IL-Gov. 2018 Megathread
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Author Topic: IL-Gov. 2018 Megathread  (Read 115043 times)
America's Sweetheart ❤/𝕿𝖍𝖊 𝕭𝖔𝖔𝖙𝖞 𝖂𝖆𝖗𝖗𝖎𝖔𝖗
TexArkana
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« Reply #1000 on: March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM »
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #1001 on: March 20, 2018, 09:48:25 PM »
Quote from: The Walrus on March 20, 2018, 09:47:57 PM
What did JB say in his victory speech?

Rauner, Rauner, Rauner
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Green Line
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« Reply #1002 on: March 20, 2018, 09:49:29 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Illini on March 20, 2018, 09:44:00 PM
Lesser known race: Dan Burke - brother of powerhouse machine alderman Ed Burke - will fall to progressive insurgent Aaron Ortiz

Disgusted. 
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1003 on: March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM »
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1004 on: March 20, 2018, 09:50:10 PM »
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Oh, yeah, Rauner's almost certainly DOA.

Quote from: Green Line on March 20, 2018, 09:49:29 PM
Quote from: Mr. Illini on March 20, 2018, 09:44:00 PM
Lesser known race: Dan Burke - brother of powerhouse machine alderman Ed Burke - will fall to progressive insurgent Aaron Ortiz

Disgusted.  
Overjoyed Tongue
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1005 on: March 20, 2018, 09:50:50 PM »
Quote from: new_patomic on March 20, 2018, 09:45:42 PM
I wonder if in the end Ives derogatory ad ultimately did her more damage than benefit.



Aparently she spent a whole lot of money in the Chicago market, but little downstate, probably assuming it was locked up. She ended up doing well in the collar and killing Rauner's base...but is getting matched and defeated in areas of downstate. This looks more like General republican disinterest.

Also right now, about 40% of the remaining precincts are DuPage, so this race probably gets somewhat closer.

Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.

Looks like Rauner might become Gillespie V2.0, complete with the tight primary and everything.
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Alabama_Indy10
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« Reply #1006 on: March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM »
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1007 on: March 20, 2018, 09:51:28 PM »
Still nothing in with Ogle County.

Rauner won Lee County.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1008 on: March 20, 2018, 09:53:33 PM »
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
Illinois actually tends to elected Republican governors, Blago was the first Dem to win reelection since Otto Kerner in 1964.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #1009 on: March 20, 2018, 09:55:32 PM »
Quote from: COME ON DANIEL BISS AND MARIE NEWMAN on March 20, 2018, 09:53:33 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
Illinois actually tends to elected Republican governors, Blago was the first Dem to win reelection since Otto Kerner in 1964.
Illinois's blue shift is a relatively recent (last 25 years) phenomenon.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1010 on: March 20, 2018, 09:56:14 PM »
Quote from: COME ON DANIEL BISS AND MARIE NEWMAN on March 20, 2018, 09:53:33 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
Illinois actually tends to elected Republican governors, Blago was the first Dem to win reelection since Otto Kerner in 1964.

Pre-Clinton though IL was a swing state, with a strong Dem base in Cook, and a Strong R base in the Collars. The New-Dem coalition was targeted at northern suburbs like the collars, and they progressively voted less and less for the dems.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
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« Reply #1011 on: March 20, 2018, 09:56:56 PM »
Quote from: whitesox130 on March 20, 2018, 09:55:32 PM
Quote from: COME ON DANIEL BISS AND MARIE NEWMAN on March 20, 2018, 09:53:33 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
Illinois actually tends to elected Republican governors, Blago was the first Dem to win reelection since Otto Kerner in 1964.
Illinois's blue shift is a relatively recent (last 25 years) phenomenon.

Until Bush Jr, no Republican won the presidency without Illinois.
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1012 on: March 20, 2018, 09:58:23 PM »
Quote from: whitesox130 on March 20, 2018, 09:55:32 PM
Quote from: COME ON DANIEL BISS AND MARIE NEWMAN on March 20, 2018, 09:53:33 PM
Quote from: Alabama_Indy10 on March 20, 2018, 09:51:05 PM
Quote from: libertpaulian on March 20, 2018, 09:49:45 PM
Quote from: America's Sweetheart ❤ on March 20, 2018, 09:48:09 PM
Even if he holds on, the fact that this is so close is an extremely ominous sign for Rauner in the general. An energized D base + pissed off hard-right Republicans is a losing combo for him.
Combined with the fact that this is an anti-Trump year...


Combined with the fact that he's running in Illinois..
Illinois actually tends to elected Republican governors, Blago was the first Dem to win reelection since Otto Kerner in 1964.
Illinois's blue shift is a relatively recent (last 25 years) phenomenon.
It did go to Reagan both times, and Bush 42.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1013 on: March 20, 2018, 09:59:53 PM »
We officially have 1,800 gov precincts left uncounted, and 900 of those - 50% of the remaining, are in DuPage.
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henster
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« Reply #1014 on: March 20, 2018, 10:00:12 PM »
Serious issues with the machines in DuPage probably won't get results until tomorrow.

http://www.dailyherald.com/news/20180320/dupage-county-unable-to-count-votes-after-problem-with-voting-machine-cards
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Coolface Sock #42069
whitesox130
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« Reply #1015 on: March 20, 2018, 10:01:58 PM »
Ugh, I want this race called so I can go to bed...
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MAINEiac4434
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« Reply #1016 on: March 20, 2018, 10:02:17 PM »
Who are the 13,000 people who vote for Robert Marshall
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Green Line
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« Reply #1017 on: March 20, 2018, 10:04:45 PM »
We never had these voting issues when DuPage County was run by all Republicans.
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1018 on: March 20, 2018, 10:06:07 PM »
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MAINEiac4434
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1019 on: March 20, 2018, 10:06:35 PM »
Also just realized that there won't be a Green candidate on the ballot, so lefties will have to vote Pritzker, or protest vote with the Libertarian, which they probably won't do.
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Catholics vs. Convicts
Illiniwek
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« Reply #1020 on: March 20, 2018, 10:08:01 PM »
Quote from: Green Line on March 20, 2018, 10:04:45 PM
We never had these voting issues when DuPage County was run by all Republicans.

Lol its not run by Republicans now??
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #1021 on: March 20, 2018, 10:08:10 PM »
Rauner about to speak

Prediction: Pritzker, Madigan, Pritzker
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Green Line
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« Reply #1022 on: March 20, 2018, 10:09:02 PM »
Quote from: Fmr. Rep. Illiniwek on March 20, 2018, 10:08:01 PM
Quote from: Green Line on March 20, 2018, 10:04:45 PM
We never had these voting issues when DuPage County was run by all Republicans.

Lol its not run by Republicans now??

There might be some Democrats in there somewhere.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #1023 on: March 20, 2018, 10:10:06 PM »
On DuPage, NYT says there are more precincts, but the state site still says 15% reporting, so I doubt anything changed.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #1024 on: March 20, 2018, 10:11:35 PM »
Rauner's LG refers to "us" as the "working class"

Hilarious.
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