muon2
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« on: December 03, 2016, 12:06:34 PM » |
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I agree with jimrtex observations. A study that puts Hidalgo in the small category looks suspect. Hidalgo is the seventh largest pop in TX and is larger than El Paso, which is in the large category. Also the study relies on ecological inference, which is not a simple methodology and one needs to take care to account for changing demographics over time among other things to get it right. If the study doesn't understand the size of the counties I would subject it to added scrutiny.
One the basic point, it is quite possible to get move votes in a category and still have the percentage of votes in that category decrease. The cause would likely be due to the overall increased turnout which changes the denominator as well as the numerator.
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