This thread is why atlas was way off about the election results this year.
No. Any reasonable person would have predicted a Clinton victory. The select few calling for a double digit margin were certifiable, but being right about a Trump victory has nothing to do with logic abilities. No one should have picked that outcome.
This is fair, but you have to admit that the Clinton supports assigned the probability of her as way higher than the evidence warranted, especially given the small sample size of US Presidential elections in the modern era of campaigning.
Poll
