UK Local Elections, 4th May 2017

[Clyde1998]

East Ayrshire
SNP - 38.7% (-0.9)
Lab - 25.2% (-16.1)
Con - 24.3% (+13.0)
Ind - 8.1% (+0.4)
Grn - 1.3% (+1.3)
Oth - 2.4% (+2.2)

Estimated Turnout - 45.1% (+5.2)

East Dunbartonshire
SNP - 29.2% (+3.8)
Con - 24.8% (+9.4)
Lib - 15.2% (+0.3)
Lab - 14.0% (-14.3)
Ind - 12.1% (+6.0)
Grn - 4.7% (+4.0)
Oth - 0.0% (-9.2)

Estimated Turnout - 56.1% (+10.4)

[Clyde1998]

East Lothian
Lab - 31.8% (-11.3)
SNP - 30.4% (-1.9)
Con - 27.9% (+13.5)
Lib - 4.8% (-0.8)
Grn - 4.6% (+4.6)
Ind - 2.2% (-3.7)
Oth - 0.2% (-0.6%)

Estimated Turnout - 52.4% (+8.3)

Eilean Siar
Ind - 77.2% (+5.6)
SNP - 19.4% (-4.4)
Con - 3.4% (+3.4)
Lab - 0.0% (-4.6)

Estimated Turnout - 55.4% (+2.2)

Falkirk
SNP - 38.8% (-1.7)
Con - 23.9% (+12.7)
Lab - 23.7% (-14.1)
Ind - 9.9% (-0.7)
Grn - 3.6% (+3.6)
Oth - 0.1% (+0.1)

Estimated Turnout - 45.8% (+7.4)

[afleitch]

Looking at Labour 'won' wards, in North Lanarkshire, Coatbridge stayed Labour and Airdrie remained SNP, which is how it always was. Something suggesting a big degree of local voting here. Labour also won the Shotts-Bathgate corridor and Bellshill but the SNP won Motherwell.

In South Lanarkshire, East Kilbride and Hamilton were SNP, but Blantyre and Larkhall and Lesmahagow etc Labour. Bothwell went Tory as did Avondale and Clydesdale

So there's a degree of 'sectarian' voting but extremely localised, and sometimes contrary.

[IceAgeComing]

Just looking at the Stirling Council results; Labour seem to have needed a load of preferences to get elected: in every ward they finished behind the Conservatives.  This includes Bannockburn which is very much a not-Tory place; yet the Conservative candidate got 640 votes while the two Labour candidates got 408: the final result was 2 SNP and 1 Labour which suggests that Labour do very well on preferences with non-unionist parties (the Liberals got 62 and we got 104: there's also any SNP quota floating around - actually looking at it the result makes no sense: there might be a typo since I don't see how Labour get ahead of the Tories).  They've done much better that I suspect they expected - in the Dunblane ward they got both of their candidates comfortably elected in the first round: they had a 100 vote surplus afterwards.

They haven't published the stage-by-stage breakdown yet so there's nothing 100% definitive at this point though...

[Clyde1998]

Fife
SNP - 33.6% (+2.5)
Lab - 24.3% (-14.2)
Con - 20.9% (+13.1)
Lib - 13.0% (-0.1)
Ind - 4.4% (-1.8)
Grn - 3.4% (+2.4)
Oth - 0.3% (-2.1)

Estimated Turnout - 46.5% (+8.6)

Highland
Ind - 36.1% (-4.2)
SNP - 24.9% (-0.8)
Con - 15.6% (+10.6)
Lib - 12.9% (-0.6)
Lab - 6.9% (-5.7)
Grn - 3.1% (+2.2)
UKIP - 0.2% (-0.2)
Oth - 0.3% (-1.2)

Estimated Turnout - 51.3% (+9.7)

[Clyde1998]

Midlothian
SNP - 30.7% (-8.8)
Lab - 30.2% (-9.3)
Con - 22.7% (+14.2)
Ind - 7.5% (+3.7)
Grn - 6.9% (-4.5)
Lib - 2.0% (-1.7)
Oth - 0.0% (-0.7)

Estimated Turnout - 49.0% (+8.2)

North Ayrshire
SNP - 35.5% (N/C)
Lab - 25.4% (-6.0)
Con - 23.7% (+14.4)
Ind - 13.1% (-5.9)
Oth - 1.1% (-1.4)
Grn - 0.9% (+0.9)
UKIP - 0.2% (-0.3)
Lib - 0.0% (-1.6)

Estimated Turnout - 44.8% (+8.2)

Shetland
Ind - 99.0% (+2.1)
Con - 1.0% (+1.0)
SNP - 0.0% (-1.9)
Oth - 0.0% (-1.2)

Estimated Turnout - 48.5% (-6.2)

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Anyway, in 1919 the Labour group won a majority of seats on Durham County Council* and elected Peter Lee as its first Labour Chairman (the first of any County). Labour have retained control ever since (though without a majority for 1922-25; Lee was still Chairman during those years). So the return of a Labour administration this year means that 2019 will mark a century of continuous Labour power in Co. Durham. Not the most important news of the day, perhaps, but worth remarking properly on.

_{*Of course the old Durham County Council had better boundaries for Labour than the present one - it included the whole coalfield up to the Tyne (minus the County Boroughs), and did not include either the the City or the south bank of Teesdale - but whatever.}

[Clyde1998]

Renfrewshire
SNP - 37.6% (+2.3)
Lab - 28.2% (-19.4)
Con - 21.0% (+11.9)
Ind - 5.3% (+3.7)
Lib - 4.1% (-0.3)
Grn - 3.3% (+3.3)
Oth - 0.3% (-1.7)
UKIP - 0.1% (+0.1)

Estimated Turnout - 49.0% (+6.5)

Scottish Borders
Con - 39.7% (+16.5)
Ind - 23.8% (+1.1)
SNP - 21.5% (+0.7)
Lib - 8.0% (-8.4)
Lab - 4.7% (-1.6)
Grn - 2.2% (+1.8)
Oth - 0.0% (-10.1)

Estimated Turnout - 52.5% (+10.6)

South Ayrshire
Con - 43.4% (+11.8)
SNP - 30.2% (+0.9)
Lab - 15.2% (-9.8)
Ind - 10.7% (-2.9)
Grn - 0.6% (+0.6)
Lib - 0.0% (-0.7)

Estimated Turnout - 52.0% (+8.8)

South Lanarkshire
SNP - 35.9% (-0.4)
Lab - 28.5% (-14.7)
Con - 24.1% (+13.3)
Lib - 5.2% (+2.4)
Grn - 3.0% (+1.5)
Ind - 2.5% (-0.5)
UKIP - 0.4% (-0.2)
Oth - 0.4% (-1.5)

Estimated Turnout - 45.6% (+7.3)

[Clyde1998]

Stirling
Con - 37.9% (+17.9)
SNP - 35.5% (-1.9)
Lab - 14.5% (-14.3)
Grn - 6.7% (+0.9)
Lib - 3.4% (-2.1)
Ind - 2.0% (+0.5)

Estimated Turnout - 52.9% (+8.1)

West Lothian
SNP - 37.3% (-3.1)
Lab - 29.0% (-9.1)
Con - 23.2% (+14.4)
Ind - 5.0% (-0.3)
Grn - 2.7% (+2.7)
Lib - 2.6% (+2.2)
UKIP - 0.1% (N/C)
Oth - 0.1% (-6.8)

Estimated Turnout - 47.6% (+5.4)

Scotland (councils where votes have been published)
Aberdeen, Angus, Dumfries & Galloway, Dundee, East Ayrshire, East Dunbartonshire, East Lothian, Edinburgh, Eilean Siar, Falkirk, Fife, Glasgow, Highland, Midlothian, North Ayrshire, Renfrewshire, Scottish Borders, Shetland, South Ayrshire, South Lanarkshire, Stirling, West Lothian; changes compared to same council results in 2012.
SNP - 32.6% (+0.6)
Con - 24.3% (+11.7)
Lab - 21.2% (-11.7)
Ind - 9.5% (-1.0)
Lib - 7.1% (+0.4)
Grn - 4.7% (+2.0)
Oth - 0.4% (-1.8)
UKIP - 0.2% (-0.2)

[MAINEiac4434]

Labour is kill

[IceAgeComing]

That's actually not a terrible result for Labour in Scotland; considering everyone's expectations.  We've picked up our vote and gained a few councillors which is always nice - really the SNP are the ones that ought to be dissapointed...

[Intell]

http://principalfish.co.uk/electionmaps/brexit.html

Is the rebirth of the tories, in working class seats, basd upon those who voted leave, which in some exceed 40-45%.

[Beagle]

So why did turnout in Scotland increase substantially?

[Phony Moderate]

So why did turnout in Scotland increase substantially?

Similar reasons to the big increases in 2015 and 2016 - the 2014 referendum tuned people into politics.

[Clyde1998]

East Renfewshire
Con - 38.3% (+8.6)
SNP - 24.3% (+4.5)
Lab - 17.4% (-13.7)
Ind - 16.0% (+1.1)
Lib - 2.2% (-1.2)
Grn - 1.4% (+0.6)
UKIP - 0.3% (+0.1)
Oth - 0.1% (+0.1)

Turnout - 57.8% (+9.4)

Inverclyde
SNP - 32.8% (+7.3)
Lab - 26.9% (-17.3)
Con - 17.6% (+7.5)
Ind - 16.7% (+5.2)
Lib - 5.9% (-2.0)
Oth - 0.1% (-0.8)

Est. Turnout - 48.8% (+5.0)

North Lanarkshire
SNP - 38.4% (+3.8)
Lab - 33.0% (-17.8)
Con - 15.9% (+10.4)
Ind - 7.5% (+1.3)
Oth - 3.5% (+0.9)
Grn - 1.3% (+1.3)
UKIP - 0.4% (+0.4)
Lib - 0.0% (-0.4)

Est. Turnout - 43.0% (+5.3)

West Dunbartonshire
SNP - 40.1% (+9.8)
Lab - 33.6 (-13.0)
Con - 12.5% (+8.2)
Oth - 7.8% (+2.0)
Ind - 5.3% (-7.8)
Lib - 0.4% (+0.4)
Grn - 0.3% (+0.3)

Est Turnout - 45.9% (+4.9)

Just awaiting the vote data from Aberdeenshire, Argyll & Bute, Clackmannanshire, Moray, Orkney and Perth & Kinross to complete my Scotland vote share data.

[afleitch]

http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15270068.Orange_Order_elected_to_councils_as_Labour_and_Tory_members/

duh

[jaichind]

Scotland first preference vote share.  CON gain a bunch from LAB since 2012.  SNP flat since 2012.





The drop in SNP support is overstated in the second chart since Independents got 10% of the first preference vote in 2017 and were near zil in 2015 and 2016.

[Clyde1998]

Scottish Turnouts (Valid Votes Only)

Council	Turnout	Change
Aberdeen City	43.2%	+9.5
Aberdeenshire	45.8%	+8.8
Angus	45.2%	+5.9
Argyll & Bute	48.2%	-2.4
Clackmannanshire	45.1%	+4.1
Dumfries & Galloway	48.4%	+4.4
Dundee City	41.0%	+4.3
East Ayrshire	44.0%	+4.1
East Dunbartonshire	54.8%	+9.1
East Lothain	51.2%	+7.1
East Renfrewshire	57.8%	+9.4
Edinburgh, City of	49.8%	+7.2
Eilean Siar (Western Isles)	54.7%	+1.5
Falkirk	44.3%	+5.9
Fife	45.2%	+7.3
Glasgow City	37.8%	+5.6
Highland	49.0%	+7.4
Inverclyde	47.5%	+3.7
Midlothian	46.6%	+5.8
Moray	45.4%	+7.9
North Ayrshire	43.9%	+4.8
North Lanarkshire	42.5%	+4.8
Orkney	43.1%	-7.7
Perth & Kinross	52.7%	+9.0
Renfrewshire	47.0%	+4.5
Scottish Borders	51.1%	+9.2
Shetland	40.7%	-14.0%
South Ayrshire	50.8%	+7.6
South Lanarkshire	45.8%	+7.5
Stirling	52.2%	+7.4
West Dunbartonshire	45.1%	+4.1
West Lothian	45.2%	+3.0
SCOTLAND	46.0%	+6.4

[Clyde1998]

Scotland maps by party
Conservative - 20%; 30%, 40%, No Candidates


SNP - 20%; 30%, 40%, No Candidates


Labour - 10%; 20%, 30%, No Candidates


Note: in some councils, parties only had a limited number of candidates. In some councils, parties may have only stood a candidate in a single ward.

[Clyde1998]

[Zanas]

Tbh, apart from the obvious Labour debacle, one of the main teachings of this election is the LibDem performance. While they seem to remain somewhat stable in vote share, they also get their share of slaughtering. With the Tories now coalescing nearly everything that is in any way "right-wing", and LibDem's apparent impossibility to brand themselves as an alternative to Labour, LibDems just have a very very hard time being FPTP anywhere. I would not at all be surprised if they actually still went down from their 8 seats in the GE in June.

[Clyde1998]

SCOTTISH COUNCIL CONTROL
Highland - Ind+Lab+Lib (previously Ind minority)
Scottish Borders - Con+Ind (previously SNP+Lib+Ind)
South Ayrshire - SNP+Lab+Ind (previously Con+Lab+Ind)

[afleitch]

Scottish results.

My map is a little different from others as I don't treat independents like a bloc. They only 'win the ward' if one independent outpolls all other parties.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The pattern of Labour won wards is pretty striking isn't it lol.

[afleitch]

The pattern of Labour won wards is pretty striking isn't it lol.

Isn't it