Any Definite DOAs in 2018?

[Free Bird]

I think one of the Big 4 endangered Democrats will lose, at the very least.

[Lief 🗽]

I think Heitkamp is basically gone, unfortunately. Clinton got 27% of the vote in North Dakota.

[MT Treasurer]

McCaskill needs a miracle to survive (and quite frankly, Democrats would be better off if she retired and Koster or Kander ran for the seat). Donnelly is in big trouble as well, but he's a good fit for his state and the IN GOP might screw it up again.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

No, but McCaskill is barely alive.

[Free Bird]

And I forgot McCaskill. Okay then. Quote this if you think she is gone I guess.

[jamestroll]

Yea I give up on McCaskill. She will be lucky to even get 25% of the vote.

I want Koster in. He probably learned his lesson from 2016.

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

No one is DOA. McCaskill and Donnelly are the most endangered incumbents though.

[Fusionmunster]

Maybe Donnelly?

Heitkamp is a skilled retail politician and McCaskill shouldn't be underestimated either. Donnelly though seems like a one term wonder.

[morgieb]

No one is DOA at this level. I think McCaskill, Donnelly, Heitkamp and Heller would have to have a fair bit of luck to survive, though.

[Xing]

I don't think we can call anyone DOA at this point. A few are certainly underdogs. I'd say that Heitkamp is the most vulnerable incumbent, but she's not completely done yet.

[ElectionsGuy]

No DOAs yet, like Pryor in 2014, but definitely a few endangered Senators - Donnelly the most vulnerable probably, and Manchin depending on the opponent he gets.

[Young Conservative]

No one is DOA. McCaskill and Donnelly are the most endangered incumbents though.

The order is Probably Donnelly>Heitkamp> McCaskill
All three are almost certain to lose at this point. Secretary's a clinton didn't get more than 38% in any of their states.

[pikachu]

I don't think we can call anyone DOA at this point. A few are certainly underdogs.

This is the objectively right statement at this point in time, but because the point of this board is mindless speculation, Heller.

[Maxwell]

Donnelly and potentially Flake.

[publicunofficial]

I have a hard time seeing how Heitkamp holds on. But Dems can't afford to forfeit any race until it's crunch time.

[SATW]

Donnelly, Manchin and  maybe McCaskill.

[BuckeyeNut]

I know it's unlikely to happen, but if John Kasich ran in Ohio, would Sherrod Brown be considered DOA?

Hard to say. The GOP base that turned out for Trump is not the base that's allowed Kasich to do so well in Ohio. (Reminder, he only beat Strickland by 2 in '10, and FitzGerald was an absolute mess.) Vengeful Trump could make things very hard for Kasich. As could high approval ratings with Republicans (even if his approvals aren't high across the board).

[Maxwell]

meh Kasich probably wants to run for President again, I doubt he goes for Senate.

[Pandaguineapig]

meh Kasich probably wants to run for President again, I doubt he goes for Senate.

He's blocked in 2020 and in 2024 he would have been out of office for 6 years a senate seat would add to his resume and keep his name in the headlines

[ElectionsGuy]

meh Kasich probably wants to run for President again, I doubt he goes for Senate.

He's blocked in 2020 and in 2024 he would have been out of office for 6 years a senate seat would add to his resume and keep his name in the headlines

He'll be 72 in 2024, the same age as McCain was in 2008.

[Cynthia]

I want Koster or Kander to replace the un charismatic McCaskill

[progressive85]

Don't be surprised if more Democrats than you think survive.  The atmosphere in 2018 could be very brutal for the Trumpublicans.  These "weak" Democrats could campaign on being the only things standing in the way of privatization of Social Security.

[Nyvin]

Probably none of them.   We really don't know what the next two years will look like.

[Figueira]

None are DOA, but Heller, Heitkamp, Manchin, McCaskill, and Donnelly are in very bad shape.

[windjammer]

No one for the moment