Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road?

[ApatheticAustrian]

the "republicans are d00med" cause of hispanics-strategy is 1) restrained by the EC and more importantly 2) trying to push the republican party to moderate its positions.

if the current position of the GOP become toxic on a bigger scale, this is going to balance itself out pretty soon.

[ApatheticAustrian]

getting one third of minority votes (which could easily be wrong since the exit polls overstated trump's PV marge by 3 to 4 points in general) is worse if those minorities make up 35% points of the electorate.

not saying anything about fate but the radicalized GOP of the last years should be forced to moderate a few positions in a not so far-away future.

[ApatheticAustrian]

the partisanization of US politics makes the "age"-question possibly less important than in the past.

the reagan youth still is one of the most republican voting blocs.

[ApatheticAustrian]

LOL, DONALD TRUMP won college educated Whites, and Republican House candidates won them handily.  Good luck with this wet dream.

the exit polls are known to have miscalculated some demographic numbers....otherwise trump would have won the PV by 2 points.

some experts guess that either clinton has won college-educated whites after all or her minority share was bigger than thought.

[ApatheticAustrian]

granted or not doesn't matter as long as minorities are not spread proportionally over the whole map.

[ApatheticAustrian]

The GOP is more at risk of oblivion. The civil war between the white working class and corporate class is in suspension right now, but will explode with neutron bomb force if Trump loses 2020/the next time they're out of power.

Add demography on top of that and a changing economy (the biggest bomb of them all) and here is your new Democratic majority coalition -

1. College educated whites
2. Latinos
3. Blacks
4. Asians

They will probably be in sufficient force in 2024 for the Democrats to rule for quite some time.

LOL, DONALD TRUMP won college educated Whites, and Republican House candidates won them handily.  Good luck with this wet dream.

48-45%. 44% also voted for the House Democrats. I know you want to believe your “white permanent majority“ here but it isn't.

No party will ever have a permanent majority, but in the short term it seems more likely that college whites return to the GOP than it does blue collar midwesterners returning to the democrats.

depends on trump's way of governing, imho.

i think most of us agree that some parts of trump's base are among those who would feel the effect of ryan's reforms the most.