IL-Gov. 2018 Megathread (user search)
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  IL-Gov. 2018 Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL-Gov. 2018 Megathread  (Read 112868 times)
BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« on: March 10, 2017, 12:45:11 AM »

Dan Lipinski could never make it through a statewide Democratic primary.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2017, 07:08:13 AM »

A key difference is that Illinois is Safe D, while Maine is Tilt D at best. Also, Rauner's state isn't 95% White. The McCaskill comparison is actually pretty good: Barring an implosion of the Republican (in MO) or Democratic (in IL) candidate, both of them will probably go down in flames (though McCaskill even more than Rauner). The only thing that could help Rauner is that gubernatorial races are less partisan, but his approval ratings aren't that great either.
I agree. Reelection for governors in states that are strongly against their party either end up as landslides in their favor or dramatic losses.

For example, Schwarzenegger vs Angelides or O'Malley vs. Ehrlich.

Sebelius 2006 or Strickland vs Kasich
Not the latter, Strickland only lost by 2 points in 2010.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #2 on: March 14, 2017, 09:04:57 PM »

Y'all do realize Lipinski was a Sanders delegate, right.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #3 on: March 17, 2017, 12:06:24 AM »

Y'all do realize Lipinski was a Sanders delegate, right.

If memory serves, he voted for Sanders because Sanders won his district, not because of any personal support he had for Sanders.
And? People appreciate that.

"Y'know, I don't like Lipinski all the time, but he supported us as a delegate, so we'll support him."
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #4 on: May 05, 2017, 12:16:29 PM »

Pretty good introduction.
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #5 on: June 06, 2017, 05:41:03 PM »

This is kind of why I'd prefer JB this time around. After a certain point, money only helps so much, but it is definitely needed in these races. Further, a candidate who can't self-fund themselves next year will have a large disadvantage with their campaign and at the same time, will suck up donor money that should instead be going to legislative races, which money definitely does help.
Kennedy can self-fund and isn't tainted from quid quo pro with Blago...
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BuckeyeNut
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,458


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -7.30

« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2018, 10:05:51 AM »

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