Any Definite DOAs in 2018?

[JMT]

I don't think any of them are DOA, but Heitkamp is the most vulnerable.

[KingSweden]

The election was 3 weeks ago.

Nobody, D or R, is DOA yet

[Figueira]

None are DOA, but Heller, Heitkamp, Manchin, McCaskill, and Donnelly are in very bad shape.

Forgot to mention, Flake is also in bad shape, but moreso in the primary than in the general.

[BuckeyeNut]

meh Kasich probably wants to run for President again, I doubt he goes for Senate.

He's blocked in 2020 and in 2024 he would have been out of office for 6 years a senate seat would add to his resume and keep his name in the headlines

He'll be 72 in 2024, the same age as McCain was in 2008.

I get the feeling Kasich is done running for office, especially since the "unthinkable" happened and Trump won. He wrote in McCain and was public about it. He's not going to do well with voters again.

[Shameless Lefty Hack]

I don't think it's *necessarily * right to proclaim Dems DOA in Trump states given how well Trump did. It's important to remember that Sec. Clinton was a legendarily bad fit for red states, and endangered Dems are likely to do better without a polarizing national figure heading the party (Pres. Obama, Sec. Clinton).

That said, Donnelly is  t o a s t  if you ask me.  

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

Only Heitkamp. McCaskill always is underestimated.

[I’m not Stu]

I think Heller and maybe Donnelly.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Flake is gonna lose the primary to Kelli Ward so he is DOA. So, I would say Heitkamp for the Dems

[jamestroll]

Flake is gonna lose the primary to Kelli Ward so he is DOA. So, I would say Heitkamp for the Dems

Damn, I wish I had that crystal ball you have!

How do you know Flake is going to lose the primary to Killi Ward? How? How can you say that in December 2016?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

McCain is beloved in AZ and Flake isn't and there was a poll done and basically had Ward and Flake neck and neck

[Figueira]

Flake is gonna lose the primary to Kelli Ward so he is DOA. So, I would say Heitkamp for the Dems

Damn, I wish I had that crystal ball you have!

How do you know Flake is going to lose the primary to Killi Ward? How? How can you say that in December 2016?

It's fine as a prediction, but not as an absolute statement.

[peterthlee]

None
(Heller is the most vulnerable--I voted for him, followed by Donnelly, and then Heitkamp. Manchin's crossover appeal allowed him to win comfortably by 61-37 in a state which overwhelmingly went for Romney 62-36 in the SAME YEAR)

[Free Bird]

None
(Heller is the most vulnerable--I voted for him, followed by Donnelly, and then Heitkamp. Manchin's crossover appeal allowed him to win comfortably by 61-37 in a state which overwhelmingly went for Romney 62-36 in the SAME YEAR)

Incoherent hackery. I'd much rather be a Republican in a Tilt D Swing State than a Democrat in Post-Bayh Indiana

[peterthlee]

None
(Heller is the most vulnerable--I voted for him, followed by Donnelly, and then Heitkamp. Manchin's crossover appeal allowed him to win comfortably by 61-37 in a state which overwhelmingly went for Romney 62-36 in the SAME YEAR)

Incoherent hackery. I'd much rather be a Republican in a Tilt D Swing State than a Democrat in Post-Bayh Indiana

You are right, though. Tilt D swing state Republicans are, generally, in a much better position than Dems in crimson red states.
But I'm still convinced that 2018 would be a backlash against the culmination of Reps to power.

[Pericles]

The problem with saying these Democrats will lose is they won in red states in 2012, a presidential election year. If anything an anti-Republican midterms would be easier for them.

[jamestroll]

If there is any midterm in which a mediocre incumbent presidents party could gain seven seats in the Senate, 2018 is it. It is just due to sheer math and the hostile map.

Not saying it will happen, or is even likely. But it is certainly a possibility if Trump's popularity is over 50%.

Right now GOP + 2 to 3 is a good prediction. But who knows at this point.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I know it's unlikely to happen, but if John Kasich ran in Ohio, would Sherrod Brown be considered DOA?

Not even close to DOA, it'd be toss-up tilt-R at most (probably pure tossup).  Of course, Tiberi (who is a far weaker candidate than Kasich) wouldn't be making noises about running if there were any chance of Kasich running.

[Coolface Sock #42069]

Nobody yet, but Heitkamp and McCaskill have got to start out at Leans R at this point.

Even Blanche Lincoln probably didn't look like a sure loser at this point in 2008.

[Figueira]

If Republicans make big Senate gains in 2018, then either the Democrats havea massive problem in midterms regardless of who is President, or polarization is WAY up since 2012.

[houseonaboat]

IMO if Social Security/Medicare cuts become issues in 2017 then all of the big four seats (Heitkamp/Donnelly/McCaskill/Manchin) are tossups at best (and I would argue lean D for Donnelly and Manchin).