Dems in Trump CD's; Reps in Clinton CD's

[nclib]

So far...

Dems in Trump CD's

Jacky Rosen, NV-3
Tom O'Halleran, AZ-1
Tim Walz, MN-1
Collin Peterson, MN-7
Rick Nolan, MN-8
Dave Loebsack, IA-2
Carol Shea-Porter, NH-1
Josh Gottheimer, NJ-5
Matt Cartwright, PA-17
Tom Suozzi, NY-3

Reps in Clinton CD's

Martha McSally, AZ-2
Erik Paulsen, MN-3
Kevin Yoder, KS-3
John Culberson, TX-7
Will Hurd, TX-23
Barbara Comstock, VA-10
Peter Roskam, IL-6
Mike Coffman, CO-6
Jeff Denham, CA-10
David Valadao, CA-21
Steve Knight, CA-25
Ed Royce, CA-39
Darrell Issa, CA-49

For the undone ones, certainly Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27).

[Maxwell]

Roskam? Wow! I mean it fits the trend but still.

[publicunofficial]

From what I remember, there's some more that have been calculated:

Dems:
Sean Patrick Maloney (NY-18)

Reps:
John Katko (NY-24)
Pat Meehan (PA-07)


The rest are mostly guessing at this point. For Dems I expect Ron Kind (WI-03), for Reps I expect Carlos Curbelo (FL-26), Mario Diaz-Balart (FL-25), Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (FL-27), Pete Sessions (TX-32), and probably around half the California delegation (CA-10, CA-21, CA-25, CA-39, CA-45, CA-48, CA-49).

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Dave Reichert (R) in WA-8.  Mr. Phips had Hillary up there by 7% just a few days ago, and the most recent county tabulations don't point to any real change.  

[nclib]

Updating from Mr. Phips:

Rep in Clinton CDs

Jeff Denham, CA-10
David Valadao, CA-21
Steve Knight, CA-25
Ed Royce, CA-39
Darrell Issa, CA-49

[Nyvin]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

[DrScholl]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

Paul Babeu is pretty awful. He was head of a school where there were child abuse allegations. Cruddy candidate.

[publicunofficial]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

Paul Babeu is pretty awful. He was head of a school where there were child abuse allegations. Cruddy candidate.

He also tried to get his former lover deported. Real PoS.


Also, TX-32 is a confirmed Clinton district.

[Young Conservative]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

Paul Babeu is pretty awful. He was head of a school where there were child abuse allegations. Cruddy candidate.

He also tried to get his former lover deported. Real PoS.


Also, TX-32 is a confirmed Clinton district.

TEXAS 32! HA I'll believe it when I see it.

[Miles]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

Paul Babeu is pretty awful. He was head of a school where there were child abuse allegations. Cruddy candidate.

He also tried to get his former lover deported. Real PoS.


Also, TX-32 is a confirmed Clinton district.

TEXAS 32! HA I'll believe it when I see it.

For TX-32, I found:

Clinton - 135,281 (48.4%)
Trump - 130,579 (46.7%)
Other - 13,926 (4.9%)

[publicunofficial]

I'm really surprised all the CA GOPers survived.

AZ-1 was a pretty strong win for an open seat,  has this district trended Dem at all or something?  Or was the GOP candidate just awful?

Paul Babeu is pretty awful. He was head of a school where there were child abuse allegations. Cruddy candidate.

He also tried to get his former lover deported. Real PoS.


Also, TX-32 is a confirmed Clinton district.

TEXAS 32! HA I'll believe it when I see it.

For TX-32, I found:

Clinton - 135,281 (48.4%)
Trump - 130,579 (46.7%)
Other - 13,926 (4.9%)

Believe it.

[Miles]

^ Also:

TX-23 detail:

[windjammer]

What about former Ron Paul's district? TX-24?

[LabourJersey]

Does anyone have exact numbers for NJ congressional districts? Clearly someone has NJ-5 (I'm personally surprised Trump won the 5th district) but I haven't found results by congressional district anywhere.

I wonder what happened in NJ-2 and NJ-3. Both went for Obama in '08 and '12, but I know South Jersey swung Republican this year to a small degree. Both should be major targets for the Dems in 2018.

[Mr.Phips]

Does anyone have exact numbers for NJ congressional districts? Clearly someone has NJ-5 (I'm personally surprised Trump won the 5th district) but I haven't found results by congressional district anywhere.

I wonder what happened in NJ-2 and NJ-3. Both went for Obama in '08 and '12, but I know South Jersey swung Republican this year to a small degree. Both should be major targets for the Dems in 2018.

Both NJ-02 and NJ-03 were Trump for sure.  NJ-03 was about 51℅-45%.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Does anyone have exact numbers for NJ congressional districts? Clearly someone has NJ-5 (I'm personally surprised Trump won the 5th district) but I haven't found results by congressional district anywhere.

I wonder what happened in NJ-2 and NJ-3. Both went for Obama in '08 and '12, but I know South Jersey swung Republican this year to a small degree. Both should be major targets for the Dems in 2018.

Seconding this. I'd also like to see what happened in NJ-7 which likely swung to Clinton and possibly even flipped.

[Young Conservative]

Where is the map by congressional district?

[Miles]

^ Its being updated over here.

[Devils30]

NJ-7 and 11 are probably quite close.

[hopper]

I'm shocked that Clinton won John Culberson's District but it did trend towards Obama in 2008. I guess Trump's candidacy kind of fast-paced Culberson's District towards Dems!

How did Clinton win Pete Sessions Congressional District? Pete Sessions is quite Conservative and the district had a sizeable "Republican Lean" in the past.

[Young Conservative]

I'm shocked that Clinton won John Culberson's District but it did trend towards Obama in 2008. I guess Trump's candidacy kind of fast-paced Culberson's District towards Dems!

How did Clinton win Pete Sessions Congressional District? Pete Sessions is quite Conservative and the district had a sizeable "Republican Lean" in the past.

Well, the statewide margin was almost halved in Texas compared to 2012, even as the national margin fell.  There had to be a massive trend somewhere.

It'll trend back GOP with a nominee like Senator Marco Rubio, especially if the Democrats keep radializing by propogsting Representatives like Keith Ellison.

[publicunofficial]

Current List:

D's in Trump Districts:
AZ-01 (O'Halleran)
IA-02 (Loebsack)
MN-01 (Walz)
MN-07 (Peterson)
MN-08 (Nolan)
NH-01 (Shea-Porter)
NJ-05 (Gottheimer)
NV-03 (Rosen)
NY-03 (Suozzi)
NY-18 (Maloney)
PA-17 (Cartwright)
WI-03 (Kind)

R's in Clinton Districts:
AZ-02 (McSally)
CA-10 (Denham)
CA-21 (Valadao)
CA-25 (Knight)
CA-39 (Royce)
CA-45 (Walters)
CA-48 (Rohrabacher)
CA-49 (Issa)
CO-06 (Coffman)
FL-26 (Curbelo)
FL-27 (Ros-Lehtinen)
IL-06 (Roskam)
KS-03 (Yoder)
MN-03 (Paulsen)
NY-24 (Katko)
PA-07 (Meehan)
TX-07 (Culberson)
TX-23 (Hurd)
TX-32 (Sessions)
VA-10 (Comstock)
WA-08 (Reichert)

The only seats I'm not sure about are CT-05 (Etsy) and FL-25 (Diaz-Balart).

[Gass3268]

The 4 Orange County, California seats (39, 45, 48, and 49) need to be the top priority for the DCCC.

[Young Conservative]

The 4 Orange County, California seats (39, 45, 48, and 49) need to be the top priority for the DCCC.

No point focusing on those of you lose all your modwestrn seats.

[Gass3268]

The 4 Orange County, California seats (39, 45, 48, and 49) need to be the top priority for the DCCC.

No point focusing on those of you lose all your modwestrn seats.

Spellcheck is your friend