Single Most shocking county result?
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  Single Most shocking county result? 		« previous next »
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Author Topic: Single Most shocking county result?  (Read 4851 times)
Matty
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« on: November 22, 2016, 07:26:00 PM »
With the exception of obvious number 1, orange county ca
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Seattle
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« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2016, 10:11:26 PM »
I'm still shocked that Elliott County swung as hard as it did. 70-26 R from 49-47 D.

Also Trumbull County, OH. Went from 60.5-37.5 D to 51-44 R. Or for that matter, Mahoning and Lackawanna counties. I expected swings to Trump, but it's still shocking to see how huge they were.
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Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: November 22, 2016, 10:46:37 PM »
Kennebec County, Maine
Sullivan County, New Hampshire
Essex County, Vermont
Windham County, Connecticut

I don't see how Orange County was that shocking.
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
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« Reply #3 on: November 22, 2016, 11:10:01 PM »
Kent County, RI
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #4 on: November 22, 2016, 11:31:28 PM »
Pinellas, FL

Pueblo, CO
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Intell
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« Reply #5 on: November 22, 2016, 11:48:55 PM »

This shocked me the most.
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #6 on: November 23, 2016, 12:12:54 AM »
Nelson Co. and my former residence of Lynchburg, VA

The former was a strong D county, while the latter is Southern Evangelical R turf.

Yet both were in roughly the same percentage area for Trump.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: November 23, 2016, 01:00:58 AM »
Honestly I was shocked when Trump won counties in Connecticut (other than the one in the NW corner), Vermont, and Rhode Island. Also NE Ohio and NE Pennsylvania. And then because of that, I expect very good results for Trump in the rest of the country, but struggles in Texas and Arizona.
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sinngael
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« Reply #8 on: November 23, 2016, 07:55:17 AM »
Has to be Rhode Island having a Republican county, who expected that??
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LLR
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« Reply #9 on: November 23, 2016, 10:16:07 AM »
Ahstabula County swung very hard right (and flipped).

Here's a list of some surprises I found while aimlessly clicking around the results (those in blue flipped to Clinton):

(and this is just in the west+plains+minnesota - there are a ton more i just got lazy)

Grays Harbor, WA
Columbia, OR
Nevada, CA
Fresno, CA
Blaine, MT
Los Animas, CO
Valencia, NM
Hidalgo, NM
Jefferson, TX
Thurston, NE
Roberts, SD
Day, SD
Marshall, SD
Ransom, ND
Sargent, ND
Koochiching, MN
Kittson, MN
Mahnomen, MN
Norman, MN
Swift, MN
Mower, MN

Basic criteria was double or high single digit swing + flip
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vileplume
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« Reply #10 on: November 23, 2016, 11:16:30 AM »

Fresno didn't flip, it voted for Obama in 2012 albeit narrowly.
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VPH
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« Reply #11 on: November 23, 2016, 01:32:37 PM »
Pueblo, CO
Cobb, GA
Orange, CA
Lackawanna, PA
Franklin, NY
Essex, VT
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #12 on: November 23, 2016, 06:37:50 PM »
Michigan-
Sorry to be such a local yokel, but Washtenaw County voting more D than Wayne County. Macomb going 10 points more R than Oakland, the biggest gap between the two counties since 1968. Lapeer going more Republican than Livingston. Also, Ottawa County (most Republican county in MI for many years) not even in the top 5 for Trump.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #13 on: November 23, 2016, 06:51:06 PM »
As per city/town results, Cambridge, MA giving Trump just 6%. This shows a complete lack of support among university students. In 1984, Reagan got 23.4% in the untra-liberal city, probably much of it from MIT students and associates.
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AGA
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« Reply #14 on: November 23, 2016, 09:28:27 PM »
Erie County, PA. I was not surprised by the winner, but by the margin in Suffolk County, NY.
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Pennsylvania Deplorable
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« Reply #15 on: November 28, 2016, 06:29:10 PM »
Quote from: sinngael on November 23, 2016, 07:55:17 AM
Has to be Rhode Island having a Republican county, who expected that??

That's a much bigger surprise than Orange County, CA.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: November 28, 2016, 09:42:25 PM »
Pinellas County and The rhode island county.
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hopper
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« Reply #17 on: November 29, 2016, 01:44:12 PM »
Trump winning Macomb County,MI by 11% points.
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jamestroll
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« Reply #18 on: November 29, 2016, 04:09:24 PM »
All those rural Utah Counties which still went very very lopsided for Trump. Seems like the White Working Class love for Trump really stuck.

But you look at Weber, Davis, Utah and especially Salt Lake, Trump struggled.
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GMantis
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« Reply #19 on: November 30, 2016, 02:30:33 PM »
Quote from: mathstatman on November 23, 2016, 06:37:50 PM
Michigan-
Sorry to be such a local yokel, but Washtenaw County voting more D than Wayne County. Macomb going 10 points more R than Oakland, the biggest gap between the two counties since 1968. Lapeer going more Republican than Livingston. Also, Ottawa County (most Republican county in MI for many years) not even in the top 5 for Trump.
It's not even in the top thirty.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #20 on: December 01, 2016, 12:14:12 AM »
Fort Bend, TX
Orange, CA
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Torie
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« Reply #21 on: December 01, 2016, 03:53:55 PM »
Quote from: hopper on November 29, 2016, 01:44:12 PM
Trump winning Macomb County,MI by 11% points.

That might be the most populated county that swung that hard to Trump. The swing there alone from 2012 generated more than Trump's MI margin.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #22 on: December 03, 2016, 11:15:06 AM »
Quote from: GMantis on November 30, 2016, 02:30:33 PM
Quote from: mathstatman on November 23, 2016, 06:37:50 PM
Michigan-
Sorry to be such a local yokel, but Washtenaw County voting more D than Wayne County. Macomb going 10 points more R than Oakland, the biggest gap between the two counties since 1968. Lapeer going more Republican than Livingston. Also, Ottawa County (most Republican county in MI for many years) not even in the top 5 for Trump.
It's not even in the top thirty.
True, and that is remarkable considering that in the now ancient-history election of 1976, Ottawa, MI was the 4th most Republican county in the nation.
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Figueira
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« Reply #23 on: December 03, 2016, 11:23:51 PM »
I would have listed Kent County, but honestly if RI was way closer than usual it makes sense that Trump wins a county.
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nclib
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« Reply #24 on: December 04, 2016, 12:15:01 AM »
I was surprised by Robeson, NC going not only for Trump, but also McCrory and Burr. I know Hillary underperformed among Native Americans, but Jill Stein wasn't a factor here.

Quote from: Torie on December 01, 2016, 03:53:55 PM
Quote from: hopper on November 29, 2016, 01:44:12 PM
Trump winning Macomb County,MI by 11% points.

That might be the most populated county that swung that hard to Trump. The swing there alone from 2012 generated more than Trump's MI margin.

I do recall Ashtabula, OH having the highest swing among counties over a certain size, but it's smaller (though swung stronger) than Macomb.
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