Favorable Ratings of Recent Presidents-Elect
Date Favorable Unfavorable
% %
Donald Trump 2016 Nov 9-13 42 55
Barack Obama 2008 Nov 7-9 68 27
George W. Bush 2000 Dec 15-17 59 36
Bill Clinton 1992 Nov 10-11 58 35
Gallup
http://www.gallup.com/poll/197576/trump-favorability-trails-presidents-elect.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tilesThe President-Elect gets off to a shaky start in winning support immediately after the election. To be sure, Dubya got a one-month head start over the others because of the contest over the election. That looks like a comparative triviality.
42% favorability is awful. Donald Trump won more by winning the right votes than by winning enough votes. 55% unfavorability is close to the low points of the approval ratings of Barack Obama after political setbacks, of which he had many. But this is where Donald Trump starts. In the counter-historical situation in which he would be up for re-election before even being inaugurated, he would lose such a bid.
Don't blame the times. Barack Obama got inaugurated when people feared that the downturn that they then had would play into a reprise of the Great Depression and when some wars in Iraq and Afghanistan were going very badly for America. Times are generally much better for Americans in November 2016 than in November 2008. Donald Trump has done more to make the political times before becoming President than any prior new President-Elect since... Lincoln?
I am thinking that his "My Way or the Highway" approach to politics will ensure that liberals will have solid contempt for him for a very long time. Liberals are now almost completely irrelevant to the federal political process until at least 2018 in a miracle for them (involving some economic or military/diplomatic disaster) and in 2020 only if they can participate meaningfully, something yet to be proved. Donald Trump is about as far to the Right as Fidel Castro is on the Left, and I doubt that he will move. Figure that he will have a solid 45% "strong disapproval" rating no matter what happens because that is the core liberal vote.
Meanwhile the approval rate for President Obama is 57%, which is extremely good for a President at the end of a second term.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/197495/obama-job-approval-jumps-four-year-high.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tilesFasten your seat belts. We're in for a bumpy night. -- Margo Channing (Bette Davis),
All About Eve, 1950. (It's usually cited as "ride").