If this were the Democratic field going into Early 4
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  If this were the Democratic field going into Early 4
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Author Topic: If this were the Democratic field going into Early 4  (Read 525 times)
Progressive
jro660
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« on: November 29, 2016, 09:42:53 PM »

Clinton
Sanders
Warren

What would the results have been in IA, NH, NV, and SC?
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RaphaelDLG
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« Reply #1 on: November 29, 2016, 09:56:56 PM »

Do you want an answer more specific than obvious Clinton landslides in all four?

There's a small chance that Clinton would have lost New Hampshire, but I doubt it. 

Without the vaccuum caused by the absence of Warren, Sanders would likely never have gotten the same traction and would have been a minor candidate, with very small/negligible "favorite son coattails" in New Hampshire, probably a third place finisher.

You're going to see a ton of vote splitting between Sanders and Warren of the moveon.org/white liberal crowd, and Warren is only going to siphon off so many Clinton voters (i.e., a handful of the old rich white female ones, and none of the black and brown ones).  Thus helping Clinton immensely.
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #2 on: November 29, 2016, 10:11:37 PM »

I suppose I figured that Sanders would drop out at some point.
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #3 on: November 29, 2016, 11:41:35 PM »

Clinton wins Iowa with Warren in Third, Dead heat in NH with Clinton in third, Clinton wins Nevada With warren in third, Clinton obliterates south Carolina with warren in third.
Sanders is a more charismatic figure than Warren in my opinion. He is instantly likable while she isn't.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #4 on: November 29, 2016, 11:58:52 PM »

Believe it or not, this scenario actually probably helps her keep some of her populist,"WCW" appeal, as no single candidate would have a monopoly on that demographic. She'd emerge from this primary in a much stronger position with a much stronger general election message than she did in reality.
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bagelman
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« Reply #5 on: November 30, 2016, 11:57:51 PM »

I suppose I figured that Sanders would drop out at some point.

Warren drops out before Sanders, but Sanders drops out around March-ish and concede's to Clinton's coronation. This is because Sanders never gets the big mo' after having to deal with Warren.
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #6 on: December 01, 2016, 09:52:54 AM »

Sanders probably would not have run if Warren had run.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #7 on: December 03, 2016, 04:34:39 PM »

Clinton vs. Warren with Sanders not running is the more interesting scenario.
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