FL-Gravis: Democrats with slight advantage, but many undecideds

[MT Treasurer]

37% Gwen Graham (D)
34% Adam Putnam (R)

44% Gwen Graham (D)
36% Pam Bondi (R)

40% Gwen Graham (D)
29% David Jolly (R)

40% Gwen Graham (D)
32% Jeff Atwater (R)

39% John Morgan (D)
35% Adam Putnam (R)

45% John Morgan (D)
35% Pam Bondi (R)

42% John Morgan (D)
31% David Jolly (R)

41% John Morgan (D)
34% Jeff Atwater (R)

Link.

[Maxwell]

I'm not sure who I'd favor in this scenario - Graham is a conservadem but strikes me as a candidate with less potential landmines than Morgan, but Morgan strikes me as more liberal and more inspiring, and someone who could string conservadems along ANYWAY. I'm kinda leaning towards Morgan if I had to vote today.

also lol @ David Jolly, but really I'm not sure why he's being polled in the first place.

[Heisenberg]

Surprised Morgan is doing that well against Putnam. I would expect Putnam to be up against Morgan, who I literally had to google. I'd say this is D+2, but the other numbers do look right. But this far out, with this many undecideds, JUNK POLL!

[Flake]

Surprised Morgan is doing that well against Putnam. I would expect Putnam to be up against Morgan, who I literally had to google. I'd say this is D+2, but the other numbers do look right. But this far out, with this many undecideds, JUNK POLL!

MORGAN AND MORGAN

FOR THE PEOPLE

[Heisenberg]

Surprised Morgan is doing that well against Putnam. I would expect Putnam to be up against Morgan, who I literally had to google. I'd say this is D+2, but the other numbers do look right. But this far out, with this many undecideds, JUNK POLL!

MORGAN AND MORGAN

FOR THE PEOPLE

After doing more searching and reading more about him, apparently Morgan is very visible throughout the state. That explains his name recognition within Florida.

[KingSweden]

Atwater I think is the strongest GOP contender - he's also retiring.

Putnam will be a challenge. I think Graham would counter him better in rural areas than morgan, but I know little of FL politics.

Where's Sanchez at??

[publicunofficial]

Yeah, Graham vs. Morgan is a hard choice for me. Like them both, both have pros and cons. May the best fundraiser win, I guess.

[Free Bird]

Let us all remember Checkpoint Charlie's huge leads before we get excited about anything

[libertpaulian]

It all depends on the I-4 Corridor vote.  I could see Morgan doing very well there.

[Kingpoleon]

>Gravis
>Bondi outperforming Jolly

[Young Conservative]

>Gravis
>Bondi outperforming Jolly

>Morgan beating Putnam

[Xing]

D+1

In all seriousness, though, it's way too soon for us to know anything about this race.

[Young Conservative]

D+1

In all seriousness, though, it's way too soon for us to know anything about this race.

Let's also remember the democrats haven't won a Florida gubernatorial election since 1994

[Hindsight was 2020]

Though early I think Morgan will do it between his name recognition, money, and pro-pot stance plus as I suspect there will be a general anti-Trump/anti-Gop mood in 2018

[Vosem]

Wasn't the rumor that Graham would run as Morgan's lieutenant gubernatorial choice? Graham's father last held office more than a decade ago (and last fought a sort-of competitive election in 1998, and an actually competitive election in 1986), and she was narrowly elected to one House term in a peripheral part of the state. However impressive that victory was, you still get the impression that Morgan could probably crush her in a primary.

[ajc0918]

John Morgan is attractive as a candidate because he can partially self fund and he has high name recognition. He would do well in the I-4 corridor. Leaning toward John Morgan simply because he is an outsider candidate and if he went up against Putnam/Bondi, I think the establishment vs outsider script would play well for Dems.

I think Graham would do well if she ran for Attorney General or Agriculture Commissioner.

[Free Bird]

Also remember we're dealing with the FDP

[Kingpoleon]

John Morgan is attractive as a candidate because he can partially self fund and he has high name recognition. He would do well in the I-4 corridor. Leaning toward John Morgan simply because he is an outsider candidate and if he went up against Putnam/Bondi, I think the establishment vs outsider script would play well for Dems.

I think Graham would do well if she ran for Attorney General or Agriculture Commissioner.

Graham is qualified for either AG job.

Could De La Fuente run for Treasurer?

Other statewide offices:
Treasurer: Rocky De La Fuente, John Morgan
Attorney General: Reginald Luster, Pam Keith

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I definitely have Dems winning NV, NM, IL, WI, PA, CO, MI, ME, NJ and VA. But polls this far out tend to favor Dems and when the election comes, then Dems underperform. Not ready to call this. Especially in FL and we don't know much about Graham as far as a candidate for Gov.

[Person Man]

Its the Ds year in Florida. In 2014, they had Obma's 6 year itch. In 2010, they had the TEA Party thing. Both times they lost by 1. In 2006, Republicans won because they ran someone who is now a Congressional Democrat. In 2002, there was 9/11, and in 1998, the Bush name was at its highest level of prestige.

[Bigby]

If the FDP can't win with a Conservadem, then Florida might as well become a one party state. They've lost the last five terms.

[Sir Mohamed]

Way way early. Remember how Rick “the climate change denier” Scott was doing until two weeks before the last election?

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

As someone who lives in the I-4 corridor, John Morgan would do Phenomenal here, he's like a GOD to people here.

[Free Bird]

Its the Ds year in Florida. In 2014, they had Obma's 6 year itch. In 2010, they had the TEA Party thing. Both times they lost by 1. In 2006, Republicans won because they ran someone who is now a Congressional Democrat. In 2002, there was 9/11, and in 1998, the Bush name was at its highest level of prestige.

FDP here to politely tell you you're wrong. Also your 2006 logic is stupid.