Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
September 24, 2017, 06:07:05 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Be sure to enable your "Ultimate Profile" for even more goodies on your profile page!

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
| |-+  Gubernatorial/Statewide Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, Virginia)
| | |-+  OH: Cordray Out?
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 9 10 11 12 13 [14] 15 16 17 18 19 ... 34 Print
Author Topic: OH: Cordray Out?  (Read 39613 times)
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #325 on: March 17, 2017, 10:38:50 am »
Ignore

Could the Dems pick his seat up?
One, if he resigns they'll be an appointment, depending on when the resignation comes there'd be no special.
Two, I don't think there are any democrats left in Butler County.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #326 on: March 17, 2017, 11:31:12 am »
Ignore

Because of the appointment process alone, no. It's actually a really good move to have someone resign from the Ohio State House, as far as the Caucuses are concerned. If you have a super early replacement, you basically can have someone in the House for 10 years, or the Senate for 12, as appointments don't count toward term limits.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Chris B
cb48026
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 951


View Profile
« Reply #327 on: March 17, 2017, 03:39:56 pm »
Ignore

I had a question for the OH experts. If Trump does fire Cordray in the distant future, when is the absolute latest that Cordray could go home and run for governor in that scenario and still be a viable candidate?
« Last Edit: March 17, 2017, 04:23:45 pm by Chris B »Logged
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #328 on: March 17, 2017, 05:23:48 pm »
Ignore

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #329 on: March 20, 2017, 08:19:20 am »
Ignore

Congresman Jim Renacci to file gubernatorial paperwork later this morning. While largely unknown outside of his district, he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and can play off his early support for Trump.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Malcolm X
jdb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13783
United States


View Profile
« Reply #330 on: March 20, 2017, 08:43:12 am »
Ignore

Congresman Jim Renacci to file gubernatorial paperwork later this morning. While largely unknown outside of his district, he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and can play off his early support for Trump.

Well okay then Tongue  If Renacci wants to throw away his political career, I certainly won't complain. 

The Democrats should definitely try to recruit a top-tier candidate here.  This seat is winnable, especially in a Democratic year.  Even Sutton almost beat Renacci (admittedly a weak-ish incumbent, but so was Sutton) in 2012.  While I'd prefer a stronger recruit who hasn't...you know...already lost here (ideally someone from either the swingy/mildly Republican-leaning Cuyahoga County portion or a moderates from the Summit County portion besides Sutton).  Actually, if we can't find such a recruit then at the very least Sutton could at least drop down and run here as wave insurance.
Logged

Cool Grin Tongue Smiley Sad Huh Angry Wink Roll Eyes Undecided Cheesy
Shocked Lips sealed
smoltchanov
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3443
Russian Federation
View Profile
« Reply #331 on: March 20, 2017, 09:47:15 am »
Ignore

Congresman Jim Renacci to file gubernatorial paperwork later this morning. While largely unknown outside of his district, he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and can play off his early support for Trump.

Well okay then Tongue  If Renacci wants to throw away his political career, I certainly won't complain. 

The Democrats should definitely try to recruit a top-tier candidate here.  This seat is winnable, especially in a Democratic year.  Even Sutton almost beat Renacci (admittedly a weak-ish incumbent, but so was Sutton) in 2012.  While I'd prefer a stronger recruit who hasn't...you know...already lost here (ideally someone from either the swingy/mildly Republican-leaning Cuyahoga County portion or a moderates from the Summit County portion besides Sutton).  Actually, if we can't find such a recruit then at the very least Sutton could at least drop down and run here as wave insurance.

56-40 Trump, IIRC. Not impossible, but - difficult.
Logged

Raging moderate. Big fan of "mavericks" (in all parties) and big non-lover of "reliable foot soldiers" (in all parties as well). Very much "anti-tea party". Political Matrix - E: -0.26, S: -3.48. Like to collect bans on partisan sites (4-5 on DKE (+ SSP) and on RRH).
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #332 on: March 20, 2017, 09:54:31 am »
Ignore

If it's open in a good year, the 14th is a fine target. So long as someone other than Wager runs.

I could see, perhaps worryingly, Tom Sawyer trying to make a comeback?
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Malcolm X
jdb
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 13783
United States


View Profile
« Reply #333 on: March 20, 2017, 10:01:36 am »
Ignore

If it's open in a good year, the 14th is a fine target. So long as someone other than Wager runs.

I could see, perhaps worryingly, Tom Sawyer trying to make a comeback?

Renacci represents the 16th, but yes, the 14th is a good target regardless of what Joyce does.
 
Congresman Jim Renacci to file gubernatorial paperwork later this morning. While largely unknown outside of his district, he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and can play off his early support for Trump.

Well okay then Tongue  If Renacci wants to throw away his political career, I certainly won't complain. 

The Democrats should definitely try to recruit a top-tier candidate here.  This seat is winnable, especially in a Democratic year.  Even Sutton almost beat Renacci (admittedly a weak-ish incumbent, but so was Sutton) in 2012.  While I'd prefer a stronger recruit who hasn't...you know...already lost here (ideally someone from either the swingy/mildly Republican-leaning Cuyahoga County portion or a moderates from the Summit County portion besides Sutton).  Actually, if we can't find such a recruit then at the very least Sutton could at least drop down and run here as wave insurance.

56-40 Trump, IIRC. Not impossible, but - difficult.

That number is pretty deceptive.
Logged

Cool Grin Tongue Smiley Sad Huh Angry Wink Roll Eyes Undecided Cheesy
Shocked Lips sealed
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #334 on: March 20, 2017, 10:53:36 am »
Ignore

If it's open in a good year, the 14th is a fine target. So long as someone other than Wager runs.

I could see, perhaps worryingly, Tom Sawyer trying to make a comeback?

Renacci represents the 16th, but yes, the 14th is a good target regardless of what Joyce does.
Oh, right. My mistake.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #335 on: March 20, 2017, 11:27:17 am »
Ignore

Congresman Jim Renacci to file gubernatorial paperwork later this morning. While largely unknown outside of his district, he is one of the wealthiest members of Congress and can play off his early support for Trump.

Well okay then Tongue  If Renacci wants to throw away his political career, I certainly won't complain. 

The Democrats should definitely try to recruit a top-tier candidate here.  This seat is winnable, especially in a Democratic year.  Even Sutton almost beat Renacci (admittedly a weak-ish incumbent, but so was Sutton) in 2012.  While I'd prefer a stronger recruit who hasn't...you know...already lost here (ideally someone from either the swingy/mildly Republican-leaning Cuyahoga County portion or a moderates from the Summit County portion besides Sutton).  Actually, if we can't find such a recruit then at the very least Sutton could at least drop down and run here as wave insurance.

56-40 Trump, IIRC. Not impossible, but - difficult.

With a bad republican in a big d year sure...
Logged
Chris B
cb48026
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 951


View Profile
« Reply #336 on: March 20, 2017, 03:49:06 pm »
Ignore

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.

I'm surprised that it would have to be that soon. As the Dem field seems to be relatively lackluster at the moment, perhaps he could afford to wait for a bit longer if it doesn't improve in the mean time?
Logged
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #337 on: March 20, 2017, 06:58:38 pm »
Ignore

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.

I'm surprised that it would have to be that soon. As the Dem field seems to be relatively lackluster at the moment, perhaps he could afford to wait for a bit longer if it doesn't improve in the mean time?
Filing deadline is January / February sometime, but he'd need a full staff and apparatus ready to win a deep divided primary. I'd say may is the latest he could enter barring a field clearing incident
Logged
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #338 on: March 20, 2017, 08:39:01 pm »
Ignore

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.

I'm surprised that it would have to be that soon. As the Dem field seems to be relatively lackluster at the moment, perhaps he could afford to wait for a bit longer if it doesn't improve in the mean time?
Filing deadline is January / February sometime, but he'd need a full staff and apparatus ready to win a deep divided primary. I'd say may is the latest he could enter barring a field clearing incident
Especially with Nan Whaley announcing "any day now."
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #339 on: March 20, 2017, 10:24:14 pm »
Ignore

I believe it's been said he'd need to be in by the end of May.

I'm surprised that it would have to be that soon. As the Dem field seems to be relatively lackluster at the moment, perhaps he could afford to wait for a bit longer if it doesn't improve in the mean time?
Filing deadline is January / February sometime, but he'd need a full staff and apparatus ready to win a deep divided primary. I'd say may is the latest he could enter barring a field clearing incident
Especially with Nan Whaley announcing "any day now."
Yep. The dem primary has the makings of a nastier primary than the R one as there isn't too much separating the bottom tier from the top. While things can change on the R side, I think it's clear right now that Husted and Dewine are on one level and Taylor and Renacci on a lower one.
Logged
JMT
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 776



View Profile
« Reply #340 on: March 21, 2017, 08:33:31 am »
Ignore

This is shaping up to be quite a crowded race on both sides... are there still any candidates we expect will run? Nan Whaley apparently is announcing any day now. Will Nina Turner run? Any other candidates?

For republicans, we have Taylor, DeWine and Renacci. Will Husted get in too? Any other candidates?

With such a crowded field, I'm wondering if any of these candidates will drop out to run for a different office (either for Congress or another statewide office).

Does anyone want to predict a general election matchup?
Logged
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #341 on: March 21, 2017, 11:54:24 am »
Ignore

This is shaping up to be quite a crowded race on both sides... are there still any candidates we expect will run? Nan Whaley apparently is announcing any day now. Will Nina Turner run? Any other candidates?

For republicans, we have Taylor, DeWine and Renacci. Will Husted get in too? Any other candidates?

With such a crowded field, I'm wondering if any of these candidates will drop out to run for a different office (either for Congress or another statewide office).

Does anyone want to predict a general election matchup?
Husted is definitely in. I don't think Nina Turner is in, but in all honesty I could see Kucinich get in.

I'm doubting any one of these candidates leaves the race, MAYBE Taylor, but I doubt it.

I'm predicting a Husted Vs. Sutton matchup.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #342 on: March 21, 2017, 03:17:13 pm »
Ignore

I'm mostly in agreement with what RJJR said, however, there's a small chance Husted runs for Senate.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Kingpoleon
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 14953
United States


View Profile
« Reply #343 on: March 21, 2017, 03:19:29 pm »
Ignore

This is shaping up to be quite a crowded race on both sides... are there still any candidates we expect will run? Nan Whaley apparently is announcing any day now. Will Nina Turner run? Any other candidates?

For republicans, we have Taylor, DeWine and Renacci. Will Husted get in too? Any other candidates?

With such a crowded field, I'm wondering if any of these candidates will drop out to run for a different office (either for Congress or another statewide office).

Does anyone want to predict a general election matchup?
Husted is definitely in. I don't think Nina Turner is in, but in all honesty I could see Kucinich get in.

I'm doubting any one of these candidates leaves the race, MAYBE Taylor, but I doubt it.

I'm predicting a Husted Vs. Sutton matchup.

I would say the Democratic race belongs to Richard Cordray or Jay Williams - if they run. Husted will hold the young vote and moderates/libertarians.
Logged

"America now is stumbling through the darkness of hatred and divisiveness. Our values, our principles, and our determination to succeed as a free and democratic people will give us a torch to light the way." - Gerald Ford

"Good speech and good looks covers man's every vice. Plain speech and plain looks covers man's every virtue."

Economic: 1.38
Social: -2.36
Rjjr77
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1475
View Profile
« Reply #344 on: March 22, 2017, 01:26:05 am »
Ignore

This is shaping up to be quite a crowded race on both sides... are there still any candidates we expect will run? Nan Whaley apparently is announcing any day now. Will Nina Turner run? Any other candidates?

For republicans, we have Taylor, DeWine and Renacci. Will Husted get in too? Any other candidates?

With such a crowded field, I'm wondering if any of these candidates will drop out to run for a different office (either for Congress or another statewide office).

Does anyone want to predict a general election matchup?
Husted is definitely in. I don't think Nina Turner is in, but in all honesty I could see Kucinich get in.

I'm doubting any one of these candidates leaves the race, MAYBE Taylor, but I doubt it.

I'm predicting a Husted Vs. Sutton matchup.

I would say the Democratic race belongs to Richard Cordray or Jay Williams - if they run. Husted will hold the young vote and moderates/libertarians.

Jay Williams won't run. Cordray, needs to get in, he's got a bit over a month in my mind. If williams Rand he'd probably finish near the bottom of this pack. I wouldn't be surprised if he ran for Schiavonis spot.
Logged
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #345 on: March 22, 2017, 09:11:13 am »
Ignore

In non election news: Former House Freedom Caucus chairman, Jim Jordan and his little buddy, Warren Davidson, who succeeded Boehner in the House, are set to oppose the ACHA from it's right, while Hamilton County-area Congressmen Steve Chabot and Brad Wenstrup seem undecided on the bill.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #346 on: March 26, 2017, 10:38:35 am »
Ignore

The Trump Administration is taking the CFPB, and by proxy, Cordray, to court, and the Justice Department won't be allowed to defend them. Given the seemingly long timeline for taking the CPFB to court, I doubt more than ever that Cordray makes it into the race.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
Spenstar
Spenstar3D
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1671
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.35, S: -7.22

View Profile
« Reply #347 on: March 26, 2017, 12:57:10 pm »
Ignore

Which wouldnt be a problem if we had Tim Ryan...

Well, it's an issue for TD Tongue
Logged

Senate Endorsements:
Ohio: My boy Sherrod
Alabama: Doug Jones
Arizona: Mark Kelly or Kristen Synema
....everybody else who you'd expect a D-NY to endorse
BuckeyeNut
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1928


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.09


View Profile
« Reply #348 on: March 30, 2017, 09:08:38 am »
Ignore

Franklin County Auditor, Clarence Mingo, will primary State Rep. Robert Sprague for Treasurer.
Logged

"I'm a Cleveland sports-fan and an Ohio Democrat. Every morning I wake up with a big smile on my face."
The_Doctor
SilentCal1924
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3766
View Profile
« Reply #349 on: March 30, 2017, 10:01:02 am »
Ignore

Which wouldnt be a problem if we had Tim Ryan...

Well, it's an issue for TD Tongue

Time for Cordray to quit, run for Governor, and make his way to the White House. Tongue
Logged

Between Two Majorities

I die the king's faithful servant, but God's first. -- St. Thomas More

"The wisest use of American strength is to advance freedom." -- President George W. Bush

#NeverTrump Republican
Pages: 1 ... 9 10 11 12 13 [14] 15 16 17 18 19 ... 34 Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines