Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 05:45:34 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Are the Republicans eventually in trouble down the road?  (Read 2577 times)
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« on: November 24, 2016, 11:41:37 PM »

Demographics is not destiny. A third of minorities voted Trump. That is enough to get the GOP through 2028.

The Democrats need to be the party of viable economic solutions for the minority bloc to reach 80-90% Democratic and a bloc of white voters to abandon the GOP. I think the Democrats get there of course, but I think that relying on demography and voters to vote based on race and age is a stupid idea.

There is a reason Trump reached enough voters to win and enough abandoned Clinton. Let's not forget voters are malleable human beings who often change their opinion and don't like to be taken for granted. That's the whole point of a democracy.
Well 21% of non-whites to be exact that Trump won.
Logged
hopper
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,414
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2016, 11:46:55 PM »
« Edited: November 24, 2016, 11:48:38 PM by hopper »

Republicans are overly dependent on older voters and have essentially written off the Millennial generation for years, and probably completely with 4 years of Trump. 18-29 is a critical time in a person's life, where many views on the world, various issues and political parties are developed and hardened. The way the GOP has reacted to a changing America and how Millennials accept that is almost as if they implemented a strategy specifically to alienate future generations of voters post-Reagan.

Between the rapid growth of racial minorities, the decline of religion and Millennials eating up more and more of the electorate, Republicans should, imo, expect to see significant electoral problems in the early-mid 2020s, when Millennials come to make up at least half of actual voters.

It's hard to see how it will all play out, but Republicans shouldn't think that unified control and big downballot success right now means they have solid footing going into the future. Democrats probably thought the same in 1992/2008, and yet everything changed 2 years later.
Rapid Minority Growth-More like Latino's from Central America that have been rapidly growing as a % of the countries population the last 3.5 decades. The Black and Asian population hasn't had the rapid population growth that Latino's have had the past 3.5 decades.

BTW, Every election cycle is different anyway, You can only go one election cycle at a time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.023 seconds with 12 queries.