinton. Let's not forget voters are malleable human beings who often change their opinion and don't like to be taken for granted. That's the whole point of a democracy.
Well 21% of non-whites to be exact that Trump won.

Yeah - this is a long term demographic nightmare for the GOP. But if the Democrats take the minority bloc for granted, Republicans winning are still plausible.
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